Climate Risk in One Tree, NSW

One Tree, New South Wales
Updated May 2026

One Tree faces moderate risks from flooding, bushfires, and heatwaves. Climate change is expected to exacerbate these risks in the coming decades. Residents should prepare for more frequent and intense extreme weather events.

Is One Tree Safe from Climate Risk?

Enter your address below for an instant climate risk assessment for One Tree, New South Wales, covering flood, bushfire, sea level rise and more.

Free instant previewCSIRO-powered data

What A$49 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections

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Overall Risk Score

Address-level

Hazard Breakdown

Flood, bushfire, heat, coastal and storm exposure are all assessed in this area. The score that matters is the property's own: a ClimateNest report scores the address across eight hazards, with insurance and value projections to 2050.

Climate Hazard Breakdown for One Tree

Flood

Flooding may occur in One Tree due to heavy rainfall and proximity to waterways. The risk is moderate, with potential for property damage and disruption to daily life.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Urban development

Bushfire

One Tree faces a notable bushfire risk due to surrounding vegetation. Hot, dry conditions exacerbate the potential for bushfires, posing a threat to homes and infrastructure.

Key drivers:

  • ·Dry vegetation
  • ·High temperatures

Heat

One Tree experiences periods of high heat, particularly during summer. Rising temperatures can lead to heat stress and strain on infrastructure.

Key drivers:

  • ·Climate change
  • ·Urban heat island effect

Coastal

Coastal risks are minimal in One Tree due to its inland location. Sea level rise and coastal erosion are not significant concerns.

Key drivers:

  • ·Distance from coast

Wind

Data being compiled

Storm

Data being compiled

Social

Data being compiled

Energy

Data being compiled

In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for One Tree

Detailed Hazard Analysis

heat Risk

One Tree experiences periods of high heat, particularly during summer. Rising temperatures can lead to heat stress and strain on infrastructure.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Climate change
  • ·Urban heat island effect
Data source

flood Risk

Flooding may occur in One Tree due to heavy rainfall and proximity to waterways. The risk is moderate, with potential for property damage and disruption to daily life.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Urban development
  • ·Climate change
Data source

coastal Risk

Coastal risks are minimal in One Tree due to its inland location. Sea level rise and coastal erosion are not significant concerns.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Distance from coast
Data source

bushfire Risk

One Tree faces a notable bushfire risk due to surrounding vegetation. Hot, dry conditions exacerbate the potential for bushfires, posing a threat to homes and infrastructure.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Dry vegetation
  • ·High temperatures
  • ·Strong winds
Data source

What This Means for Property Owners

Insurance Outlook

Premiums may increase due to climate risks.

Price Impact

Potential for decreased property values in high-risk areas.

Buyer Checklist

  • 1.Check flood maps and bushfire prone area status.
  • 2.Assess property's vulnerability to heat.
  • 3.Review insurance options and potential premium increases.
  • 4.Consider long-term climate risks when making property decisions.

How the region's climate is projected to change

Regional projections, not a forecast for this street. Figures are from the WA Department of Water and Environmental Regulation's climate projections for the South Western Flatlands region, which draws on CSIRO and Bureau of Meteorology modelling.

Temperature

+0.5 to 1.1°C by 2030

Above the 1986–2005 climate, on all emissions scenarios. By 2090, 1.2 to 2.0°C under intermediate emissions or 2.6 to 4.0°C under high emissions.

Rainfall

Winter rain down up to 15% by 2030

The South West has been drying since 1970, and the decline has been larger than anywhere else in Australia. Heavy rainfall events are projected to become more intense even as totals fall.

Fire weather

Harsher, magnitude uncertain

High confidence that fire weather becomes harsher, low confidence in the size of the change, because it depends heavily on summer rainfall.

Sea level

+0.12 m by 2030

At the Fremantle gauge, range 0.07 to 0.16 m. Very high confidence that sea levels continue to rise through the century.

Source: Department of Water and Environmental Regulation (WA), Western Australian climate projections: summary, September 2021, South Western Flatlands chapter. Read the projections →

Adaptation Recommendations

Improve Drainage Infrastructure

Near-term

Upgrade local drainage systems to handle increased rainfall intensity and reduce flood risk.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Bushfire Mitigation Measures

Immediate

Implement bushfire mitigation measures, such as vegetation management and fire breaks, to protect properties.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Heatwave Preparedness Plan

Near-term

Develop and implement a heatwave preparedness plan to protect vulnerable residents during extreme heat events.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

Community Awareness Programs

Long-term

Conduct community awareness programs to educate residents about climate risks and adaptation strategies.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

About One Tree's Climate Risk Profile

One Tree, NSW, is exposed to a range of climate-related risks, primarily flooding, bushfires, and heatwaves. Its geographical location and climate patterns contribute to these vulnerabilities.

Flooding can occur due to heavy rainfall events, potentially impacting properties and infrastructure. Bushfire risk is elevated during dry periods, with the potential for significant damage. Rising temperatures increase the likelihood of heatwaves, posing health risks to vulnerable populations.

Climate change projections indicate that these risks will intensify in the future. Increased rainfall intensity may lead to more frequent and severe flooding. Hotter and drier conditions will heighten the bushfire threat. Rising average temperatures will exacerbate heatwave conditions.

Adapting to these changes is crucial for the long-term resilience of One Tree. Implementing mitigation strategies and preparedness measures can help reduce the impact of climate-related events.

Suburb pages describe the local picture. The address-level assessment, with its data sources and its dollar projections, is in the ClimateNest report.

Local Government Resources

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the main climate risks in One Tree?

The main climate risks in One Tree are flooding, bushfires, and heatwaves. These risks are expected to increase due to climate change.

How will climate change affect property values in One Tree?

Climate change may lead to decreased property values in high-risk areas due to increased insurance premiums and potential damage from extreme weather events.

What can I do to prepare for flooding in One Tree?

You can prepare for flooding by checking flood maps, elevating your property, and having an emergency plan in place.

How can I protect my home from bushfires in One Tree?

You can protect your home from bushfires by clearing vegetation around your property, installing fire-resistant materials, and having a bushfire survival plan.

What resources are available to help me adapt to climate change in One Tree?

Your local council, state government agencies, and community organizations offer resources and support to help you adapt to climate change.

Get your property's risk report

This suburb assessment covers the area. For a precise address-level climate risk report for any specific property in One Tree, use our analysis tool.

Check Your flood Risk Now

Check One Tree's specific flood risk and see how it compares to nearby suburbs. Enter your address for an instant risk assessment.

Free instant previewCSIRO-powered data

What A$49 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections