Climate Risk Assessment for Narrabri, NSW
Narrabri faces moderate risks from flooding and heatwaves, with bushfire risk also present. Climate change is expected to exacerbate these risks, particularly in relation to flooding and heat events. Coastal risk is negligible due to its inland location.
Is Narrabri Safe from Climate Risk?
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Overall Risk Score
Hazard Breakdown
Flood, bushfire, heat, coastal and storm exposure are all assessed in this area. The score that matters is the property's own: a ClimateNest report scores the address across eight hazards, with insurance and value projections to 2050.
Climate Hazard Breakdown for Narrabri
Flood
Narrabri faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to the Namoi River. Climate change is expected to increase rainfall intensity, potentially worsening flood events.
Key drivers:
- ·Increased rainfall intensity
- ·Riverine flooding
Bushfire
The area surrounding Narrabri has a moderate bushfire risk. Hot, dry conditions and vegetation contribute to the potential for bushfires, particularly during the summer months.
Key drivers:
- ·Hotter, drier conditions
- ·Increased fuel load
Heat
Narrabri experiences high temperatures during summer, with heatwaves becoming more frequent and intense due to climate change. This poses a risk to vulnerable populations.
Key drivers:
- ·Rising average temperatures
- ·Increased frequency of heatwaves
Coastal
Narrabri is located inland and does not face any direct coastal risks.
Wind
Data being compiled
Storm
Data being compiled
Social
Data being compiled
Energy
Data being compiled
In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Narrabri
Property buying guide with climate risk assessment
Flood zone mapping, historical events, and projections
BAL assessment, vegetation proximity, and fire history
Multi-hazard safety assessment to 2050
Severe weather, hail, and wind risk analysis
Extreme heat days, urban heat island, and cooling costs
Premium estimates and insurance availability
Climate-adjusted property investment analysis
Detailed Hazard Analysis
heat Risk
Narrabri experiences high temperatures during summer, with heatwaves becoming more frequent and intense due to climate change. This poses a risk to vulnerable populations.
Primary Drivers
- ·Rising average temperatures
- ·Increased frequency of heatwaves
- ·Urban heat island effect
flood Risk
Narrabri faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to the Namoi River. Climate change is expected to increase rainfall intensity, potentially worsening flood events.
Primary Drivers
- ·Increased rainfall intensity
- ·Riverine flooding
- ·Urban development
bushfire Risk
The area surrounding Narrabri has a moderate bushfire risk. Hot, dry conditions and vegetation contribute to the potential for bushfires, particularly during the summer months.
Primary Drivers
- ·Hotter, drier conditions
- ·Increased fuel load
- ·Ignition sources
What This Means for Property Owners
Insurance Outlook
Insurance premiums may increase due to flood and bushfire risks.
Price Impact
Properties in flood-prone areas may experience price reductions.
Buyer Checklist
- 1.Check flood maps and historical flood data.
- 2.Assess bushfire risk and implement mitigation measures.
- 3.Consider the impact of heatwaves on property value and comfort.
- 4.Review insurance options and premiums.
How the region's climate is projected to change
Regional projections, not a forecast for this street. Figures are from the WA Department of Water and Environmental Regulation's climate projections for the South Western Flatlands region, which draws on CSIRO and Bureau of Meteorology modelling.
Temperature
+0.5 to 1.1°C by 2030
Above the 1986–2005 climate, on all emissions scenarios. By 2090, 1.2 to 2.0°C under intermediate emissions or 2.6 to 4.0°C under high emissions.
Rainfall
Winter rain down up to 15% by 2030
The South West has been drying since 1970, and the decline has been larger than anywhere else in Australia. Heavy rainfall events are projected to become more intense even as totals fall.
Fire weather
Harsher, magnitude uncertain
High confidence that fire weather becomes harsher, low confidence in the size of the change, because it depends heavily on summer rainfall.
Sea level
+0.12 m by 2030
At the Fremantle gauge, range 0.07 to 0.16 m. Very high confidence that sea levels continue to rise through the century.
Source: Department of Water and Environmental Regulation (WA), Western Australian climate projections: summary, September 2021, South Western Flatlands chapter. Read the projections →
Adaptation Recommendations
Upgrade Flood Defenses
Near-termInvest in levees and drainage systems to protect Narrabri from flooding.
Est. cost: High
Learn moreImprove Bushfire Preparedness
Near-termImplement bushfire mitigation measures, such as hazard reduction burns and community education programs.
Est. cost: Medium
Learn moreDevelop Heatwave Management Plan
ImmediateCreate a plan to protect vulnerable populations during heatwaves, including cooling centers and public awareness campaigns.
Est. cost: Low
Learn morePromote Water Conservation
Long-termEncourage water conservation measures to address drought risks.
Est. cost: Low
Learn moreEnhance Emergency Response Capabilities
Near-termStrengthen emergency services and community resilience to respond to climate-related disasters.
Est. cost: Medium
Learn moreAbout Narrabri's Climate Risk Profile
Narrabri, located in the Namoi Valley of New South Wales, is susceptible to various climate-related hazards. The primary concern is flooding from the Namoi River, which can inundate low-lying areas of the town. Climate change projections indicate an increase in rainfall intensity, leading to a higher likelihood of severe flood events.
Bushfire risk is also a factor, especially during the hot, dry summer months. The surrounding vegetation provides ample fuel for fires, and increased temperatures and reduced rainfall can create ideal conditions for ignition and spread. While not as immediate a threat as flooding, bushfires pose a significant risk to property and human safety.
Heatwaves are another growing concern for Narrabri. The town already experiences high temperatures during summer, and climate change is expected to increase the frequency and intensity of heatwaves. This can lead to heat stress, particularly among vulnerable populations such as the elderly and those with pre-existing health conditions.
Coastal risks are minimal due to Narrabri's inland location. However, the town may indirectly experience impacts from coastal changes, such as disruptions to supply chains or increased migration from coastal areas. Adaptation measures are needed to mitigate the impacts of climate change on Narrabri, focusing on flood mitigation, bushfire preparedness, and heatwave management.
Suburb pages describe the local picture. The address-level assessment, with its data sources and its dollar projections, is in the ClimateNest report.
Local Government Resources
Narrabri Shire Council
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the main climate risks facing Narrabri?
Narrabri faces risks from flooding, bushfires, and heatwaves, which are expected to worsen with climate change.
How is the Narrabri Shire Council addressing climate change?
The council is developing and implementing strategies to mitigate and adapt to the impacts of climate change, including flood mitigation and bushfire preparedness measures.
What can residents do to prepare for heatwaves in Narrabri?
Residents can stay hydrated, seek air-conditioned environments, and check on vulnerable neighbors during heatwaves.
Where can I find information about flood risks in Narrabri?
Information about flood risks can be found on the Narrabri Shire Council website and the NSW State Emergency Service website.
What is the long-term outlook for climate change in Narrabri?
Climate projections indicate that Narrabri will experience more frequent and intense extreme weather events, requiring ongoing adaptation efforts.
Are there any government grants available for climate resilience measures in Narrabri?
Yes, both state and federal governments offer grants for projects that improve climate resilience. Check the relevant government websites for current opportunities.
Get your property's risk report
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What A$49 could save you from
*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA
Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections