What the mapping shows for Carrum

  • Part of Carrum is mapped as subject to coastal inundation.

    0.5% of Carrum is mapped as subject to coastal inundation at current sea level

Victorian Coastal Inundation, State of Victoria (DEECA), CC BY 4.0, retrieved 2026-10-21

This is a share of the suburb's land area from a published state dataset, not an assessment of any property. A ClimateNest report scores the individual address across eight hazards, with insurance and value projections to 2050.

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📮 Carrum postcode: 3197

Flood Risk in Carrum, VIC: 2026 Assessment

Carrum, Victoria· Kingston· 3197
Carrum faces a notable risk of flooding due to its low-lying coastal location and proximity to waterways. Climate change is expected to increase rainfall intensity, exacerbating flood risk.Updated 24 Mar 2026

0.5% of Carrum is mapped as subject to coastal inundation at current sea level

That figure covers the suburb. Check whether your address is inside it - address-level, sourced, A$49.

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What A$49 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections

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Flood Risk Score

Not assessed

Carrum faces a notable risk of flooding due to its low-lying coastal location and proximity to waterways. Climate change is expected to increase rainfall intensity, exacerbating flood risk.

Key Facts

Flood Risk
Carrum faces a notable risk of flooding due to its low-lying coastal location and proximity to waterways. Climate change is expected to increase rainfall intensity, exacerbating flood risk.
Trend
increasing
Suburb
Carrum, VIC
Overall Risk
Medium
Postcode
3197
Region
Greater Melbourne
Median property value
$1.2 million
Dominant hazard
extreme heat

Flood Risk Analysis

Carrum, located in Victoria, has a location-specific flood risk profile based on available data including proximity to waterways, elevation, and historical flood events. The Bureau of Meteorology (BOM) maintains river height and flood warning data for catchments across Victoria.

Carrum is located near the Patterson River and Port Phillip Bay, increasing its flood exposure.

Carrum faces a notable risk of flooding due to its low-lying coastal location and proximity to waterways. Climate change is expected to increase rainfall intensity, exacerbating flood risk.

For a comprehensive property-specific flood assessment including address-level elevation data, flood overlay mapping, and insurance cost estimates, use the ClimateNest full analysis tool. General suburb data cannot replace a site-specific evaluation.

Carrum located in Greater Melbourne (postcode 3197), is a Victoria suburb tracked by ClimateNest. The suburb's median property value is $1.2 million, and understanding climate exposure is becoming a standard part of due diligence for buyers, lenders and insurers pricing property in Carrum.

Across the six hazard axes ClimateNest models, the dominant climate risk for Carrum in this type is extreme heat. Insurance signals for the suburb point to premiums rising moderately (+20% by 2030). The actual risk of any single home can only be confirmed with an address-level report.

Whether you are buying, selling or renovating in Carrum, extreme heat is the hazard to weigh first. Local council planning controls, state hazard mapping and lender climate policies each reference this kind of suburb-level signal, and property decisions in Carrum are increasingly made with an address-level climate report in hand.

Local Hazard Evidence

Nearest WaterwayPatterson River
Elevation Range0-5 meters
Flood Zone ClassificationLikely

Historical Events

2023
Moderate

Heavy rainfall led to localized flooding in low-lying areas of Carrum.

2011
Moderate

Major flooding occurred in the Patterson River catchment, impacting Carrum.

Adaptation & Mitigation Actions

Improve Drainage Infrastructure

Near-term

Upgrade drainage systems to handle increased rainfall intensity and reduce flood risk.

Est. cost: Medium

Coastal Protection Measures

Near-term

Implement coastal protection measures, such as seawalls and beach nourishment, to mitigate erosion and inundation.

Est. cost: High

Heatwave Preparedness Plan

Immediate

Develop and implement a heatwave preparedness plan to protect vulnerable populations during extreme heat events.

Est. cost: Low

Community Awareness Programs

Long-term

Conduct community awareness programs to educate residents about climate risks and adaptation strategies.

Est. cost: Low

Council & Emergency Services

Kingston City Council
Emergency Services

Data last updated: 24 March 2026

Explore Carrum Risk Reports

Frequently Asked Questions

Is Carrum at risk of flooding?

Based on available data, Carrum has a location-specific flood risk profile. Flood risk varies by address — check your specific property for precise flood zone mapping and elevation data with ClimateNest.

What flood insurance costs can I expect in Carrum?

Insurance costs for flood cover in Carrum depend on the property's flood zone classification, elevation, and proximity to waterways. ClimateNest provides address-level insurance cost estimates based on your property's specific hazard exposure.

Does flood risk affect property values in Carrum?

Yes, flood risk can affect property values in Carrum. Properties in mapped flood zones may experience lower buyer demand, reduced valuations, and higher insurance costs. Lenders increasingly assess flood exposure as part of mortgage risk evaluation.

How does elevation affect flood risk in Carrum?

Elevation is a critical factor in flood risk. Properties at higher elevations within Carrum typically have lower flood exposure than those near waterways or in low-lying areas. Address-level elevation data combined with BOM flood mapping provides the most accurate picture.

Is Carrum Safe from Climate Risk?

Enter your address below for an instant climate risk assessment for Carrum, Victoria, covering flood, bushfire, sea level rise and more.

Free instant previewCSIRO-powered data

What A$49 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections