Climate Risk in Oran Park, New South Wales

Oran Park, New South Wales· Camden Council· 2570
Updated May 2026

Oran Park faces moderate climate risks, primarily from flooding and heatwaves. The suburb's inland location mitigates coastal risks, but increasing temperatures and rainfall intensity pose challenges. Residents should prepare for more frequent and intense extreme weather events.

Is Oran Park Safe from Climate Risk?

Enter your address below for an instant climate risk assessment for Oran Park, New South Wales, covering flood, bushfire, sea level rise and more.

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What A$49 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections

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Overall Risk Score

Address-level

Hazard Breakdown

Flood, bushfire, heat, coastal and storm exposure are all assessed in this area. The score that matters is the property's own: a ClimateNest report scores the address across eight hazards, with insurance and value projections to 2050.

Climate Hazard Breakdown for Oran Park

Flood

Oran Park faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to waterways and low-lying areas. Climate change is expected to increase rainfall intensity, exacerbating flood risk.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Urban development

Bushfire

Oran Park has a relatively low bushfire risk due to its urban development and distance from dense bushland. However, dry conditions and strong winds can increase the risk.

Key drivers:

  • ·Dry vegetation
  • ·Strong winds

Heat

Oran Park experiences high temperatures during summer, posing a risk to vulnerable populations. Climate change is expected to increase the frequency and intensity of heatwaves.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased greenhouse gas emissions
  • ·Urban heat island effect

Coastal

Oran Park is located inland and does not face a direct risk from coastal hazards such as sea level rise and coastal erosion.

Key drivers:

  • ·Distance from the coast

Wind

Data being compiled

Storm

Data being compiled

Social

Data being compiled

Energy

Data being compiled

In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Oran Park

Detailed Hazard Analysis

heat Risk

Oran Park experiences high temperatures during summer, posing a risk to vulnerable populations. Climate change is expected to increase the frequency and intensity of heatwaves.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased greenhouse gas emissions
  • ·Urban heat island effect
  • ·Reduced vegetation cover
Data source

flood Risk

Oran Park faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to waterways and low-lying areas. Climate change is expected to increase rainfall intensity, exacerbating flood risk.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Urban development
  • ·Inadequate drainage infrastructure
Data source

coastal Risk

Oran Park is located inland and does not face a direct risk from coastal hazards such as sea level rise and coastal erosion.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Distance from the coast
Data source

bushfire Risk

Oran Park has a relatively low bushfire risk due to its urban development and distance from dense bushland. However, dry conditions and strong winds can increase the risk.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Dry vegetation
  • ·Strong winds
  • ·Proximity to bushland
Data source

What This Means for Property Owners

Insurance Outlook

Increased premiums possible due to flood risk

Price Impact

Potential for moderate price impact in flood-prone areas

Buyer Checklist

  • 1.Check flood maps and insurance costs
  • 2.Assess property's heat resilience
  • 3.Consider bushfire risk if near bushland
  • 4.Review council's climate adaptation plans

How the region's climate is projected to change

Regional projections, not a forecast for this street. Figures are from the WA Department of Water and Environmental Regulation's climate projections for the South Western Flatlands region, which draws on CSIRO and Bureau of Meteorology modelling.

Temperature

+0.5 to 1.1°C by 2030

Above the 1986–2005 climate, on all emissions scenarios. By 2090, 1.2 to 2.0°C under intermediate emissions or 2.6 to 4.0°C under high emissions.

Rainfall

Winter rain down up to 15% by 2030

The South West has been drying since 1970, and the decline has been larger than anywhere else in Australia. Heavy rainfall events are projected to become more intense even as totals fall.

Fire weather

Harsher, magnitude uncertain

High confidence that fire weather becomes harsher, low confidence in the size of the change, because it depends heavily on summer rainfall.

Sea level

+0.12 m by 2030

At the Fremantle gauge, range 0.07 to 0.16 m. Very high confidence that sea levels continue to rise through the century.

Source: Department of Water and Environmental Regulation (WA), Western Australian climate projections: summary, September 2021, South Western Flatlands chapter. Read the projections →

Adaptation Recommendations

Upgrade Drainage Infrastructure

Near-term

Invest in improved drainage systems to manage increased rainfall and reduce flood risk.

Est. cost: High

Learn more

Implement Heat Action Plan

Immediate

Develop a heat action plan to protect vulnerable populations during heatwaves, including cooling centers and public awareness campaigns.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Promote Water Conservation

Near-term

Encourage water conservation measures to reduce strain on water resources during droughts and heatwaves.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

Enhance Green Spaces

Long-term

Increase green spaces and tree cover to reduce the urban heat island effect and improve community resilience.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Community Education Programs

Near-term

Run community education programs on climate risks and adaptation strategies.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

About Oran Park's Climate Risk Profile

Oran Park, located in the southwestern suburbs of Sydney, is a growing residential area with a mix of housing types. The suburb's climate is characterized by hot summers and mild winters. Climate change is expected to exacerbate existing environmental challenges, particularly flooding and heatwaves.

Flooding is a significant concern for Oran Park due to its proximity to waterways and low-lying areas. Increased rainfall intensity, driven by climate change, could overwhelm drainage systems and lead to property damage. Residents should be aware of flood risks and take steps to protect their homes and businesses.

Heatwaves are another growing threat to Oran Park. As temperatures rise, vulnerable populations, such as the elderly and those with chronic health conditions, are at increased risk of heat stress. The urban heat island effect, caused by the concentration of buildings and pavement, can further amplify temperatures in the suburb.

While Oran Park is not directly exposed to coastal hazards, the impacts of climate change on other regions could have indirect consequences for the suburb. Changes in agricultural productivity, water availability, and migration patterns could all affect Oran Park's economy and community.

To mitigate climate risks, Oran Park needs to invest in infrastructure improvements, such as upgraded drainage systems and green spaces. Residents can also take individual actions to reduce their carbon footprint and prepare for extreme weather events. By working together, the community can build a more resilient and sustainable future.

Suburb pages describe the local picture. The address-level assessment, with its data sources and its dollar projections, is in the ClimateNest report.

Local Government Resources

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the main climate risks in Oran Park?

The main climate risks in Oran Park are flooding and heatwaves. The suburb is also susceptible to bushfire risk.

How is Camden Council addressing climate change?

Camden Council has implemented a number of sustainability initiatives, including energy efficiency programs, waste reduction strategies, and climate adaptation planning.

What can I do to prepare for flooding in Oran Park?

You can prepare for flooding by checking flood maps, purchasing flood insurance, and developing a flood emergency plan. It is also important to keep your gutters and drains clear of debris.

How can I stay safe during a heatwave in Oran Park?

During a heatwave, it is important to stay hydrated, avoid strenuous activity, and seek shelter in air-conditioned environments. Check on vulnerable neighbors and family members.

Is Oran Park a good place to invest in property considering climate change?

Oran Park is still a developing area, but potential investors should consider the increasing risks of flooding and heatwaves when making their decision. Reviewing council plans and insurance options is recommended.

Where can I find more information about climate change impacts in Oran Park?

You can find more information about climate change impacts in Oran Park on the Camden Council website, the NSW Department of Planning and Environment website, and the CSIRO website.

Get your property's risk report

This suburb assessment covers the area. For a precise address-level climate risk report for any specific property in Oran Park, use our analysis tool.

Check Your flood Risk Now

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Free instant previewCSIRO-powered data

What A$49 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections