Climate Risk Profile: Narrangullen, NSW

Narrangullen, New South Wales· Yass Valley
Updated May 2026

Narrangullen faces moderate risks from flooding, bushfires, and heatwaves, which are projected to increase with climate change. Residents should prepare for more frequent extreme weather events. The suburb is not exposed to coastal risks.

Is Narrangullen Safe from Climate Risk?

Enter your address below for an instant climate risk assessment for Narrangullen, New South Wales, covering flood, bushfire, sea level rise and more.

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What A$49 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections

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Overall Risk Score

Address-level

Hazard Breakdown

Flood, bushfire, heat, coastal and storm exposure are all assessed in this area. The score that matters is the property's own: a ClimateNest report scores the address across eight hazards, with insurance and value projections to 2050.

Climate Hazard Breakdown for Narrangullen

Flood

Narrangullen faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to waterways and low-lying areas. Increased rainfall intensity could exacerbate this risk.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Proximity to waterways

Bushfire

The area around Narrangullen has a moderate bushfire risk due to surrounding vegetation. Drier conditions and higher temperatures could increase the likelihood of bushfires.

Key drivers:

  • ·Drier conditions
  • ·Higher temperatures

Heat

Narrangullen is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves. Higher average temperatures can pose health risks, especially for vulnerable populations.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased frequency of heatwaves
  • ·Higher average temperatures

Coastal

Narrangullen is not exposed to coastal risks.

Wind

Data being compiled

Storm

Data being compiled

Social

Data being compiled

Energy

Data being compiled

In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Narrangullen

Detailed Hazard Analysis

heat Risk

Narrangullen is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves. Higher average temperatures can pose health risks, especially for vulnerable populations.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased frequency of heatwaves
  • ·Higher average temperatures
Data source

flood Risk

Narrangullen faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to waterways and low-lying areas. Increased rainfall intensity could exacerbate this risk.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Proximity to waterways
  • ·Low-lying areas
Data source

coastal Risk

Narrangullen is not exposed to coastal risks.

Data source

bushfire Risk

The area around Narrangullen has a moderate bushfire risk due to surrounding vegetation. Drier conditions and higher temperatures could increase the likelihood of bushfires.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Drier conditions
  • ·Higher temperatures
  • ·Surrounding vegetation
Data source

What This Means for Property Owners

Insurance Outlook

Insurance premiums may increase due to heightened flood and bushfire risks.

Price Impact

Properties in flood-prone areas may experience price stagnation or decline.

Buyer Checklist

  • 1.Check flood maps and historical flood data.
  • 2.Assess bushfire risk and property defensibility.
  • 3.Ensure adequate insurance coverage.
  • 4.Consider energy efficiency and cooling options.

How the region's climate is projected to change

Regional projections, not a forecast for this street. Figures are from the WA Department of Water and Environmental Regulation's climate projections for the South Western Flatlands region, which draws on CSIRO and Bureau of Meteorology modelling.

Temperature

+0.5 to 1.1°C by 2030

Above the 1986–2005 climate, on all emissions scenarios. By 2090, 1.2 to 2.0°C under intermediate emissions or 2.6 to 4.0°C under high emissions.

Rainfall

Winter rain down up to 15% by 2030

The South West has been drying since 1970, and the decline has been larger than anywhere else in Australia. Heavy rainfall events are projected to become more intense even as totals fall.

Fire weather

Harsher, magnitude uncertain

High confidence that fire weather becomes harsher, low confidence in the size of the change, because it depends heavily on summer rainfall.

Sea level

+0.12 m by 2030

At the Fremantle gauge, range 0.07 to 0.16 m. Very high confidence that sea levels continue to rise through the century.

Source: Department of Water and Environmental Regulation (WA), Western Australian climate projections: summary, September 2021, South Western Flatlands chapter. Read the projections →

Adaptation Recommendations

Improve Flood Defenses

Near-term

Invest in infrastructure to mitigate flood risks, such as levees and improved drainage systems.

Est. cost: High

Learn more

Enhance Bushfire Preparedness

Immediate

Implement community education programs and support property owners in reducing bushfire hazards.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Develop Heat Action Plan

Near-term

Create a plan to protect vulnerable populations during heatwaves, including cooling centers and outreach programs.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

Promote Water Conservation

Long-term

Encourage water-saving practices to address potential water shortages during droughts.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

About Narrangullen's Climate Risk Profile

Narrangullen, NSW, is situated in an area that is increasingly vulnerable to the impacts of climate change. The primary concerns for this suburb are flooding, bushfires, and heatwaves. Projections indicate that these risks will intensify in the coming decades due to rising temperatures and altered rainfall patterns.

Flooding is a significant concern due to the suburb's proximity to waterways. Increased rainfall intensity can lead to more frequent and severe flood events, potentially impacting homes and infrastructure. Residents should stay informed about flood warnings and take necessary precautions.

Bushfire risk is also a factor, with surrounding vegetation posing a threat during dry and hot conditions. Climate change is expected to exacerbate bushfire conditions, making it crucial for residents to maintain their properties and have bushfire preparedness plans in place.

Heatwaves are becoming more frequent and intense, posing health risks, particularly for the elderly and those with pre-existing conditions. It is important to stay hydrated, seek cooler environments during peak heat, and check on vulnerable neighbors.

While Narrangullen is not directly exposed to coastal risks, the broader impacts of climate change, such as disruptions to supply chains and increased demand on emergency services, can still affect the community.

Suburb pages describe the local picture. The address-level assessment, with its data sources and its dollar projections, is in the ClimateNest report.

Local Government Resources

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the main climate change risks for Narrangullen?

The main risks are increased flooding, more frequent and intense bushfires, and more severe heatwaves.

How can I prepare my home for a bushfire?

Clear vegetation around your home, maintain gutters, and have a bushfire survival plan.

What should I do during a heatwave?

Stay hydrated, seek air-conditioned environments, and check on vulnerable neighbors.

Where can I find information about local flood risks?

Check the Yass Valley Council website for flood maps and historical flood data.

How is the council addressing climate change?

The Yass Valley Council is developing and implementing climate adaptation strategies to reduce risks and build community resilience.

Get your property's risk report

This suburb assessment covers the area. For a precise address-level climate risk report for any specific property in Narrangullen, use our analysis tool.

Check Your flood Risk Now

Check Narrangullen's specific flood risk and see how it compares to nearby suburbs. Enter your address for an instant risk assessment.

Free instant previewCSIRO-powered data

What A$49 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections

Climate Risk Assessment for Narrangullen, NSW | ClimateNest