Climate Risk in Neilrex, New South Wales
Neilrex is a rural locality in New South Wales that faces moderate risks from flooding, bushfires, and heatwaves. Climate change is projected to increase the severity and frequency of these events, requiring proactive adaptation measures.
Is Neilrex Safe from Climate Risk?
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Overall Risk Score
Hazard Breakdown
Flood, bushfire, heat, coastal and storm exposure are all assessed in this area. The score that matters is the property's own: a ClimateNest report scores the address across eight hazards, with insurance and value projections to 2050.
Climate Hazard Breakdown for Neilrex
Flood
Neilrex faces a moderate risk of flooding, primarily from heavy rainfall events and local creek overflows. The risk is projected to increase slightly due to climate change.
Key drivers:
- ·Increased rainfall intensity
- ·Local topography
Bushfire
The area surrounding Neilrex is prone to bushfires, particularly during hot and dry summer months. Climate change is expected to exacerbate these conditions, leading to a higher frequency and intensity of bushfires.
Key drivers:
- ·Increased temperatures
- ·Drier conditions
Heat
Neilrex experiences high temperatures during summer, with the risk of heatwaves increasing due to climate change. This poses a threat to vulnerable populations.
Key drivers:
- ·Rising average temperatures
- ·More frequent heatwaves
Coastal
Neilrex is located inland and does not face any direct coastal risks.
Wind
Data being compiled
Storm
Data being compiled
Social
Data being compiled
Energy
Data being compiled
In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Neilrex
Property buying guide with climate risk assessment
Flood zone mapping, historical events, and projections
BAL assessment, vegetation proximity, and fire history
Multi-hazard safety assessment to 2050
Severe weather, hail, and wind risk analysis
Extreme heat days, urban heat island, and cooling costs
Premium estimates and insurance availability
Climate-adjusted property investment analysis
Detailed Hazard Analysis
heat Risk
Neilrex experiences high temperatures during summer, with the risk of heatwaves increasing due to climate change. This poses a threat to vulnerable populations.
Primary Drivers
- ·Rising average temperatures
- ·More frequent heatwaves
- ·Urban heat island effect (minimal in Neilrex)
flood Risk
Neilrex faces a moderate risk of flooding, primarily from heavy rainfall events and local creek overflows. The risk is projected to increase slightly due to climate change.
Primary Drivers
- ·Increased rainfall intensity
- ·Local topography
- ·Inadequate drainage infrastructure
bushfire Risk
The area surrounding Neilrex is prone to bushfires, particularly during hot and dry summer months. Climate change is expected to exacerbate these conditions, leading to a higher frequency and intensity of bushfires.
Primary Drivers
- ·Increased temperatures
- ·Drier conditions
- ·Fuel load
What This Means for Property Owners
Insurance Outlook
Insurance premiums may increase due to flood and bushfire risks.
Price Impact
Property values may be moderately affected by increasing climate risks.
Buyer Checklist
- 1.Check flood maps and insurance costs.
- 2.Assess bushfire risk and mitigation measures.
- 3.Consider energy efficiency for heatwave resilience.
How the region's climate is projected to change
Regional projections, not a forecast for this street. Figures are from the WA Department of Water and Environmental Regulation's climate projections for the South Western Flatlands region, which draws on CSIRO and Bureau of Meteorology modelling.
Temperature
+0.5 to 1.1°C by 2030
Above the 1986–2005 climate, on all emissions scenarios. By 2090, 1.2 to 2.0°C under intermediate emissions or 2.6 to 4.0°C under high emissions.
Rainfall
Winter rain down up to 15% by 2030
The South West has been drying since 1970, and the decline has been larger than anywhere else in Australia. Heavy rainfall events are projected to become more intense even as totals fall.
Fire weather
Harsher, magnitude uncertain
High confidence that fire weather becomes harsher, low confidence in the size of the change, because it depends heavily on summer rainfall.
Sea level
+0.12 m by 2030
At the Fremantle gauge, range 0.07 to 0.16 m. Very high confidence that sea levels continue to rise through the century.
Source: Department of Water and Environmental Regulation (WA), Western Australian climate projections: summary, September 2021, South Western Flatlands chapter. Read the projections →
Adaptation Recommendations
Improve Flood Management
Near-termUpgrade drainage infrastructure and implement flood mitigation measures to reduce the impact of flooding.
Est. cost: Medium
Learn moreEnhance Bushfire Preparedness
ImmediateImplement bushfire prevention and mitigation strategies, including vegetation management and community education.
Est. cost: Medium
Learn moreDevelop Heatwave Response Plan
Near-termEstablish a heatwave response plan to protect vulnerable populations during extreme heat events.
Est. cost: Low
Learn morePromote Water Conservation
Long-termImplement water conservation measures to address the impacts of drought and water scarcity.
Est. cost: Low
Learn moreAbout Neilrex's Climate Risk Profile
Neilrex, NSW, is a small rural community located in the Mid-Western Regional Council area. The primary climate risks for Neilrex include flooding from heavy rainfall and overflowing creeks, bushfires due to dry conditions and surrounding vegetation, and heatwaves during the summer months.
The risk of flooding is moderate, with potential for property damage and disruption to local infrastructure during significant rainfall events. Bushfire risk is also a concern, particularly during prolonged dry periods when vegetation becomes highly flammable. The increasing frequency and intensity of heatwaves pose a health risk to vulnerable residents, especially the elderly and those with pre-existing medical conditions.
Climate change projections indicate that these risks are likely to worsen in the coming decades. Increased rainfall intensity could lead to more frequent and severe flooding, while higher temperatures and drier conditions could exacerbate bushfire risk. Heatwaves are also expected to become more common and intense, placing additional strain on the community.
Addressing these climate risks requires a multi-faceted approach, including improved flood management infrastructure, bushfire prevention and mitigation strategies, and measures to protect vulnerable populations from heatwaves. Community awareness and preparedness are also crucial for building resilience to climate change impacts.
Suburb pages describe the local picture. The address-level assessment, with its data sources and its dollar projections, is in the ClimateNest report.
Local Government Resources
Mid-Western Regional Council
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the main climate risks facing Neilrex?
The main climate risks facing Neilrex include flooding, bushfires, and heatwaves, which are all projected to increase in severity and frequency due to climate change.
How will climate change affect property values in Neilrex?
Climate change may moderately affect property values in Neilrex due to increasing risks from flooding, bushfires, and heatwaves. Buyers should consider these risks when making purchasing decisions.
What can residents do to prepare for heatwaves in Neilrex?
Residents can prepare for heatwaves by staying hydrated, seeking air-conditioned environments, and checking on vulnerable neighbors. It's also important to have a heatwave response plan in place.
What is the council doing to address climate change in Neilrex?
The Mid-Western Regional Council is developing and implementing climate strategies to address the impacts of climate change, including flood management, bushfire prevention, and heatwave response planning.
Where can I find more information about flood risks in Neilrex?
You can find more information about flood risks in Neilrex on the Mid-Western Regional Council website, including flood maps and information about flood mitigation measures.
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What A$49 could save you from
*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA
Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections