Climate Risk in Pembrooke, NSW

Pembrooke, New South Wales
Updated May 2026

Pembrooke faces increasing risks from flooding and heatwaves due to climate change. While the bushfire risk is moderate, the suburb is relatively safe from coastal hazards. Residents should prepare for more frequent extreme weather events.

Is Pembrooke Safe from Climate Risk?

Enter your address below for an instant climate risk assessment for Pembrooke, New South Wales, covering flood, bushfire, sea level rise and more.

Free instant previewCSIRO-powered data

What A$49 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections

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Overall Risk Score

Address-level

Hazard Breakdown

Flood, bushfire, heat, coastal and storm exposure are all assessed in this area. The score that matters is the property's own: a ClimateNest report scores the address across eight hazards, with insurance and value projections to 2050.

Climate Hazard Breakdown for Pembrooke

Flood

Pembrooke faces a moderate risk of flooding, primarily from heavy rainfall events and potential riverine overflow. The risk is expected to increase due to climate change.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Urban development

Bushfire

The bushfire risk in Pembrooke is relatively low but still present, particularly in areas close to undeveloped land. Drier conditions and higher temperatures could exacerbate this risk.

Key drivers:

  • ·Dry vegetation
  • ·Increased temperatures

Heat

Pembrooke is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves. This poses a significant risk to vulnerable populations, especially during summer months.

Key drivers:

  • ·Climate change
  • ·Urban heat island effect

Coastal

As an inland suburb, Pembrooke has a very low direct risk from coastal hazards such as sea level rise and coastal erosion.

Key drivers:

  • ·Distance from coast

Wind

Data being compiled

Storm

Data being compiled

Social

Data being compiled

Energy

Data being compiled

In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Pembrooke

Detailed Hazard Analysis

heat Risk

Pembrooke is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves. This poses a significant risk to vulnerable populations, especially during summer months.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Climate change
  • ·Urban heat island effect
Data source

flood Risk

Pembrooke faces a moderate risk of flooding, primarily from heavy rainfall events and potential riverine overflow. The risk is expected to increase due to climate change.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Urban development
  • ·Climate change
Data source

coastal Risk

As an inland suburb, Pembrooke has a very low direct risk from coastal hazards such as sea level rise and coastal erosion.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Distance from coast
Data source

bushfire Risk

The bushfire risk in Pembrooke is relatively low but still present, particularly in areas close to undeveloped land. Drier conditions and higher temperatures could exacerbate this risk.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Dry vegetation
  • ·Increased temperatures
  • ·Wind patterns
Data source

What This Means for Property Owners

Insurance Outlook

Insurance premiums may increase due to flood and heat risks.

Price Impact

Properties in flood-prone areas may experience price stagnation or decline.

Buyer Checklist

  • 1.Check flood maps and historical flood data
  • 2.Assess the property's vulnerability to heatwaves
  • 3.Inquire about insurance costs and coverage
  • 4.Review bushfire risk management plans

How the region's climate is projected to change

Regional projections, not a forecast for this street. Figures are from the WA Department of Water and Environmental Regulation's climate projections for the South Western Flatlands region, which draws on CSIRO and Bureau of Meteorology modelling.

Temperature

+0.5 to 1.1°C by 2030

Above the 1986–2005 climate, on all emissions scenarios. By 2090, 1.2 to 2.0°C under intermediate emissions or 2.6 to 4.0°C under high emissions.

Rainfall

Winter rain down up to 15% by 2030

The South West has been drying since 1970, and the decline has been larger than anywhere else in Australia. Heavy rainfall events are projected to become more intense even as totals fall.

Fire weather

Harsher, magnitude uncertain

High confidence that fire weather becomes harsher, low confidence in the size of the change, because it depends heavily on summer rainfall.

Sea level

+0.12 m by 2030

At the Fremantle gauge, range 0.07 to 0.16 m. Very high confidence that sea levels continue to rise through the century.

Source: Department of Water and Environmental Regulation (WA), Western Australian climate projections: summary, September 2021, South Western Flatlands chapter. Read the projections →

Adaptation Recommendations

Improve stormwater drainage

Near-term

Upgrade stormwater infrastructure to handle increased rainfall intensity and reduce flood risk.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Establish cooling centers

Immediate

Create designated cooling centers for vulnerable populations during heatwaves.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

Implement bushfire management plans

Near-term

Develop and implement bushfire management plans for areas bordering bushland.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Promote water conservation

Long-term

Encourage water conservation measures to reduce strain on water resources during droughts and heatwaves.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

Community awareness programs

Immediate

Educate residents about climate risks and preparedness measures through community workshops and online resources.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

About Pembrooke's Climate Risk Profile

Pembrooke, NSW, is projected to experience a notable increase in climate-related risks over the coming decades. The primary concerns are escalating flood risks due to more intense rainfall and rising heatwave frequency and severity.

Flooding is expected to become more common, potentially impacting infrastructure and residential areas. The combination of increased rainfall intensity and existing urban development could exacerbate the risk. Residents should stay informed about local flood warnings and preparedness measures.

Heatwaves pose a significant threat, particularly to vulnerable populations such as the elderly and those with pre-existing health conditions. The urban heat island effect may further amplify temperatures in built-up areas. Access to cooling centers and community support networks will be crucial during extreme heat events.

While the risk of bushfires is present, it is relatively lower compared to other climate hazards. However, drier conditions and higher temperatures could increase the likelihood of bushfires, especially in areas bordering undeveloped land. Vigilance and adherence to fire safety guidelines are essential.

Coastal risks are minimal due to Pembrooke's inland location. However, indirect impacts from disruptions to coastal communities and supply chains should not be entirely discounted. Overall, proactive adaptation measures are necessary to mitigate the growing climate risks in Pembrooke.

Suburb pages describe the local picture. The address-level assessment, with its data sources and its dollar projections, is in the ClimateNest report.

Local Government Resources

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the main climate change risks in Pembrooke?

The main risks are increased flooding due to heavy rainfall and more frequent and intense heatwaves. There is also a moderate risk of bushfires.

How can I prepare for heatwaves in Pembrooke?

Stay hydrated, seek air-conditioned environments, check on vulnerable neighbors, and follow advice from health authorities.

What should I do during a flood in Pembrooke?

Stay informed about flood warnings, avoid driving through floodwaters, and follow evacuation orders if necessary.

Is my property at risk from bushfires in Pembrooke?

Check the NSW RFS website to see if your property is in a bushfire-prone area. Maintain firebreaks and have an evacuation plan.

Where can I find more information about climate change impacts in Pembrooke?

Consult the local council's climate strategy, the Bureau of Meteorology website, and the CSIRO climate change projections.

Are there any community initiatives to address climate change in Pembrooke?

Check with the local council for information on community gardens, sustainability programs, and other initiatives.

Get your property's risk report

This suburb assessment covers the area. For a precise address-level climate risk report for any specific property in Pembrooke, use our analysis tool.

Check Your flood Risk Now

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Free instant previewCSIRO-powered data

What A$49 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections