Climate Risk Profile: Nowra, NSW

Nowra, New South Wales· Shoalhaven· 2541
Updated Apr 2026

Nowra faces significant climate risks, particularly from flooding and bushfires. Rising temperatures and sea levels are expected to exacerbate these risks in the coming decades. Residents should prepare for more frequent and intense extreme weather events.

Is Nowra Safe from Climate Risk?

Enter your address below for an instant climate risk assessment for Nowra, New South Wales, covering flood, bushfire, sea level rise and more.

Free instant previewCSIRO-powered data

What A$49 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections

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Overall Risk Score

Address-level

Hazard Breakdown

Flood, bushfire, heat, coastal and storm exposure are all assessed in this area. The score that matters is the property's own: a ClimateNest report scores the address across eight hazards, with insurance and value projections to 2050.

Climate Hazard Breakdown for Nowra

Flood

Nowra is highly susceptible to flooding due to its location on the Shoalhaven River floodplain. Increased rainfall intensity and rising sea levels are expected to exacerbate flood risk.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Sea level rise

Bushfire

Bushfire risk is significant due to the proximity of Nowra to surrounding bushland. Drier conditions and increased temperatures are projected to increase bushfire frequency and intensity.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased temperatures
  • ·Drier conditions

Heat

Nowra is expected to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves. This poses a risk to vulnerable populations, including the elderly and those with pre-existing health conditions.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased temperatures
  • ·Heatwave frequency

Coastal

Coastal inundation and erosion are increasing threats due to sea level rise. Low-lying areas of Nowra are particularly vulnerable.

Key drivers:

  • ·Sea level rise
  • ·Storm surge

Wind

Data being compiled

Storm

Data being compiled

Social

Data being compiled

Energy

Data being compiled

In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Nowra

Detailed Hazard Analysis

heat Risk

Nowra is expected to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves. This poses a risk to vulnerable populations, including the elderly and those with pre-existing health conditions.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased temperatures
  • ·Heatwave frequency
  • ·Urban heat island effect
Data source

flood Risk

Nowra is highly susceptible to flooding due to its location on the Shoalhaven River floodplain. Increased rainfall intensity and rising sea levels are expected to exacerbate flood risk.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Sea level rise
  • ·Riverine flooding
Data source

coastal Risk

Coastal inundation and erosion are increasing threats due to sea level rise. Low-lying areas of Nowra are particularly vulnerable.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Sea level rise
  • ·Storm surge
  • ·Coastal erosion
Data source

bushfire Risk

Bushfire risk is significant due to the proximity of Nowra to surrounding bushland. Drier conditions and increased temperatures are projected to increase bushfire frequency and intensity.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased temperatures
  • ·Drier conditions
  • ·Fuel load
Data source

What This Means for Property Owners

Insurance Outlook

Insurance premiums are likely to increase due to the high flood and bushfire risk.

Price Impact

Properties in high-risk areas may experience a decrease in value.

Buyer Checklist

  • 1.Check flood maps and bushfire prone land designations.
  • 2.Obtain a building inspection report.
  • 3.Assess the property's vulnerability to climate risks.
  • 4.Consider the cost of insurance and potential mitigation measures.

How the region's climate is projected to change

Regional projections, not a forecast for this street. Figures are from the WA Department of Water and Environmental Regulation's climate projections for the South Western Flatlands region, which draws on CSIRO and Bureau of Meteorology modelling.

Temperature

+0.5 to 1.1°C by 2030

Above the 1986–2005 climate, on all emissions scenarios. By 2090, 1.2 to 2.0°C under intermediate emissions or 2.6 to 4.0°C under high emissions.

Rainfall

Winter rain down up to 15% by 2030

The South West has been drying since 1970, and the decline has been larger than anywhere else in Australia. Heavy rainfall events are projected to become more intense even as totals fall.

Fire weather

Harsher, magnitude uncertain

High confidence that fire weather becomes harsher, low confidence in the size of the change, because it depends heavily on summer rainfall.

Sea level

+0.12 m by 2030

At the Fremantle gauge, range 0.07 to 0.16 m. Very high confidence that sea levels continue to rise through the century.

Source: Department of Water and Environmental Regulation (WA), Western Australian climate projections: summary, September 2021, South Western Flatlands chapter. Read the projections →

Adaptation Recommendations

Upgrade Flood Defenses

Immediate

Invest in flood levees and drainage systems to protect properties from inundation.

Est. cost: High

Learn more

Implement Bushfire Management Plans

Immediate

Develop and implement bushfire management plans for residential areas, including vegetation clearing and fire breaks.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Improve Building Resilience

Near-term

Promote building designs that are more resilient to extreme weather events, such as elevated foundations and fire-resistant materials.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Enhance Community Awareness

Near-term

Conduct community education programs to raise awareness of climate risks and promote preparedness measures.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

Develop Coastal Management Strategy

Long-term

Create a comprehensive coastal management strategy to address sea level rise and coastal erosion.

Est. cost: High

Learn more

About Nowra's Climate Risk Profile

Nowra, located on the Shoalhaven River, is highly vulnerable to flooding. The combination of riverine flooding and potential coastal inundation due to sea level rise presents a significant challenge. Climate change projections indicate an increase in rainfall intensity, leading to more frequent and severe flood events.

Bushfire risk is also a major concern for Nowra. The surrounding bushland creates a high fuel load, and drier conditions coupled with rising temperatures increase the likelihood of bushfires. Residents need to be aware of bushfire safety measures and have evacuation plans in place.

Heatwaves are becoming more frequent and intense in Nowra, posing a health risk to vulnerable populations. The urban heat island effect can further exacerbate these conditions, particularly in densely populated areas. Adaptation measures, such as increasing green spaces and improving building insulation, are crucial.

Sea level rise threatens low-lying coastal areas of Nowra, increasing the risk of coastal inundation and erosion. Protecting coastal ecosystems and implementing coastal management strategies are essential to mitigate these impacts. The combined effects of these climate risks require a comprehensive and coordinated approach to adaptation and resilience building.

Suburb pages describe the local picture. The address-level assessment, with its data sources and its dollar projections, is in the ClimateNest report.

Local Government Resources

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the main climate change risks in Nowra?

Nowra faces significant risks from flooding, bushfires, heatwaves, and coastal inundation due to sea level rise. These risks are expected to increase in the coming decades due to climate change.

How will climate change affect property values in Nowra?

Properties in high-risk areas, such as those prone to flooding or bushfires, may experience a decrease in value. Insurance premiums are also likely to increase.

What is the council doing to address climate change in Nowra?

Shoalhaven City Council is developing and implementing climate adaptation strategies, including flood mitigation measures, bushfire management plans, and coastal management strategies.

How can I prepare my home for climate change impacts in Nowra?

You can prepare your home by implementing measures such as installing flood barriers, clearing vegetation around your property, and improving building insulation. It's also important to have an emergency plan in place.

Where can I find more information about climate change risks in Nowra?

You can find more information on the Shoalhaven City Council website, the NSW State Emergency Service website, and the NSW Rural Fire Service website.

What kind of financial assistance is available for climate resilience measures?

Contact Shoalhaven City Council and the NSW government to inquire about available grants and subsidies for implementing climate resilience measures on your property.

Get your property's risk report

This suburb assessment covers the area. For a precise address-level climate risk report for any specific property in Nowra, use our analysis tool.

Check Your flood Risk Now

Check Nowra's specific flood risk and see how it compares to nearby suburbs. Enter your address for an instant risk assessment.

Free instant previewCSIRO-powered data

What A$49 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections