Climate Risk in Old Erowal Bay, NSW
Old Erowal Bay faces significant climate-related risks, particularly from bushfires and coastal hazards. Residents should prepare for more frequent extreme weather events and consider adaptation measures to protect their properties.
Is Old Erowal Bay Safe from Climate Risk?
Enter your address below for an instant climate risk assessment for Old Erowal Bay, New South Wales, covering flood, bushfire, sea level rise and more.
What A$49 could save you from
*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA
Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections
Not ready to check your address? See a free sample report →
Overall Risk Score
Hazard Breakdown
Flood, bushfire, heat, coastal and storm exposure are all assessed in this area. The score that matters is the property's own: a ClimateNest report scores the address across eight hazards, with insurance and value projections to 2050.
Climate Hazard Breakdown for Old Erowal Bay
Flood
Old Erowal Bay faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to waterways and low-lying areas. Climate change is expected to increase rainfall intensity, potentially worsening flood events.
Key drivers:
- ·Increased rainfall intensity
- ·Sea level rise
Bushfire
The suburb is at high risk of bushfires due to the surrounding bushland. Drier conditions and higher temperatures are expected to exacerbate bushfire risk in the future.
Key drivers:
- ·Increased temperatures
- ·Drier conditions
Heat
Old Erowal Bay is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves. This poses a risk to vulnerable populations, such as the elderly and those with pre-existing health conditions.
Key drivers:
- ·Increased greenhouse gas emissions
- ·Urban heat island effect
Coastal
Located near the coast, Old Erowal Bay is vulnerable to sea level rise and coastal erosion. These factors could lead to property damage and displacement of residents.
Key drivers:
- ·Sea level rise
- ·Increased storm surge
Wind
Data being compiled
Storm
Data being compiled
Social
Data being compiled
Energy
Data being compiled
In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Old Erowal Bay
Property buying guide with climate risk assessment
Flood zone mapping, historical events, and projections
BAL assessment, vegetation proximity, and fire history
Multi-hazard safety assessment to 2050
Severe weather, hail, and wind risk analysis
Extreme heat days, urban heat island, and cooling costs
Premium estimates and insurance availability
Climate-adjusted property investment analysis
Detailed Hazard Analysis
heat Risk
Old Erowal Bay is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves. This poses a risk to vulnerable populations, such as the elderly and those with pre-existing health conditions.
Primary Drivers
- ·Increased greenhouse gas emissions
- ·Urban heat island effect
flood Risk
Old Erowal Bay faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to waterways and low-lying areas. Climate change is expected to increase rainfall intensity, potentially worsening flood events.
Primary Drivers
- ·Increased rainfall intensity
- ·Sea level rise
- ·Storm surges
coastal Risk
Located near the coast, Old Erowal Bay is vulnerable to sea level rise and coastal erosion. These factors could lead to property damage and displacement of residents.
Primary Drivers
- ·Sea level rise
- ·Increased storm surge
- ·Coastal erosion
bushfire Risk
The suburb is at high risk of bushfires due to the surrounding bushland. Drier conditions and higher temperatures are expected to exacerbate bushfire risk in the future.
Primary Drivers
- ·Increased temperatures
- ·Drier conditions
- ·Increased fuel load
What This Means for Property Owners
Insurance Outlook
Insurance premiums are likely to increase due to climate-related risks.
Price Impact
Properties in high-risk areas may experience a decrease in value.
Buyer Checklist
- 1.Check flood maps and bushfire-prone area designations.
- 2.Assess the property's vulnerability to coastal hazards.
- 3.Consider the cost of insurance and potential for increased premiums.
- 4.Inquire about local council's climate adaptation plans.
How the region's climate is projected to change
Regional projections, not a forecast for this street. Figures are from the WA Department of Water and Environmental Regulation's climate projections for the South Western Flatlands region, which draws on CSIRO and Bureau of Meteorology modelling.
Temperature
+0.5 to 1.1°C by 2030
Above the 1986–2005 climate, on all emissions scenarios. By 2090, 1.2 to 2.0°C under intermediate emissions or 2.6 to 4.0°C under high emissions.
Rainfall
Winter rain down up to 15% by 2030
The South West has been drying since 1970, and the decline has been larger than anywhere else in Australia. Heavy rainfall events are projected to become more intense even as totals fall.
Fire weather
Harsher, magnitude uncertain
High confidence that fire weather becomes harsher, low confidence in the size of the change, because it depends heavily on summer rainfall.
Sea level
+0.12 m by 2030
At the Fremantle gauge, range 0.07 to 0.16 m. Very high confidence that sea levels continue to rise through the century.
Source: Department of Water and Environmental Regulation (WA), Western Australian climate projections: summary, September 2021, South Western Flatlands chapter. Read the projections →
Adaptation Recommendations
Improve coastal defenses
Near-termInvest in seawalls and other coastal defenses to protect against sea level rise and storm surges.
Est. cost: High
Learn moreStrengthen bushfire preparedness
ImmediateImplement stricter building codes in bushfire-prone areas and provide residents with resources to prepare for bushfires.
Est. cost: Medium
Learn moreDevelop a heatwave response plan
Near-termCreate a plan to help residents cope with extreme heat, including cooling centers and public awareness campaigns.
Est. cost: Low
Learn moreUpgrade stormwater drainage
Long-termImprove stormwater drainage systems to reduce the risk of flooding during heavy rainfall events.
Est. cost: High
Learn moreCommunity education programs
Near-termEducate the community about climate change risks and adaptation measures.
Est. cost: Low
Learn moreAbout Old Erowal Bay's Climate Risk Profile
Old Erowal Bay, located in New South Wales, is a suburb that is increasingly vulnerable to the impacts of climate change. The region is expected to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves, increased bushfire risk, and rising sea levels, all of which pose significant challenges to the local community.
The suburb's proximity to bushland makes it particularly susceptible to bushfires. Climate change is projected to increase the frequency and intensity of bushfires, posing a direct threat to homes and lives. Residents need to be prepared for potential evacuations and take steps to reduce the risk of fire on their properties.
Coastal hazards are also a major concern for Old Erowal Bay. Sea level rise and increased storm surges could lead to coastal erosion and inundation of low-lying areas. This could damage infrastructure, displace residents, and impact the local economy.
In addition to these risks, Old Erowal Bay is also likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves. This could put a strain on the local healthcare system and pose a risk to vulnerable populations, such as the elderly and those with pre-existing health conditions.
Addressing these climate-related risks will require a coordinated effort from all levels of government, as well as the local community. This includes investing in infrastructure to protect against coastal hazards, implementing stricter building codes to reduce bushfire risk, and developing strategies to help residents cope with extreme heat.
Suburb pages describe the local picture. The address-level assessment, with its data sources and its dollar projections, is in the ClimateNest report.
Local Government Resources
Shoalhaven City Council
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the main climate change risks for Old Erowal Bay?
The main risks include increased bushfire risk, coastal hazards (sea level rise and storm surges), and more frequent and intense heatwaves.
How will climate change affect property values in Old Erowal Bay?
Properties in high-risk areas may experience a decrease in value due to increased insurance premiums and potential for damage from extreme weather events.
What is the council doing to address climate change risks in Old Erowal Bay?
The Shoalhaven City Council is developing and implementing climate adaptation plans, investing in infrastructure to protect against coastal hazards, and providing resources to help residents prepare for extreme weather events.
How can I prepare my home for bushfires in Old Erowal Bay?
You can prepare your home by clearing vegetation around your property, installing a sprinkler system, and developing a bushfire survival plan.
What should I do during a heatwave in Old Erowal Bay?
During a heatwave, you should stay indoors in air-conditioned environments, drink plenty of water, and avoid strenuous activity. Check on vulnerable neighbors and family members.
Where can I find information about flood risks in Old Erowal Bay?
You can find information about flood risks on the Shoalhaven City Council website and the NSW State Emergency Service website.
Get your property's risk report
This suburb assessment covers the area. For a precise address-level climate risk report for any specific property in Old Erowal Bay, use our analysis tool.
Check Your flood Risk Now
Check Old Erowal Bay's specific flood risk and see how it compares to nearby suburbs. Enter your address for an instant risk assessment.
What A$49 could save you from
*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA
Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections