Climate Risk in Narrabarba, NSW

Narrabarba, New South Wales
Updated May 2026

Narrabarba faces moderate risks from flooding and heatwaves, and a high risk from bushfires. Climate change is expected to exacerbate these risks in the future, particularly in relation to flooding and heatwaves.

Is Narrabarba Safe from Climate Risk?

Enter your address below for an instant climate risk assessment for Narrabarba, New South Wales, covering flood, bushfire, sea level rise and more.

Free instant previewCSIRO-powered data

What A$49 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections

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Overall Risk Score

Address-level

Hazard Breakdown

Flood, bushfire, heat, coastal and storm exposure are all assessed in this area. The score that matters is the property's own: a ClimateNest report scores the address across eight hazards, with insurance and value projections to 2050.

Climate Hazard Breakdown for Narrabarba

Flood

Flooding may occur due to heavy rainfall and proximity to waterways. The risk is moderate, with potential for property damage and disruption to daily life.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Urban development

Bushfire

Bushfire risk is high due to the proximity to bushland. Hot, dry conditions and strong winds can exacerbate the risk.

Key drivers:

  • ·Dry vegetation
  • ·High temperatures

Heat

Heatwaves are becoming more frequent and intense, posing a risk to vulnerable populations. Extreme heat can cause heatstroke and other health issues.

Key drivers:

  • ·Climate change
  • ·Urban heat island effect

Coastal

Coastal risk is low due to the suburb's inland location. Sea level rise and coastal erosion are not significant threats.

Key drivers:

  • ·Distance from coast

Wind

Data being compiled

Storm

Data being compiled

Social

Data being compiled

Energy

Data being compiled

In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Narrabarba

Detailed Hazard Analysis

heat Risk

Heatwaves are becoming more frequent and intense, posing a risk to vulnerable populations. Extreme heat can cause heatstroke and other health issues.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Climate change
  • ·Urban heat island effect
Data source

flood Risk

Flooding may occur due to heavy rainfall and proximity to waterways. The risk is moderate, with potential for property damage and disruption to daily life.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Urban development
  • ·Climate change
Data source

coastal Risk

Coastal risk is low due to the suburb's inland location. Sea level rise and coastal erosion are not significant threats.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Distance from coast
Data source

bushfire Risk

Bushfire risk is high due to the proximity to bushland. Hot, dry conditions and strong winds can exacerbate the risk.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Dry vegetation
  • ·High temperatures
  • ·Strong winds
Data source

What This Means for Property Owners

Insurance Outlook

Insurance premiums may increase due to the elevated bushfire and flood risks.

Price Impact

Property values may be affected by the increasing climate risks.

Buyer Checklist

  • 1.Check bushfire risk maps
  • 2.Assess flood risk
  • 3.Evaluate home cooling options
  • 4.Review insurance coverage

How the region's climate is projected to change

Regional projections, not a forecast for this street. Figures are from the WA Department of Water and Environmental Regulation's climate projections for the South Western Flatlands region, which draws on CSIRO and Bureau of Meteorology modelling.

Temperature

+0.5 to 1.1°C by 2030

Above the 1986–2005 climate, on all emissions scenarios. By 2090, 1.2 to 2.0°C under intermediate emissions or 2.6 to 4.0°C under high emissions.

Rainfall

Winter rain down up to 15% by 2030

The South West has been drying since 1970, and the decline has been larger than anywhere else in Australia. Heavy rainfall events are projected to become more intense even as totals fall.

Fire weather

Harsher, magnitude uncertain

High confidence that fire weather becomes harsher, low confidence in the size of the change, because it depends heavily on summer rainfall.

Sea level

+0.12 m by 2030

At the Fremantle gauge, range 0.07 to 0.16 m. Very high confidence that sea levels continue to rise through the century.

Source: Department of Water and Environmental Regulation (WA), Western Australian climate projections: summary, September 2021, South Western Flatlands chapter. Read the projections →

Adaptation Recommendations

Improve drainage infrastructure

Near-term

Upgrade local drainage systems to handle increased rainfall intensity and reduce flood risk.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Implement bushfire management plan

Immediate

Develop and implement a comprehensive bushfire management plan to reduce the risk of bushfires.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Establish a heatwave response plan

Near-term

Create a heatwave response plan to protect vulnerable populations during extreme heat events.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

Promote community awareness

Long-term

Educate residents about climate risks and adaptation measures.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

About Narrabarba's Climate Risk Profile

Narrabarba, NSW, is a rural locality that faces a number of climate-related challenges. The primary concerns are bushfire risk due to the surrounding bushland, and increasing heatwave frequency and intensity. Flooding is also a concern due to heavy rainfall events.

The bushfire risk is driven by dry vegetation and hot, windy conditions, which can quickly spread fires. Residents should be prepared for bushfire season and have a plan in place.

Heatwaves are becoming more frequent and intense due to climate change. This poses a risk to vulnerable populations, such as the elderly and those with chronic health conditions. It is important to stay hydrated and avoid strenuous activity during heatwaves.

Flooding can occur due to heavy rainfall events, which are becoming more common due to climate change. Residents should be aware of flood risks and take precautions to protect their property.

While coastal risks are minimal due to the suburb's inland location, the other risks require proactive adaptation measures to protect the community and its assets.

Suburb pages describe the local picture. The address-level assessment, with its data sources and its dollar projections, is in the ClimateNest report.

Local Government Resources

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the main climate risks in Narrabarba?

The main climate risks are bushfires, flooding, and heatwaves. These risks are expected to increase due to climate change.

How can I prepare for bushfires?

You can prepare for bushfires by clearing vegetation around your home, having a bushfire survival plan, and staying informed about fire danger ratings.

What should I do during a heatwave?

During a heatwave, you should stay hydrated, avoid strenuous activity, and seek shelter in a cool place.

Where can I find information about flood risks in Narrabarba?

You can find information about flood risks on the SES website and from your local council.

What is the council doing to address climate change?

The council is developing a climate strategy to reduce emissions and adapt to the impacts of climate change. Please check the council website for updates.

Get your property's risk report

This suburb assessment covers the area. For a precise address-level climate risk report for any specific property in Narrabarba, use our analysis tool.

Check Your flood Risk Now

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Free instant previewCSIRO-powered data

What A$49 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections