What the mapping shows for Dover
Part of Dover is mapped as subject to coastal inundation.
1.4% of Dover is mapped as subject to coastal inundation (coastal inundation hazard band, including 1% AEP storm tide at 2100)
4.1% of Dover is mapped as subject to coastal erosion (coastal erosion hazard band mapped for the Tasmanian planning system)
Tasmanian Coastal Inundation Hazard Bands (20161201), State of Tasmania (Department of Premier and Cabinet), Creative Commons Attribution 4.0, retrieved 2026-10-23
This is a share of the suburb's land area from a published state dataset, not an assessment of any property. A ClimateNest report scores the individual address across eight hazards, with insurance and value projections to 2050.
Check an address in Dover →Is Dover, TAS Climate Safe? 2026 Assessment
1.4% of Dover is mapped as subject to coastal inundation (coastal inundation hazard band, including 1% AEP storm tide at 2100)
That figure covers the suburb. Check whether your address is inside it - address-level, sourced, A$49.
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Climate Safety Score
5.2Moderate climate risk — address-specific
Key Facts
- Climate Safety
- Medium
- Flood
- Dover faces a moderate risk of flooding, primarily from heavy rainfall and riverine overflow. The risk is expected to increase with climate change due to more intense rainfall events.
- Bushfire
- Dover has a high bushfire risk due to its proximity to bushland. Hot, dry summers and strong winds can exacerbate the risk. Climate change is projected to increase the frequency and intensity of bushfires.
- Heat
- Dover experiences a low to moderate risk of heatwaves. While not as extreme as other parts of Australia, heatwaves can still pose a risk to vulnerable populations. Climate change is expected to increase the frequency and intensity of heatwaves.
- Storm
- Moderate storm risk — westerly wind storms and occasional severe weather
- Postcode
- 7117
Climate Safety Analysis
Dover in Tasmania has an overall climate safety rating of Medium. This multi-hazard assessment combines flood, bushfire, heat, coastal, and storm risk data with climate projections to 2050 from CSIRO and the Bureau of Meteorology.
Key factors affecting Dover's climate safety include coastal, bushfire. Each hazard is assessed independently and combined for an overall picture. Australia has warmed by approximately 1.5 °C since 1910, with flow-on effects to fire weather, extreme rainfall, and heatwave frequency.
Climate safety for property in Dover is not uniform — it varies by address. Factors such as elevation, distance to waterways, proximity to bushland, and local drainage all influence actual risk at a specific property. Two nearby properties can have materially different risk profiles.
For a complete property-specific climate safety report for Dover including address-level hazard mapping, insurance outlook, and adaptation recommendations, use the ClimateNest full analysis tool.
ClimateNest assesses hazards at the address rather than the suburb, because exposure varies street by street within Dover. An address-level check is what tells you about a specific property before you buy, sell or insure it.
Local Hazard Evidence
Historical Events
Storm surge caused minor coastal erosion in Dover.
A heatwave in Tasmania caused health concerns, particularly for vulnerable populations in Dover.
Heavy rainfall caused localized flooding in Dover.
A bushfire near Dover caused property damage and evacuations.
Adaptation & Mitigation Actions
Coastal Protection Measures
ImmediateImplement coastal protection measures, such as seawalls and beach nourishment, to reduce the impacts of sea level rise and coastal erosion.
Est. cost: High
Bushfire Mitigation
Near-termImplement bushfire mitigation measures, such as fuel reduction burns and vegetation management, to reduce the risk of bushfires.
Est. cost: Medium
Improved Drainage Infrastructure
Near-termUpgrade drainage infrastructure to handle increased rainfall intensity and reduce the risk of flooding.
Est. cost: Medium
Community Awareness and Preparedness
Long-termRaise community awareness about climate risks and promote preparedness measures, such as emergency planning and evacuation procedures.
Est. cost: Low
Council & Emergency Services
Explore Dover Risk Reports
View other climate risk assessments for Dover:
Frequently Asked Questions
Is Dover safe from climate change?
No location in Australia is entirely immune to climate change impacts. Dover has an overall Medium climate risk rating. Understanding the specific hazards at your property address — not just the suburb average — provides the most reliable risk picture.
Which climate hazard poses the biggest risk in Dover?
The dominant hazard for Dover depends on geography and local environment. Proximity to waterways elevates flood risk, while proximity to bushland increases bushfire risk. ClimateNest's multi-hazard analysis identifies the highest-risk hazards for any specific address.
How does Dover compare to nearby suburbs for climate safety?
Nearby suburbs may have different climate risk profiles depending on elevation, vegetation cover, drainage patterns, and land use. ClimateNest allows comparison of climate safety scores across Tasmania suburbs.
Should I be concerned about buying property in Dover?
Climate risk should be one factor in your decision, alongside price, location, and amenity. An informed buyer understands the specific risks at a property address and factors insurance costs and climate projections into their assessment of long-term value.
What climate projections should I know for Dover?
Key projections for Tasmania from CSIRO include increased average temperatures, more frequent hot days, changes in rainfall seasonality, longer fire seasons, and potential increases in extreme rainfall intensity. These trends inform the long-term outlook for Dover.
Is Dover Safe from Climate Risk?
Enter your address below for an instant climate risk assessment for Dover, Tasmania, covering flood, bushfire, sea level rise and more.
What A$49 could save you from
*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA
Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections