Climate Risk Profile: Narran Lake, NSW
Narran Lake faces notable risks from flooding and heatwaves, which are expected to worsen with climate change. Bushfire risk is moderate, while coastal risks are minimal due to its inland location. Residents should prepare for more extreme weather events in the future.
Is Narran Lake Safe from Climate Risk?
Enter your address below for an instant climate risk assessment for Narran Lake, New South Wales, covering flood, bushfire, sea level rise and more.
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Overall Risk Score
Hazard Breakdown
Flood, bushfire, heat, coastal and storm exposure are all assessed in this area. The score that matters is the property's own: a ClimateNest report scores the address across eight hazards, with insurance and value projections to 2050.
Climate Hazard Breakdown for Narran Lake
Flood
Narran Lake is susceptible to flooding due to its low-lying topography and proximity to the Narran River. Climate change is expected to increase the frequency and intensity of heavy rainfall events, exacerbating flood risk.
Key drivers:
- ·Increased rainfall intensity
- ·Riverine flooding
Bushfire
The area around Narran Lake has some bushfire risk due to surrounding vegetation. Hotter, drier conditions associated with climate change may increase the likelihood of bushfires.
Key drivers:
- ·Increased temperatures
- ·Drier conditions
Heat
Narran Lake experiences high temperatures, particularly during summer. Climate change is projected to lead to more frequent and intense heatwaves, posing a risk to vulnerable populations.
Key drivers:
- ·Increased temperatures
- ·Heatwave frequency
Coastal
Narran Lake is not located near the coast, therefore the risk of coastal hazards is very low.
Key drivers:
- ·Distance from coast
Wind
Data being compiled
Storm
Data being compiled
Social
Data being compiled
Energy
Data being compiled
In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Narran Lake
Property buying guide with climate risk assessment
Flood zone mapping, historical events, and projections
BAL assessment, vegetation proximity, and fire history
Multi-hazard safety assessment to 2050
Severe weather, hail, and wind risk analysis
Extreme heat days, urban heat island, and cooling costs
Premium estimates and insurance availability
Climate-adjusted property investment analysis
Detailed Hazard Analysis
heat Risk
Narran Lake experiences high temperatures, particularly during summer. Climate change is projected to lead to more frequent and intense heatwaves, posing a risk to vulnerable populations.
Primary Drivers
- ·Increased temperatures
- ·Heatwave frequency
- ·Climate change
flood Risk
Narran Lake is susceptible to flooding due to its low-lying topography and proximity to the Narran River. Climate change is expected to increase the frequency and intensity of heavy rainfall events, exacerbating flood risk.
Primary Drivers
- ·Increased rainfall intensity
- ·Riverine flooding
- ·Climate change
coastal Risk
Narran Lake is not located near the coast, therefore the risk of coastal hazards is very low.
Primary Drivers
- ·Distance from coast
bushfire Risk
The area around Narran Lake has some bushfire risk due to surrounding vegetation. Hotter, drier conditions associated with climate change may increase the likelihood of bushfires.
Primary Drivers
- ·Increased temperatures
- ·Drier conditions
- ·Vegetation density
What This Means for Property Owners
Insurance Outlook
Insurance premiums may increase due to flood and bushfire risks.
Price Impact
Property values may be negatively impacted by increasing climate risks.
Buyer Checklist
- 1.Check flood maps and historical flood data.
- 2.Assess bushfire risk and property protection measures.
- 3.Consider the impact of heatwaves on property comfort and energy costs.
- 4.Review insurance options and potential premium increases.
How the region's climate is projected to change
Regional projections, not a forecast for this street. Figures are from the WA Department of Water and Environmental Regulation's climate projections for the South Western Flatlands region, which draws on CSIRO and Bureau of Meteorology modelling.
Temperature
+0.5 to 1.1°C by 2030
Above the 1986–2005 climate, on all emissions scenarios. By 2090, 1.2 to 2.0°C under intermediate emissions or 2.6 to 4.0°C under high emissions.
Rainfall
Winter rain down up to 15% by 2030
The South West has been drying since 1970, and the decline has been larger than anywhere else in Australia. Heavy rainfall events are projected to become more intense even as totals fall.
Fire weather
Harsher, magnitude uncertain
High confidence that fire weather becomes harsher, low confidence in the size of the change, because it depends heavily on summer rainfall.
Sea level
+0.12 m by 2030
At the Fremantle gauge, range 0.07 to 0.16 m. Very high confidence that sea levels continue to rise through the century.
Source: Department of Water and Environmental Regulation (WA), Western Australian climate projections: summary, September 2021, South Western Flatlands chapter. Read the projections →
Adaptation Recommendations
Improve Flood Defenses
Near-termConstruct levees and improve drainage systems to reduce flood risk.
Est. cost: High
Learn moreImplement Heat Action Plan
ImmediateDevelop and implement a heat action plan to protect vulnerable populations during heatwaves.
Est. cost: Medium
Learn moreEnhance Bushfire Preparedness
Near-termImplement bushfire management strategies, including vegetation clearing and community education programs.
Est. cost: Medium
Learn moreUpgrade Infrastructure
Long-termUpgrade critical infrastructure to withstand extreme weather events.
Est. cost: Very High
Learn moreAbout Narran Lake's Climate Risk Profile
Narran Lake, located in New South Wales, is an area that faces several climate-related challenges. The primary concerns are flooding and heatwaves, with bushfire risk also present.
Flooding is a significant issue due to the area's proximity to the Narran River and low-lying topography. Increased rainfall intensity, driven by climate change, is expected to exacerbate flood risks in the coming years. Residents should be aware of flood warnings and have evacuation plans in place.
Heatwaves are another major concern, with the region already experiencing high temperatures during summer. Climate change projections indicate that heatwaves will become more frequent and intense, posing a threat to public health, especially for vulnerable populations such as the elderly and those with pre-existing medical conditions.
Bushfire risk is moderate, with surrounding vegetation contributing to the potential for fires. Hotter, drier conditions associated with climate change may increase the likelihood of bushfires, requiring residents to maintain their properties and be prepared for evacuation if necessary.
While coastal risks are minimal due to its inland location, Narran Lake must focus on adapting to the increasing threats of flooding, heatwaves, and bushfires to ensure the safety and well-being of its community.
Suburb pages describe the local picture. The address-level assessment, with its data sources and its dollar projections, is in the ClimateNest report.
Local Government Resources
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the main climate risks facing Narran Lake?
The main climate risks include flooding, heatwaves, and bushfires. These risks are expected to increase with climate change.
How will climate change affect property values in Narran Lake?
Increasing climate risks may negatively impact property values due to increased insurance premiums and potential damage from extreme weather events.
What can residents do to prepare for heatwaves?
Residents should stay hydrated, seek air-conditioned environments, and check on vulnerable neighbors during heatwaves.
What are the local council's plans for addressing climate change?
The local council is currently developing a climate adaptation strategy to address the specific risks facing Narran Lake. Please check the council website for updates.
Where can I find information about flood risks in Narran Lake?
Information about flood risks can be found on the NSW State Emergency Service website and potentially on the local council website, if available.
Get your property's risk report
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What A$49 could save you from
*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA
Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections