Climate Risk Profile for Paddys River, NSW

Paddys River, New South Wales
Updated May 2026

Paddys River faces moderate climate risks, primarily from flooding and bushfires. Rising temperatures and changing rainfall patterns are expected to exacerbate these risks in the future. Residents should prepare for more frequent extreme weather events.

Is Paddys River Safe from Climate Risk?

Enter your address below for an instant climate risk assessment for Paddys River, New South Wales, covering flood, bushfire, sea level rise and more.

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What A$49 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections

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Overall Risk Score

Address-level

Hazard Breakdown

Flood, bushfire, heat, coastal and storm exposure are all assessed in this area. The score that matters is the property's own: a ClimateNest report scores the address across eight hazards, with insurance and value projections to 2050.

Climate Hazard Breakdown for Paddys River

Flood

Paddys River faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to waterways and low-lying areas. Climate change is expected to increase rainfall intensity, potentially worsening flood events.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Proximity to waterways

Bushfire

The area around Paddys River has a high bushfire risk due to the presence of surrounding bushland. Drier conditions and higher temperatures are expected to exacerbate this risk.

Key drivers:

  • ·Dry conditions
  • ·High temperatures

Heat

Paddys River experiences moderate heat risk, with increasing average temperatures expected. This could lead to more frequent and intense heatwaves.

Key drivers:

  • ·Rising average temperatures
  • ·Increased frequency of heatwaves

Coastal

Paddys River is not directly exposed to coastal risks such as sea level rise or coastal erosion.

Wind

Data being compiled

Storm

Data being compiled

Social

Data being compiled

Energy

Data being compiled

In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Paddys River

Detailed Hazard Analysis

heat Risk

Paddys River experiences moderate heat risk, with increasing average temperatures expected. This could lead to more frequent and intense heatwaves.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Rising average temperatures
  • ·Increased frequency of heatwaves
Data source

flood Risk

Paddys River faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to waterways and low-lying areas. Climate change is expected to increase rainfall intensity, potentially worsening flood events.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Proximity to waterways
  • ·Low-lying areas
Data source

coastal Risk

Paddys River is not directly exposed to coastal risks such as sea level rise or coastal erosion.

Data source

bushfire Risk

The area around Paddys River has a high bushfire risk due to the presence of surrounding bushland. Drier conditions and higher temperatures are expected to exacerbate this risk.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Dry conditions
  • ·High temperatures
  • ·Proximity to bushland
Data source

What This Means for Property Owners

Insurance Outlook

Insurance premiums may increase due to the elevated flood and bushfire risks.

Price Impact

Property values may be negatively impacted by the increasing climate risks.

Buyer Checklist

  • 1.Check flood maps and historical flood data.
  • 2.Assess bushfire risk and implement mitigation measures.
  • 3.Ensure adequate insurance coverage.
  • 4.Consider the long-term climate risks when purchasing property.

How the region's climate is projected to change

Regional projections, not a forecast for this street. Figures are from the WA Department of Water and Environmental Regulation's climate projections for the South Western Flatlands region, which draws on CSIRO and Bureau of Meteorology modelling.

Temperature

+0.5 to 1.1°C by 2030

Above the 1986–2005 climate, on all emissions scenarios. By 2090, 1.2 to 2.0°C under intermediate emissions or 2.6 to 4.0°C under high emissions.

Rainfall

Winter rain down up to 15% by 2030

The South West has been drying since 1970, and the decline has been larger than anywhere else in Australia. Heavy rainfall events are projected to become more intense even as totals fall.

Fire weather

Harsher, magnitude uncertain

High confidence that fire weather becomes harsher, low confidence in the size of the change, because it depends heavily on summer rainfall.

Sea level

+0.12 m by 2030

At the Fremantle gauge, range 0.07 to 0.16 m. Very high confidence that sea levels continue to rise through the century.

Source: Department of Water and Environmental Regulation (WA), Western Australian climate projections: summary, September 2021, South Western Flatlands chapter. Read the projections →

Adaptation Recommendations

Improve Drainage Systems

Near-term

Upgrade drainage infrastructure to handle increased rainfall and reduce flood risk.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Vegetation Management

Immediate

Implement vegetation management strategies to reduce bushfire risk.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

Community Awareness Programs

Near-term

Conduct community awareness programs to educate residents about climate risks and preparedness measures.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

Building Code Upgrades

Long-term

Update building codes to ensure new constructions are resilient to climate risks.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

About Paddys River's Climate Risk Profile

Paddys River, located in New South Wales, is susceptible to several climate-related risks. The primary concerns are flooding due to its proximity to waterways and bushfires due to the surrounding bushland.

Climate change projections indicate an increase in rainfall intensity, leading to a higher risk of flooding. The area may experience more frequent and severe flood events, impacting properties and infrastructure. Residents should stay informed about flood warnings and take necessary precautions.

The bushfire risk is also expected to increase with drier conditions and higher temperatures. The surrounding bushland poses a significant threat, and residents should maintain their properties to reduce fire hazards and have evacuation plans in place.

While the heat risk is moderate, rising average temperatures could lead to more frequent and intense heatwaves. It's important to stay hydrated and take precautions during hot weather. Coastal risks are minimal due to the suburb's inland location.

Overall, Paddys River needs to adapt to the changing climate by implementing measures to mitigate flood and bushfire risks. This includes improving drainage systems, managing vegetation, and raising community awareness.

Suburb pages describe the local picture. The address-level assessment, with its data sources and its dollar projections, is in the ClimateNest report.

Local Government Resources

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the main climate risks in Paddys River?

The main climate risks in Paddys River are flooding and bushfires, with increasing temperatures also posing a threat.

How will climate change affect Paddys River in the future?

Climate change is expected to increase the frequency and severity of floods and bushfires, as well as lead to more frequent heatwaves.

What can residents do to prepare for climate risks?

Residents can prepare by staying informed about weather warnings, maintaining their properties to reduce fire hazards, and having evacuation plans in place.

Are there any local government initiatives to address climate change?

Local government initiatives may include upgrading drainage systems, managing vegetation, and conducting community awareness programs.

Where can I find more information about climate risks in Paddys River?

You can find more information on the NSW government and Bureau of Meteorology websites.

Get your property's risk report

This suburb assessment covers the area. For a precise address-level climate risk report for any specific property in Paddys River, use our analysis tool.

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Free instant previewCSIRO-powered data

What A$49 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections