Climate Risk in Pagewood, NSW
Pagewood faces moderate climate risks, primarily from flooding, heatwaves, and coastal hazards. Sea level rise and increased rainfall intensity are key concerns. Residents should prepare for more frequent and intense extreme weather events.
Is Pagewood Safe from Climate Risk?
Enter your address below for an instant climate risk assessment for Pagewood, New South Wales, covering flood, bushfire, sea level rise and more.
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Overall Risk Score
Hazard Breakdown
Flood, bushfire, heat, coastal and storm exposure are all assessed in this area. The score that matters is the property's own: a ClimateNest report scores the address across eight hazards, with insurance and value projections to 2050.
Climate Hazard Breakdown for Pagewood
Flood
Pagewood faces a moderate risk of flooding, primarily from heavy rainfall events and potential stormwater runoff. The area's drainage infrastructure may be challenged during intense downpours.
Key drivers:
- ·Increased rainfall intensity
- ·Urban development
Bushfire
The bushfire risk in Pagewood is relatively low due to its urban location and limited proximity to dense bushland. However, grassfires can still pose a threat during dry periods.
Key drivers:
- ·Dry vegetation
- ·Windy conditions
Heat
Pagewood experiences a high risk of heatwaves, particularly during the summer months. Urban heat island effects can exacerbate temperatures, posing health risks to vulnerable populations.
Key drivers:
- ·Rising average temperatures
- ·Urban heat island effect
Coastal
Pagewood faces a moderate risk from coastal hazards, including sea level rise and potential storm surges. Proximity to the coast makes it vulnerable to inundation and erosion.
Key drivers:
- ·Sea level rise
- ·Increased storm intensity
Wind
Data being compiled
Storm
Data being compiled
Social
Data being compiled
Energy
Data being compiled
In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Pagewood
Property buying guide with climate risk assessment
Flood zone mapping, historical events, and projections
BAL assessment, vegetation proximity, and fire history
Multi-hazard safety assessment to 2050
Severe weather, hail, and wind risk analysis
Extreme heat days, urban heat island, and cooling costs
Premium estimates and insurance availability
Climate-adjusted property investment analysis
Detailed Hazard Analysis
heat Risk
Pagewood experiences a high risk of heatwaves, particularly during the summer months. Urban heat island effects can exacerbate temperatures, posing health risks to vulnerable populations.
Primary Drivers
- ·Rising average temperatures
- ·Urban heat island effect
- ·Reduced green space
flood Risk
Pagewood faces a moderate risk of flooding, primarily from heavy rainfall events and potential stormwater runoff. The area's drainage infrastructure may be challenged during intense downpours.
Primary Drivers
- ·Increased rainfall intensity
- ·Urban development
- ·Aging infrastructure
coastal Risk
Pagewood faces a moderate risk from coastal hazards, including sea level rise and potential storm surges. Proximity to the coast makes it vulnerable to inundation and erosion.
Primary Drivers
- ·Sea level rise
- ·Increased storm intensity
- ·Coastal erosion
bushfire Risk
The bushfire risk in Pagewood is relatively low due to its urban location and limited proximity to dense bushland. However, grassfires can still pose a threat during dry periods.
Primary Drivers
- ·Dry vegetation
- ·Windy conditions
- ·Human activity
What This Means for Property Owners
Insurance Outlook
Insurance premiums may increase in the future due to increased climate risks.
Price Impact
Properties in flood-prone or coastal areas may experience price impacts.
Buyer Checklist
- 1.Check flood maps and council records.
- 2.Assess property's vulnerability to heatwaves.
- 3.Consider potential impacts of sea level rise.
- 4.Review insurance coverage for climate-related risks.
How the region's climate is projected to change
Regional projections, not a forecast for this street. Figures are from the WA Department of Water and Environmental Regulation's climate projections for the South Western Flatlands region, which draws on CSIRO and Bureau of Meteorology modelling.
Temperature
+0.5 to 1.1°C by 2030
Above the 1986–2005 climate, on all emissions scenarios. By 2090, 1.2 to 2.0°C under intermediate emissions or 2.6 to 4.0°C under high emissions.
Rainfall
Winter rain down up to 15% by 2030
The South West has been drying since 1970, and the decline has been larger than anywhere else in Australia. Heavy rainfall events are projected to become more intense even as totals fall.
Fire weather
Harsher, magnitude uncertain
High confidence that fire weather becomes harsher, low confidence in the size of the change, because it depends heavily on summer rainfall.
Sea level
+0.12 m by 2030
At the Fremantle gauge, range 0.07 to 0.16 m. Very high confidence that sea levels continue to rise through the century.
Source: Department of Water and Environmental Regulation (WA), Western Australian climate projections: summary, September 2021, South Western Flatlands chapter. Read the projections →
Adaptation Recommendations
Upgrade stormwater drainage infrastructure
Near-termImprove the capacity and resilience of the stormwater drainage system to handle increased rainfall intensity and reduce flood risk.
Est. cost: High
Learn moreImplement heatwave early warning system
ImmediateDevelop and implement a heatwave early warning system to alert residents of impending heatwaves and provide guidance on how to stay safe.
Est. cost: Low
Learn moreProtect and restore coastal ecosystems
Long-termProtect and restore coastal ecosystems, such as mangroves and saltmarshes, to provide natural buffers against sea level rise and storm surges.
Est. cost: Medium
Learn morePromote water-sensitive urban design
Near-termIncorporate water-sensitive urban design principles in new developments to reduce stormwater runoff and improve water quality.
Est. cost: Medium
Learn moreAbout Pagewood's Climate Risk Profile
Pagewood, a suburb in Sydney's eastern suburbs, is increasingly vulnerable to the impacts of climate change. The primary risks include flooding from heavy rainfall, heatwaves during the summer months, and coastal hazards due to its proximity to the coast.
Flooding is a significant concern, as the area's stormwater drainage system may struggle to cope with more intense rainfall events. This can lead to property damage and disruption to daily life. Heatwaves are also becoming more frequent and severe, posing health risks to vulnerable populations, especially the elderly and those with pre-existing medical conditions.
Sea level rise and storm surges pose a threat to coastal areas of Pagewood, potentially leading to inundation and erosion. This can impact property values and infrastructure. The combined effects of these climate hazards require proactive adaptation measures to protect the community and its assets.
Addressing these challenges requires a multi-faceted approach, including upgrading drainage infrastructure, increasing green space to mitigate the urban heat island effect, and implementing coastal protection measures. Community awareness and preparedness are also crucial to minimizing the impacts of extreme weather events.
Suburb pages describe the local picture. The address-level assessment, with its data sources and its dollar projections, is in the ClimateNest report.
Local Government Resources
Bayside Council
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the main climate change risks in Pagewood?
The main climate change risks in Pagewood include flooding from heavy rainfall, heatwaves, and coastal hazards such as sea level rise and storm surges.
How is Bayside Council addressing climate change?
Bayside Council has implemented a sustainability strategy that includes measures to reduce greenhouse gas emissions, improve energy efficiency, and adapt to the impacts of climate change.
What can I do to prepare for heatwaves in Pagewood?
To prepare for heatwaves, stay hydrated, seek air-conditioned environments, avoid strenuous activity during the hottest part of the day, and check on vulnerable neighbors and family members.
Where can I find information about flood risks in Pagewood?
You can find information about flood risks in Pagewood on the Bayside Council website, including flood maps and information about flood preparedness.
Are there any community initiatives to address climate change in Pagewood?
Yes, there are several community initiatives focused on sustainability and climate action in Pagewood, including community gardens, tree planting programs, and environmental education workshops. Check the Bayside Council website for more information.
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What A$49 could save you from
*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA
Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections