Climate Risk in Orange, NSW
Orange, NSW, faces moderate risks from flooding and heatwaves, with bushfire risk also present. Climate change is expected to exacerbate these risks in the future, particularly regarding flooding and heat.
Is Orange Safe from Climate Risk?
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Overall Risk Score
Hazard Breakdown
Flood, bushfire, heat, coastal and storm exposure are all assessed in this area. The score that matters is the property's own: a ClimateNest report scores the address across eight hazards, with insurance and value projections to 2050.
Climate Hazard Breakdown for Orange
Flood
Orange experiences moderate flood risk due to its location within the Belubula River catchment. Intense rainfall events can lead to flash flooding and riverine flooding.
Key drivers:
- ·Increased rainfall intensity
- ·Urban development
Bushfire
Bushfire risk in Orange is moderate, with areas of bushland surrounding the town. Hot, dry conditions and strong winds can increase the risk of bushfires.
Key drivers:
- ·Dry vegetation
- ·High temperatures
Heat
Orange is experiencing increasing heat risk with rising average temperatures and more frequent heatwaves. This poses a risk to vulnerable populations.
Key drivers:
- ·Climate change
- ·Urban heat island effect
Coastal
Orange is located inland and does not face any direct coastal risks.
Wind
Data being compiled
Storm
Data being compiled
Social
Data being compiled
Energy
Data being compiled
In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Orange
Property buying guide with climate risk assessment
Flood zone mapping, historical events, and projections
BAL assessment, vegetation proximity, and fire history
Multi-hazard safety assessment to 2050
Severe weather, hail, and wind risk analysis
Extreme heat days, urban heat island, and cooling costs
Premium estimates and insurance availability
Climate-adjusted property investment analysis
Detailed Hazard Analysis
heat Risk
Orange is experiencing increasing heat risk with rising average temperatures and more frequent heatwaves. This poses a risk to vulnerable populations.
Primary Drivers
- ·Climate change
- ·Urban heat island effect
flood Risk
Orange experiences moderate flood risk due to its location within the Belubula River catchment. Intense rainfall events can lead to flash flooding and riverine flooding.
Primary Drivers
- ·Increased rainfall intensity
- ·Urban development
- ·Climate change
bushfire Risk
Bushfire risk in Orange is moderate, with areas of bushland surrounding the town. Hot, dry conditions and strong winds can increase the risk of bushfires.
Primary Drivers
- ·Dry vegetation
- ·High temperatures
- ·Wind
What This Means for Property Owners
Insurance Outlook
Insurance premiums may increase in the future due to increased climate risks.
Price Impact
Properties in flood-prone areas may experience a decrease in value.
Buyer Checklist
- 1.Check flood maps and bushfire prone land overlays.
- 2.Assess the property's vulnerability to heatwaves.
- 3.Consider the potential impact of climate change on insurance premiums.
- 4.Review council's climate adaptation plans.
How the region's climate is projected to change
Regional projections, not a forecast for this street. Figures are from the WA Department of Water and Environmental Regulation's climate projections for the South Western Flatlands region, which draws on CSIRO and Bureau of Meteorology modelling.
Temperature
+0.5 to 1.1°C by 2030
Above the 1986–2005 climate, on all emissions scenarios. By 2090, 1.2 to 2.0°C under intermediate emissions or 2.6 to 4.0°C under high emissions.
Rainfall
Winter rain down up to 15% by 2030
The South West has been drying since 1970, and the decline has been larger than anywhere else in Australia. Heavy rainfall events are projected to become more intense even as totals fall.
Fire weather
Harsher, magnitude uncertain
High confidence that fire weather becomes harsher, low confidence in the size of the change, because it depends heavily on summer rainfall.
Sea level
+0.12 m by 2030
At the Fremantle gauge, range 0.07 to 0.16 m. Very high confidence that sea levels continue to rise through the century.
Source: Department of Water and Environmental Regulation (WA), Western Australian climate projections: summary, September 2021, South Western Flatlands chapter. Read the projections →
Adaptation Recommendations
Improve flood defenses
Near-termUpgrade drainage infrastructure and build levees to protect properties from flooding.
Est. cost: High
Learn moreImplement heatwave early warning system
ImmediateDevelop a system to alert residents to impending heatwaves and provide advice on how to stay safe.
Est. cost: Low
Learn morePromote water conservation
Near-termEncourage residents and businesses to reduce water consumption through education and incentives.
Est. cost: Medium
Learn moreBushfire preparedness
Long-termUndertake regular property maintenance to reduce bushfire risk, such as clearing gutters and trimming trees.
Est. cost: Low
Learn moreAbout Orange's Climate Risk Profile
Orange, located in the Central Tablelands of New South Wales, is a regional city with a diverse economy and a growing population. The city's climate is characterized by warm summers and cool winters, with moderate rainfall throughout the year.
However, Orange is increasingly vulnerable to the impacts of climate change. Rising temperatures are leading to more frequent and intense heatwaves, posing a risk to public health, particularly for vulnerable populations. Changes in rainfall patterns are increasing the risk of both flooding and drought, impacting agriculture and water resources.
The Belubula River catchment is prone to flooding during periods of heavy rainfall. Urban development and changes in land use are also contributing to increased flood risk. Bushfire risk is also a concern, particularly in areas surrounding the city that are adjacent to bushland.
Addressing these climate risks will require a coordinated effort from local government, businesses, and the community. Adaptation measures such as improving flood defenses, implementing heatwave early warning systems, and promoting water conservation are essential to building resilience to climate change.
Suburb pages describe the local picture. The address-level assessment, with its data sources and its dollar projections, is in the ClimateNest report.
Local Government Resources
Orange City Council
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the main climate change risks in Orange?
The main climate change risks in Orange are increased heatwaves, flooding, and bushfire risk.
How is Orange City Council addressing climate change?
Orange City Council is developing and implementing a climate adaptation strategy to reduce the city's vulnerability to climate change.
What can I do to prepare for heatwaves in Orange?
Stay indoors during the hottest part of the day, drink plenty of water, and check on vulnerable neighbors.
How can I protect my property from flooding in Orange?
Check flood maps, raise electrical outlets, and consider installing flood barriers.
What should I do if a bushfire threatens my property in Orange?
Follow the advice of the NSW Rural Fire Service, evacuate if necessary, and have a bushfire survival plan.
Get your property's risk report
This suburb assessment covers the area. For a precise address-level climate risk report for any specific property in Orange, use our analysis tool.
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What A$49 could save you from
*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA
Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections