Climate Risk in Narraweena, NSW

Narraweena, New South Wales· Northern Beaches· 2099
Updated May 2026

Narraweena faces moderate climate risks, primarily from flooding, heatwaves, and coastal hazards. The risk scores are projected to increase by 2050 under a high emissions scenario. Residents should prepare for more frequent extreme weather events.

Is Narraweena Safe from Climate Risk?

Enter your address below for an instant climate risk assessment for Narraweena, New South Wales, covering flood, bushfire, sea level rise and more.

Free instant previewCSIRO-powered data

What A$49 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections

Not ready to check your address? See a free sample report →

Overall Risk Score

Address-level

Hazard Breakdown

Flood, bushfire, heat, coastal and storm exposure are all assessed in this area. The score that matters is the property's own: a ClimateNest report scores the address across eight hazards, with insurance and value projections to 2050.

Climate Hazard Breakdown for Narraweena

Flood

Narraweena faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to waterways and low-lying areas. Intense rainfall events can lead to flash flooding.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Urban development

Bushfire

Bushfire risk in Narraweena is moderate, with some areas bordering bushland. Dry conditions and strong winds can exacerbate the risk during bushfire season.

Key drivers:

  • ·Dry vegetation
  • ·High temperatures

Heat

Narraweena experiences moderate heat risk, with increasing average temperatures and more frequent heatwaves projected. This can impact vulnerable populations.

Key drivers:

  • ·Rising global temperatures
  • ·Urban heat island effect

Coastal

Narraweena faces a moderate coastal risk due to sea level rise and potential for coastal erosion. This could impact properties and infrastructure near the coastline.

Key drivers:

  • ·Sea level rise
  • ·Increased storm intensity

Wind

Data being compiled

Storm

Data being compiled

Social

Data being compiled

Energy

Data being compiled

In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Narraweena

Detailed Hazard Analysis

heat Risk

Narraweena experiences moderate heat risk, with increasing average temperatures and more frequent heatwaves projected. This can impact vulnerable populations.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Rising global temperatures
  • ·Urban heat island effect
Data source

flood Risk

Narraweena faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to waterways and low-lying areas. Intense rainfall events can lead to flash flooding.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Urban development
  • ·Sea level rise
Data source

coastal Risk

Narraweena faces a moderate coastal risk due to sea level rise and potential for coastal erosion. This could impact properties and infrastructure near the coastline.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Sea level rise
  • ·Increased storm intensity
Data source

bushfire Risk

Bushfire risk in Narraweena is moderate, with some areas bordering bushland. Dry conditions and strong winds can exacerbate the risk during bushfire season.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Dry vegetation
  • ·High temperatures
  • ·Strong winds
Data source

What This Means for Property Owners

Insurance Outlook

Insurance premiums may increase in areas with higher flood or bushfire risk.

Price Impact

Properties in high-risk areas may experience a decrease in value.

Buyer Checklist

  • 1.Check flood maps and bushfire prone area designations.
  • 2.Assess the property's vulnerability to heatwaves.
  • 3.Consider the potential impacts of sea level rise.
  • 4.Obtain a building inspection report.

How the region's climate is projected to change

Regional projections, not a forecast for this street. Figures are from the WA Department of Water and Environmental Regulation's climate projections for the South Western Flatlands region, which draws on CSIRO and Bureau of Meteorology modelling.

Temperature

+0.5 to 1.1°C by 2030

Above the 1986–2005 climate, on all emissions scenarios. By 2090, 1.2 to 2.0°C under intermediate emissions or 2.6 to 4.0°C under high emissions.

Rainfall

Winter rain down up to 15% by 2030

The South West has been drying since 1970, and the decline has been larger than anywhere else in Australia. Heavy rainfall events are projected to become more intense even as totals fall.

Fire weather

Harsher, magnitude uncertain

High confidence that fire weather becomes harsher, low confidence in the size of the change, because it depends heavily on summer rainfall.

Sea level

+0.12 m by 2030

At the Fremantle gauge, range 0.07 to 0.16 m. Very high confidence that sea levels continue to rise through the century.

Source: Department of Water and Environmental Regulation (WA), Western Australian climate projections: summary, September 2021, South Western Flatlands chapter. Read the projections →

Adaptation Recommendations

Improve Flood Defenses

Near-term

Upgrade drainage systems and build flood barriers to protect properties from flooding.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Bushfire Management

Near-term

Implement bushfire management strategies, including vegetation clearing and community education programs.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Heatwave Preparedness

Immediate

Develop a heatwave preparedness plan and provide cooling centers for vulnerable residents.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

Coastal Protection

Long-term

Implement coastal protection measures, such as seawalls and beach nourishment, to mitigate the impacts of sea level rise.

Est. cost: High

Learn more

Community Awareness Programs

Near-term

Educate residents about climate risks and adaptation measures through community workshops and online resources.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

About Narraweena's Climate Risk Profile

Narraweena, located on the Northern Beaches of Sydney, is susceptible to a range of climate-related hazards. Its proximity to waterways increases the risk of flooding during heavy rainfall events. The suburb also experiences moderate bushfire risk due to nearby bushland areas.

Rising temperatures and more frequent heatwaves pose a threat to vulnerable populations, particularly the elderly and those with pre-existing health conditions. Sea level rise and coastal erosion are also concerns for properties located near the coastline.

Climate change projections indicate that these risks will intensify in the coming decades. Increased rainfall intensity is expected to exacerbate flooding, while hotter and drier conditions will increase bushfire risk. Sea level rise will further threaten coastal areas.

Adapting to these changes is crucial to protect the community and infrastructure. This includes implementing flood mitigation measures, managing bushfire risk, and preparing for heatwaves. Residents should also consider the potential impacts of climate change when making property decisions.

Suburb pages describe the local picture. The address-level assessment, with its data sources and its dollar projections, is in the ClimateNest report.

Local Government Resources

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the main climate risks in Narraweena?

The main climate risks in Narraweena are flooding, bushfires, heatwaves, and coastal erosion.

How is the council addressing climate change?

The Northern Beaches Council has a climate strategy that outlines actions to reduce emissions and adapt to the impacts of climate change.

What can I do to prepare for a flood?

You can prepare for a flood by developing a flood plan, elevating your belongings, and signing up for flood warnings.

How can I protect my home from bushfires?

You can protect your home from bushfires by clearing vegetation around your property, installing fire shutters, and having a bushfire survival plan.

What should I do during a heatwave?

During a heatwave, you should stay indoors, drink plenty of water, and avoid strenuous activity. Check on vulnerable neighbors and friends.

Is my property at risk from sea level rise?

Properties in low-lying areas near Narrabeen Lagoon are at higher risk from sea level rise. Check coastal inundation maps for more information.

Get your property's risk report

This suburb assessment covers the area. For a precise address-level climate risk report for any specific property in Narraweena, use our analysis tool.

Check Your flood Risk Now

Check Narraweena's specific flood risk and see how it compares to nearby suburbs. Enter your address for an instant risk assessment.

Free instant previewCSIRO-powered data

What A$49 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections