Climate Risk Profile: Narone Creek, NSW
Narone Creek faces moderate risks from flooding and heatwaves, with bushfire risk also present. Climate change is expected to exacerbate these risks, particularly increasing the intensity of floods and heatwaves.
Is Narone Creek Safe from Climate Risk?
Enter your address below for an instant climate risk assessment for Narone Creek, New South Wales, covering flood, bushfire, sea level rise and more.
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Overall Risk Score
Hazard Breakdown
Flood, bushfire, heat, coastal and storm exposure are all assessed in this area. The score that matters is the property's own: a ClimateNest report scores the address across eight hazards, with insurance and value projections to 2050.
Climate Hazard Breakdown for Narone Creek
Flood
Narone Creek faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to waterways and low-lying areas. Intense rainfall events can lead to riverine and flash flooding.
Key drivers:
- ·Increased rainfall intensity
- ·Urban development
Bushfire
The area around Narone Creek has a moderate bushfire risk due to surrounding vegetation. Hot, dry conditions and strong winds can increase the likelihood of bushfires.
Key drivers:
- ·Dry vegetation
- ·Hot temperatures
Heat
Narone Creek is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves. Higher average temperatures can pose health risks, especially for vulnerable populations.
Key drivers:
- ·Climate change
- ·Urban heat island effect
Coastal
Narone Creek is not directly exposed to coastal hazards. Sea level rise and coastal erosion are not significant concerns for this suburb.
Key drivers:
- ·Distance from coast
Wind
Data being compiled
Storm
Data being compiled
Social
Data being compiled
Energy
Data being compiled
In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Narone Creek
Property buying guide with climate risk assessment
Flood zone mapping, historical events, and projections
BAL assessment, vegetation proximity, and fire history
Multi-hazard safety assessment to 2050
Severe weather, hail, and wind risk analysis
Extreme heat days, urban heat island, and cooling costs
Premium estimates and insurance availability
Climate-adjusted property investment analysis
Detailed Hazard Analysis
heat Risk
Narone Creek is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves. Higher average temperatures can pose health risks, especially for vulnerable populations.
Primary Drivers
- ·Climate change
- ·Urban heat island effect
flood Risk
Narone Creek faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to waterways and low-lying areas. Intense rainfall events can lead to riverine and flash flooding.
Primary Drivers
- ·Increased rainfall intensity
- ·Urban development
- ·Climate change
coastal Risk
Narone Creek is not directly exposed to coastal hazards. Sea level rise and coastal erosion are not significant concerns for this suburb.
Primary Drivers
- ·Distance from coast
bushfire Risk
The area around Narone Creek has a moderate bushfire risk due to surrounding vegetation. Hot, dry conditions and strong winds can increase the likelihood of bushfires.
Primary Drivers
- ·Dry vegetation
- ·Hot temperatures
- ·Wind
What This Means for Property Owners
Insurance Outlook
Insurance premiums may increase due to flood and bushfire risks.
Price Impact
Properties in flood-prone areas may experience price stagnation or decline.
Buyer Checklist
- 1.Check flood maps and historical flood data.
- 2.Assess bushfire risk and property protection measures.
- 3.Consider energy efficiency and cooling options for heatwaves.
- 4.Review insurance coverage for climate-related events.
How the region's climate is projected to change
Regional projections, not a forecast for this street. Figures are from the WA Department of Water and Environmental Regulation's climate projections for the South Western Flatlands region, which draws on CSIRO and Bureau of Meteorology modelling.
Temperature
+0.5 to 1.1°C by 2030
Above the 1986–2005 climate, on all emissions scenarios. By 2090, 1.2 to 2.0°C under intermediate emissions or 2.6 to 4.0°C under high emissions.
Rainfall
Winter rain down up to 15% by 2030
The South West has been drying since 1970, and the decline has been larger than anywhere else in Australia. Heavy rainfall events are projected to become more intense even as totals fall.
Fire weather
Harsher, magnitude uncertain
High confidence that fire weather becomes harsher, low confidence in the size of the change, because it depends heavily on summer rainfall.
Sea level
+0.12 m by 2030
At the Fremantle gauge, range 0.07 to 0.16 m. Very high confidence that sea levels continue to rise through the century.
Source: Department of Water and Environmental Regulation (WA), Western Australian climate projections: summary, September 2021, South Western Flatlands chapter. Read the projections →
Adaptation Recommendations
Improve Drainage Infrastructure
Near-termUpgrade local drainage systems to handle increased rainfall and reduce flood risk.
Est. cost: Medium
Learn moreImplement Heat Action Plan
ImmediateDevelop a community heat action plan to protect vulnerable residents during heatwaves.
Est. cost: Low
Learn moreBushfire Preparedness
Near-termPromote bushfire preparedness through community education and property maintenance programs.
Est. cost: Low
Learn moreInstall Water Tanks
Long-termInstall rainwater tanks to conserve water and reduce stormwater runoff.
Est. cost: Medium
Learn moreCommunity Education Programs
Near-termRun community education programs on climate change risks and adaptation strategies.
Est. cost: Low
Learn moreAbout Narone Creek's Climate Risk Profile
Narone Creek, located in New South Wales, is subject to a range of climate-related risks. The primary concerns are flooding due to increased rainfall intensity and heatwaves resulting from rising average temperatures.
The suburb's proximity to waterways makes it vulnerable to both riverine and flash flooding. Climate change models predict more intense rainfall events, which could lead to more frequent and severe flooding in the future. Residents should be aware of flood risks and take appropriate precautions.
Bushfire risk is also a factor, although less pronounced than flooding. The surrounding vegetation can pose a threat during hot, dry conditions. Maintaining properties and being prepared for bushfires is essential.
Heatwaves are expected to become more frequent and intense, posing health risks to vulnerable populations. Ensuring access to cooling and staying informed about heatwave warnings are important adaptation measures.
While coastal risks are minimal due to the suburb's inland location, the overall impact of climate change requires proactive planning and adaptation strategies to protect the community and its assets.
Suburb pages describe the local picture. The address-level assessment, with its data sources and its dollar projections, is in the ClimateNest report.
Local Government Resources
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the main climate change risks for Narone Creek?
The main risks are increased flooding due to more intense rainfall, more frequent and severe heatwaves, and a moderate risk of bushfires.
How will climate change affect property values in Narone Creek?
Properties in flood-prone areas may experience price stagnation or decline. Increased insurance premiums are also likely.
What can residents do to prepare for heatwaves?
Stay informed about heatwave warnings, ensure access to cooling, and check on vulnerable neighbors.
What is the council doing to address climate change risks?
The council is developing climate adaptation strategies and working to improve drainage infrastructure. Please check the council website for more information.
Where can I find more information about flood risks in Narone Creek?
You can find flood maps and historical flood data on the NSW Government website and the council website.
How can I prepare my property for bushfires?
Clear vegetation around your property, maintain gutters, and have a bushfire survival plan.
Get your property's risk report
This suburb assessment covers the area. For a precise address-level climate risk report for any specific property in Narone Creek, use our analysis tool.
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What A$49 could save you from
*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA
Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections