Climate Risk in North Macksville, NSW

North Macksville, New South Wales
Updated May 2026

North Macksville is a suburb in New South Wales that faces increasing climate risks. The primary concerns are flooding, heatwaves, and coastal hazards. Residents should prepare for more frequent extreme weather events.

Is North Macksville Safe from Climate Risk?

Enter your address below for an instant climate risk assessment for North Macksville, New South Wales, covering flood, bushfire, sea level rise and more.

Free instant previewCSIRO-powered data

What A$49 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections

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Overall Risk Score

Address-level

Hazard Breakdown

Flood, bushfire, heat, coastal and storm exposure are all assessed in this area. The score that matters is the property's own: a ClimateNest report scores the address across eight hazards, with insurance and value projections to 2050.

Climate Hazard Breakdown for North Macksville

Flood

North Macksville faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to the Nambucca River and low-lying areas. Increased rainfall intensity could exacerbate flood events.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Sea level rise

Bushfire

The risk of bushfire in North Macksville is moderate, with bushland areas surrounding the suburb. Drier conditions and higher temperatures could increase the likelihood of bushfires.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased temperatures
  • ·Drier conditions

Heat

North Macksville is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves. Higher average temperatures can pose health risks, especially for vulnerable populations.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased greenhouse gas emissions
  • ·Urban heat island effect

Coastal

North Macksville faces a moderate risk from coastal hazards due to sea level rise and potential storm surges. The Nambucca River mouth is susceptible to inundation.

Key drivers:

  • ·Sea level rise
  • ·Storm surge

Wind

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Storm

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Social

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Energy

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In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for North Macksville

Detailed Hazard Analysis

heat Risk

North Macksville is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves. Higher average temperatures can pose health risks, especially for vulnerable populations.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased greenhouse gas emissions
  • ·Urban heat island effect
Data source

flood Risk

North Macksville faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to the Nambucca River and low-lying areas. Increased rainfall intensity could exacerbate flood events.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Sea level rise
  • ·Riverine flooding
Data source

coastal Risk

North Macksville faces a moderate risk from coastal hazards due to sea level rise and potential storm surges. The Nambucca River mouth is susceptible to inundation.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Sea level rise
  • ·Storm surge
  • ·Coastal erosion
Data source

bushfire Risk

The risk of bushfire in North Macksville is moderate, with bushland areas surrounding the suburb. Drier conditions and higher temperatures could increase the likelihood of bushfires.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased temperatures
  • ·Drier conditions
  • ·Vegetation dryness
Data source

What This Means for Property Owners

Insurance Outlook

Premiums are likely to increase due to increased flood and bushfire risk.

Price Impact

Properties in flood-prone areas may experience a decrease in value.

Buyer Checklist

  • 1.Check flood maps and historical flood data.
  • 2.Assess bushfire risk and implement mitigation measures.
  • 3.Consider the potential impact of sea level rise on coastal properties.
  • 4.Review insurance coverage for climate-related risks.

How the region's climate is projected to change

Regional projections, not a forecast for this street. Figures are from the WA Department of Water and Environmental Regulation's climate projections for the South Western Flatlands region, which draws on CSIRO and Bureau of Meteorology modelling.

Temperature

+0.5 to 1.1°C by 2030

Above the 1986–2005 climate, on all emissions scenarios. By 2090, 1.2 to 2.0°C under intermediate emissions or 2.6 to 4.0°C under high emissions.

Rainfall

Winter rain down up to 15% by 2030

The South West has been drying since 1970, and the decline has been larger than anywhere else in Australia. Heavy rainfall events are projected to become more intense even as totals fall.

Fire weather

Harsher, magnitude uncertain

High confidence that fire weather becomes harsher, low confidence in the size of the change, because it depends heavily on summer rainfall.

Sea level

+0.12 m by 2030

At the Fremantle gauge, range 0.07 to 0.16 m. Very high confidence that sea levels continue to rise through the century.

Source: Department of Water and Environmental Regulation (WA), Western Australian climate projections: summary, September 2021, South Western Flatlands chapter. Read the projections →

Adaptation Recommendations

Improve Flood Defenses

Near-term

Invest in infrastructure to mitigate flood risk, such as levees and improved drainage systems.

Est. cost: High

Learn more

Develop a Heat Action Plan

Immediate

Implement a plan to protect vulnerable populations during heatwaves, including cooling centers and public awareness campaigns.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Strengthen Coastal Protection

Long-term

Implement measures to protect coastal areas from erosion and sea level rise, such as seawalls and beach nourishment.

Est. cost: Very High

Learn more

Enhance Bushfire Preparedness

Near-term

Implement bushfire mitigation measures, such as vegetation management and community education programs.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

About North Macksville's Climate Risk Profile

North Macksville, located in the Mid North Coast region of New South Wales, is increasingly vulnerable to the impacts of climate change. The suburb's proximity to the Nambucca River makes it susceptible to flooding, which is expected to worsen with increased rainfall intensity.

Rising temperatures and more frequent heatwaves pose a significant threat to the health and well-being of residents, particularly the elderly and those with pre-existing conditions. The urban heat island effect may exacerbate these impacts.

Sea level rise and storm surges also present a risk to coastal areas of North Macksville. Coastal erosion and inundation could damage infrastructure and property.

Bushfire risk is also a concern, with surrounding bushland creating a potential fire hazard. Drier conditions and higher temperatures could increase the likelihood and severity of bushfires. Residents should stay informed and prepared for these risks.

Suburb pages describe the local picture. The address-level assessment, with its data sources and its dollar projections, is in the ClimateNest report.

Local Government Resources

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the main climate change risks in North Macksville?

The main risks are flooding, heatwaves, coastal hazards, and bushfires. These risks are expected to increase in the future due to climate change.

How will climate change affect property values in North Macksville?

Properties in flood-prone areas may experience a decrease in value. Increased insurance premiums are also likely due to climate-related risks.

What is the council doing to address climate change in North Macksville?

The Nambucca Valley Council is developing and implementing climate adaptation strategies to mitigate the impacts of climate change. Check their website for details.

How can I prepare my home for increased flood risk?

Consider raising your home, installing flood barriers, and improving drainage around your property. Check the council's website for advice.

What should I do during a heatwave?

Stay indoors in air-conditioned environments, drink plenty of water, and avoid strenuous activity. Check on vulnerable neighbors and family members.

Get your property's risk report

This suburb assessment covers the area. For a precise address-level climate risk report for any specific property in North Macksville, use our analysis tool.

Check Your flood Risk Now

Check North Macksville's specific flood risk and see how it compares to nearby suburbs. Enter your address for an instant risk assessment.

Free instant previewCSIRO-powered data

What A$49 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections

Climate Risk in North Macksville, NSW | ClimateNest