Climate Risk in Numinbah, NSW
Numinbah faces increasing risks from flooding, bushfires, and heatwaves due to climate change. Residents should prepare for more frequent and intense extreme weather events. The suburb is not exposed to coastal risks.
Is Numinbah Safe from Climate Risk?
Enter your address below for an instant climate risk assessment for Numinbah, New South Wales, covering flood, bushfire, sea level rise and more.
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Overall Risk Score
Hazard Breakdown
Flood, bushfire, heat, coastal and storm exposure are all assessed in this area. The score that matters is the property's own: a ClimateNest report scores the address across eight hazards, with insurance and value projections to 2050.
Climate Hazard Breakdown for Numinbah
Flood
Numinbah faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to waterways and low-lying areas. Climate change is expected to increase rainfall intensity, exacerbating flood risk.
Key drivers:
- ·Increased rainfall intensity
- ·Proximity to waterways
Bushfire
Numinbah has a high bushfire risk due to its location near bushland. Drier conditions and higher temperatures are expected to increase the frequency and intensity of bushfires.
Key drivers:
- ·Increased temperatures
- ·Drier conditions
Heat
Numinbah is expected to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves. This will increase the risk of heatstroke and other heat-related illnesses, especially for vulnerable populations.
Key drivers:
- ·Increased temperatures
- ·More frequent heatwaves
Coastal
Numinbah is not directly exposed to coastal risks.
Wind
Data being compiled
Storm
Data being compiled
Social
Data being compiled
Energy
Data being compiled
In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Numinbah
Property buying guide with climate risk assessment
Flood zone mapping, historical events, and projections
BAL assessment, vegetation proximity, and fire history
Multi-hazard safety assessment to 2050
Severe weather, hail, and wind risk analysis
Extreme heat days, urban heat island, and cooling costs
Premium estimates and insurance availability
Climate-adjusted property investment analysis
Detailed Hazard Analysis
heat Risk
Numinbah is expected to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves. This will increase the risk of heatstroke and other heat-related illnesses, especially for vulnerable populations.
Primary Drivers
- ·Increased temperatures
- ·More frequent heatwaves
flood Risk
Numinbah faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to waterways and low-lying areas. Climate change is expected to increase rainfall intensity, exacerbating flood risk.
Primary Drivers
- ·Increased rainfall intensity
- ·Proximity to waterways
- ·Low-lying topography
bushfire Risk
Numinbah has a high bushfire risk due to its location near bushland. Drier conditions and higher temperatures are expected to increase the frequency and intensity of bushfires.
Primary Drivers
- ·Increased temperatures
- ·Drier conditions
- ·Proximity to bushland
What This Means for Property Owners
Insurance Outlook
Insurance premiums are likely to increase due to the increased risk of flooding and bushfires.
Price Impact
Properties in high-risk areas may experience a decrease in value.
Buyer Checklist
- 1.Check flood maps and bushfire prone area designations.
- 2.Assess the property's vulnerability to extreme weather events.
- 3.Obtain adequate insurance coverage.
- 4.Consider the long-term climate risks when making a purchase decision.
How the region's climate is projected to change
Regional projections, not a forecast for this street. Figures are from the WA Department of Water and Environmental Regulation's climate projections for the South Western Flatlands region, which draws on CSIRO and Bureau of Meteorology modelling.
Temperature
+0.5 to 1.1°C by 2030
Above the 1986–2005 climate, on all emissions scenarios. By 2090, 1.2 to 2.0°C under intermediate emissions or 2.6 to 4.0°C under high emissions.
Rainfall
Winter rain down up to 15% by 2030
The South West has been drying since 1970, and the decline has been larger than anywhere else in Australia. Heavy rainfall events are projected to become more intense even as totals fall.
Fire weather
Harsher, magnitude uncertain
High confidence that fire weather becomes harsher, low confidence in the size of the change, because it depends heavily on summer rainfall.
Sea level
+0.12 m by 2030
At the Fremantle gauge, range 0.07 to 0.16 m. Very high confidence that sea levels continue to rise through the century.
Source: Department of Water and Environmental Regulation (WA), Western Australian climate projections: summary, September 2021, South Western Flatlands chapter. Read the projections →
Adaptation Recommendations
Improve Flood Defenses
Near-termInvest in infrastructure to mitigate flood risk, such as levees and improved drainage systems.
Est. cost: High
Learn moreBushfire Preparedness
ImmediateImplement bushfire management strategies, including controlled burns and community education programs.
Est. cost: Medium
Learn moreHeatwave Action Plan
Near-termDevelop a heatwave action plan to protect vulnerable populations during extreme heat events.
Est. cost: Low
Learn moreCommunity Resilience Building
Long-termPromote community resilience through education and training programs focused on disaster preparedness.
Est. cost: Low
Learn moreAbout Numinbah's Climate Risk Profile
Numinbah, NSW, is a rural area that is increasingly vulnerable to the impacts of climate change. The primary risks are flooding, bushfires, and heatwaves. Changes in rainfall patterns and rising temperatures are expected to exacerbate these risks in the coming decades.
Flooding is a significant concern due to the suburb's proximity to waterways. Increased rainfall intensity will likely lead to more frequent and severe flooding events, potentially damaging property and infrastructure. Bushfire risk is also high, with drier conditions and higher temperatures creating a more conducive environment for fires to start and spread.
Heatwaves are expected to become more frequent and intense, posing a health risk to residents, particularly the elderly and those with pre-existing health conditions. The local environment and ecosystems will also be affected by these changes.
While Numinbah is not directly exposed to coastal risks, the broader impacts of climate change, such as disruptions to supply chains and increased demand for resources, could still affect the community. Residents should take steps to prepare for these challenges and adapt to a changing climate.
Suburb pages describe the local picture. The address-level assessment, with its data sources and its dollar projections, is in the ClimateNest report.
Local Government Resources
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the main climate change risks in Numinbah?
The main climate change risks in Numinbah are flooding, bushfires, and heatwaves. These risks are expected to increase in the future due to changes in rainfall patterns and rising temperatures.
How will climate change affect property values in Numinbah?
Properties in high-risk areas may experience a decrease in value due to the increased risk of flooding and bushfires. Insurance premiums are also likely to increase.
What can I do to prepare for climate change in Numinbah?
You can take steps to prepare for climate change by assessing your property's vulnerability to extreme weather events, obtaining adequate insurance coverage, and participating in community resilience building programs.
Where can I find more information about climate change risks in Numinbah?
You can find more information about climate change risks in Numinbah from the Bureau of Meteorology, the NSW Rural Fire Service, and the local council.
Is Numinbah at risk of sea level rise?
No, Numinbah is located inland and is not subject to sea level rise.
Get your property's risk report
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What A$49 could save you from
*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA
Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections