Climate Risk in North Manly, NSW
North Manly faces increasing risks from climate change, particularly from heatwaves, flooding, and coastal hazards. Residents should prepare for more frequent and intense extreme weather events.
Is North Manly Safe from Climate Risk?
Enter your address below for an instant climate risk assessment for North Manly, New South Wales, covering flood, bushfire, sea level rise and more.
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Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections
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Overall Risk Score
Hazard Breakdown
Flood, bushfire, heat, coastal and storm exposure are all assessed in this area. The score that matters is the property's own: a ClimateNest report scores the address across eight hazards, with insurance and value projections to 2050.
Climate Hazard Breakdown for North Manly
Flood
North Manly has a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to waterways and low-lying areas. Climate change is expected to increase rainfall intensity, exacerbating flood risk.
Key drivers:
- ·Increased rainfall intensity
- ·Sea level rise
Bushfire
North Manly has a moderate bushfire risk due to the presence of nearby bushland. Hotter, drier conditions are expected to increase the frequency and intensity of bushfires.
Key drivers:
- ·Increased temperatures
- ·Decreased rainfall
Heat
North Manly is expected to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves. This will increase the risk of heatstroke and other heat-related illnesses, especially for vulnerable populations.
Key drivers:
- ·Increased temperatures
- ·Urban heat island effect
Coastal
North Manly faces a moderate risk from coastal hazards due to sea level rise and storm surges. This could lead to erosion and inundation of coastal areas.
Key drivers:
- ·Sea level rise
- ·Increased storm intensity
Wind
Data being compiled
Storm
Data being compiled
Social
Data being compiled
Energy
Data being compiled
In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for North Manly
Property buying guide with climate risk assessment
Flood zone mapping, historical events, and projections
BAL assessment, vegetation proximity, and fire history
Multi-hazard safety assessment to 2050
Severe weather, hail, and wind risk analysis
Extreme heat days, urban heat island, and cooling costs
Premium estimates and insurance availability
Climate-adjusted property investment analysis
Detailed Hazard Analysis
heat Risk
North Manly is expected to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves. This will increase the risk of heatstroke and other heat-related illnesses, especially for vulnerable populations.
Primary Drivers
- ·Increased temperatures
- ·Urban heat island effect
flood Risk
North Manly has a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to waterways and low-lying areas. Climate change is expected to increase rainfall intensity, exacerbating flood risk.
Primary Drivers
- ·Increased rainfall intensity
- ·Sea level rise
- ·Urban development
coastal Risk
North Manly faces a moderate risk from coastal hazards due to sea level rise and storm surges. This could lead to erosion and inundation of coastal areas.
Primary Drivers
- ·Sea level rise
- ·Increased storm intensity
bushfire Risk
North Manly has a moderate bushfire risk due to the presence of nearby bushland. Hotter, drier conditions are expected to increase the frequency and intensity of bushfires.
Primary Drivers
- ·Increased temperatures
- ·Decreased rainfall
- ·Dry vegetation
What This Means for Property Owners
Insurance Outlook
Insurance premiums may increase due to climate risks.
Price Impact
Properties in high-risk areas may experience price decreases.
Buyer Checklist
- 1.Check flood maps
- 2.Assess bushfire risk
- 3.Consider heatwave preparedness
- 4.Evaluate coastal erosion risk
How the region's climate is projected to change
Regional projections, not a forecast for this street. Figures are from the WA Department of Water and Environmental Regulation's climate projections for the South Western Flatlands region, which draws on CSIRO and Bureau of Meteorology modelling.
Temperature
+0.5 to 1.1°C by 2030
Above the 1986–2005 climate, on all emissions scenarios. By 2090, 1.2 to 2.0°C under intermediate emissions or 2.6 to 4.0°C under high emissions.
Rainfall
Winter rain down up to 15% by 2030
The South West has been drying since 1970, and the decline has been larger than anywhere else in Australia. Heavy rainfall events are projected to become more intense even as totals fall.
Fire weather
Harsher, magnitude uncertain
High confidence that fire weather becomes harsher, low confidence in the size of the change, because it depends heavily on summer rainfall.
Sea level
+0.12 m by 2030
At the Fremantle gauge, range 0.07 to 0.16 m. Very high confidence that sea levels continue to rise through the century.
Source: Department of Water and Environmental Regulation (WA), Western Australian climate projections: summary, September 2021, South Western Flatlands chapter. Read the projections →
Adaptation Recommendations
Improve flood defenses
Near-termConstruct flood barriers and improve drainage infrastructure to protect properties from flooding.
Est. cost: High
Learn moreDevelop a heatwave plan
ImmediateImplement a heatwave plan to protect vulnerable populations during extreme heat events.
Est. cost: Low
Learn moreManage bushfire risk
Near-termImplement bushfire management strategies to reduce the risk of bushfires in the area.
Est. cost: Medium
Learn moreProtect coastal areas
Long-termImplement coastal management strategies to protect coastal areas from erosion and inundation.
Est. cost: High
Learn moreAbout North Manly's Climate Risk Profile
North Manly, located in the Northern Beaches region of Sydney, is increasingly vulnerable to the impacts of climate change. The suburb is expected to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves, leading to increased risk of heatstroke and other heat-related illnesses. The urban heat island effect may exacerbate these risks.
Flooding is another significant concern for North Manly. The suburb's proximity to waterways and low-lying areas makes it susceptible to both riverine and flash flooding. Climate change is projected to increase rainfall intensity, further increasing flood risk. Sea level rise also poses a threat to coastal areas of North Manly, potentially leading to erosion and inundation.
Bushfire risk is also present due to the proximity of bushland areas. Hotter, drier conditions are expected to increase the frequency and intensity of bushfires in the region. Residents should be aware of bushfire safety measures and have a plan in place.
Addressing these climate risks requires a combination of mitigation and adaptation strategies. Mitigation efforts should focus on reducing greenhouse gas emissions to slow the pace of climate change. Adaptation measures should focus on protecting communities from the impacts of climate change, such as building flood defenses, improving heatwave preparedness, and managing bushfire risk.
Suburb pages describe the local picture. The address-level assessment, with its data sources and its dollar projections, is in the ClimateNest report.
Local Government Resources
Northern Beaches Council
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the main climate change risks in North Manly?
The main climate change risks in North Manly are heatwaves, flooding, bushfires, and coastal hazards.
How will climate change affect property values in North Manly?
Properties in high-risk areas may experience price decreases due to climate change.
What can I do to prepare for heatwaves in North Manly?
Stay hydrated, stay cool, and check on vulnerable neighbors during heatwaves.
How can I protect my property from flooding in North Manly?
Consider installing flood barriers and improving drainage around your property.
What should I do if there is a bushfire in North Manly?
Follow the advice of emergency services and evacuate if necessary.
Get your property's risk report
This suburb assessment covers the area. For a precise address-level climate risk report for any specific property in North Manly, use our analysis tool.
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What A$49 could save you from
*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA
Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections