Climate Risk Assessment: Oxley Island, NSW
Oxley Island faces increasing risks from flooding, heatwaves, and coastal erosion due to climate change. The island's low elevation and proximity to the Manning River make it particularly vulnerable to flooding. Residents should prepare for more frequent and intense extreme weather events.
Is Oxley Island Safe from Climate Risk?
Enter your address below for an instant climate risk assessment for Oxley Island, New South Wales, covering flood, bushfire, sea level rise and more.
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Overall Risk Score
Hazard Breakdown
Flood, bushfire, heat, coastal and storm exposure are all assessed in this area. The score that matters is the property's own: a ClimateNest report scores the address across eight hazards, with insurance and value projections to 2050.
Climate Hazard Breakdown for Oxley Island
Flood
Oxley Island is at a high risk of flooding due to its low elevation and proximity to the Manning River. Climate change is expected to increase the frequency and intensity of rainfall events, exacerbating flood risk.
Key drivers:
- ·Increased rainfall intensity
- ·Sea level rise
Bushfire
Oxley Island has a relatively low bushfire risk due to its island location and limited vegetation. However, increased temperatures and drier conditions could increase the risk in the future.
Key drivers:
- ·Increased temperatures
- ·Drier conditions
Heat
Oxley Island is expected to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves due to climate change. This will increase the risk of heat stress, particularly for vulnerable populations.
Key drivers:
- ·Rising average temperatures
- ·Increased frequency of heatwaves
Coastal
Oxley Island is vulnerable to coastal erosion and sea level rise. Climate change is expected to accelerate these processes, threatening infrastructure and ecosystems.
Key drivers:
- ·Sea level rise
- ·Increased storm surge
Wind
Data being compiled
Storm
Data being compiled
Social
Data being compiled
Energy
Data being compiled
In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Oxley Island
Property buying guide with climate risk assessment
Flood zone mapping, historical events, and projections
BAL assessment, vegetation proximity, and fire history
Multi-hazard safety assessment to 2050
Severe weather, hail, and wind risk analysis
Extreme heat days, urban heat island, and cooling costs
Premium estimates and insurance availability
Climate-adjusted property investment analysis
Detailed Hazard Analysis
heat Risk
Oxley Island is expected to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves due to climate change. This will increase the risk of heat stress, particularly for vulnerable populations.
Primary Drivers
- ·Rising average temperatures
- ·Increased frequency of heatwaves
flood Risk
Oxley Island is at a high risk of flooding due to its low elevation and proximity to the Manning River. Climate change is expected to increase the frequency and intensity of rainfall events, exacerbating flood risk.
Primary Drivers
- ·Increased rainfall intensity
- ·Sea level rise
- ·Low-lying topography
coastal Risk
Oxley Island is vulnerable to coastal erosion and sea level rise. Climate change is expected to accelerate these processes, threatening infrastructure and ecosystems.
Primary Drivers
- ·Sea level rise
- ·Increased storm surge
- ·Coastal erosion
bushfire Risk
Oxley Island has a relatively low bushfire risk due to its island location and limited vegetation. However, increased temperatures and drier conditions could increase the risk in the future.
Primary Drivers
- ·Increased temperatures
- ·Drier conditions
- ·Vegetation dryness
What This Means for Property Owners
Insurance Outlook
Increasing premiums due to flood risk.
Price Impact
Potential for decreased property values in flood-prone areas.
Buyer Checklist
- 1.Check flood history of the property.
- 2.Assess the property's elevation and drainage.
- 3.Obtain a building inspection report.
- 4.Review insurance options and costs.
- 5.Understand local council's climate adaptation plans.
How the region's climate is projected to change
Regional projections, not a forecast for this street. Figures are from the WA Department of Water and Environmental Regulation's climate projections for the South Western Flatlands region, which draws on CSIRO and Bureau of Meteorology modelling.
Temperature
+0.5 to 1.1°C by 2030
Above the 1986–2005 climate, on all emissions scenarios. By 2090, 1.2 to 2.0°C under intermediate emissions or 2.6 to 4.0°C under high emissions.
Rainfall
Winter rain down up to 15% by 2030
The South West has been drying since 1970, and the decline has been larger than anywhere else in Australia. Heavy rainfall events are projected to become more intense even as totals fall.
Fire weather
Harsher, magnitude uncertain
High confidence that fire weather becomes harsher, low confidence in the size of the change, because it depends heavily on summer rainfall.
Sea level
+0.12 m by 2030
At the Fremantle gauge, range 0.07 to 0.16 m. Very high confidence that sea levels continue to rise through the century.
Source: Department of Water and Environmental Regulation (WA), Western Australian climate projections: summary, September 2021, South Western Flatlands chapter. Read the projections →
Adaptation Recommendations
Improve Flood Defenses
ImmediateInvest in levees, drainage improvements, and flood-proofing measures to protect homes and businesses from flooding.
Est. cost: High
Learn moreDevelop a Heatwave Management Plan
Near-termImplement a plan to protect vulnerable populations during heatwaves, including cooling centers and community outreach programs.
Est. cost: Medium
Learn moreProtect Coastal Areas
Near-termImplement coastal protection measures, such as seawalls and beach nourishment, to reduce erosion and protect infrastructure.
Est. cost: High
Learn moreRaise Awareness and Educate Residents
Long-termProvide residents with information about climate risks and how to prepare for extreme weather events.
Est. cost: Low
Learn moreAbout Oxley Island's Climate Risk Profile
Oxley Island, located in the Manning River, is a low-lying area susceptible to various climate-related hazards. The primary concern is flooding, with the island frequently experiencing inundation during heavy rainfall events. Climate change is projected to increase the intensity and frequency of these events, posing a significant threat to residents and infrastructure.
Rising temperatures and more frequent heatwaves are also a growing concern. The island's location can exacerbate the effects of heat, making it crucial for residents to take precautions during hot weather. Vulnerable populations, such as the elderly and those with pre-existing health conditions, are particularly at risk.
Coastal erosion and sea level rise are additional challenges for Oxley Island. The island's coastline is already experiencing erosion, and climate change is expected to accelerate this process. This could lead to the loss of land and damage to coastal infrastructure.
Addressing these climate risks requires a multi-faceted approach, including improved flood management, heatwave preparedness, and coastal protection measures. Community engagement and education are also essential to ensure that residents are aware of the risks and how to prepare for them. Sustainable development practices are needed to minimize the impact of climate change on Oxley Island.
Suburb pages describe the local picture. The address-level assessment, with its data sources and its dollar projections, is in the ClimateNest report.
Local Government Resources
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the main climate change risks for Oxley Island?
The main risks are flooding, heatwaves, and coastal erosion. Flooding is the most immediate threat due to the island's low elevation and proximity to the Manning River. Heatwaves are becoming more frequent and intense, and coastal erosion is gradually impacting the island's coastline.
How can I prepare my home for flooding?
Consider flood-proofing measures such as raising electrical outlets, installing a sump pump, and using water-resistant materials. Keep sandbags on hand and develop a flood evacuation plan.
What should I do during a heatwave?
Stay indoors in air-conditioned environments if possible. Drink plenty of water, avoid strenuous activity, and check on vulnerable neighbors and family members.
Is property insurance available for flood-prone properties on Oxley Island?
Yes, but premiums are likely to be higher due to the increased risk of flooding. Shop around for the best rates and consider flood insurance options offered by the government.
What is the local council doing to address climate change risks on Oxley Island?
The local council is developing climate adaptation plans to address the risks of flooding, heatwaves, and coastal erosion. These plans may include infrastructure improvements, community education programs, and emergency response measures. Contact the council for more information.
Get your property's risk report
This suburb assessment covers the area. For a precise address-level climate risk report for any specific property in Oxley Island, use our analysis tool.
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What A$49 could save you from
*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA
Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections