Climate Risk in Narara, NSW
Narara faces moderate climate risks, primarily from flooding and heatwaves. Residents should prepare for more frequent extreme weather events and take steps to mitigate the impacts of climate change.
Is Narara Safe from Climate Risk?
Enter your address below for an instant climate risk assessment for Narara, New South Wales, covering flood, bushfire, sea level rise and more.
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Overall Risk Score
Hazard Breakdown
Flood, bushfire, heat, coastal and storm exposure are all assessed in this area. The score that matters is the property's own: a ClimateNest report scores the address across eight hazards, with insurance and value projections to 2050.
Climate Hazard Breakdown for Narara
Flood
Narara faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to waterways and low-lying areas. Climate change is expected to increase rainfall intensity, potentially worsening flood events.
Key drivers:
- ·Increased rainfall intensity
- ·Sea level rise
Bushfire
The risk of bushfires in Narara is moderate, given the surrounding bushland. Drier conditions and higher temperatures associated with climate change could exacerbate bushfire risk.
Key drivers:
- ·Increased temperatures
- ·Drier conditions
Heat
Narara is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves. Higher average temperatures can pose health risks, especially for vulnerable populations.
Key drivers:
- ·Increased greenhouse gas emissions
- ·Urban heat island effect
Coastal
Narara is not directly on the coast, so the risk from coastal hazards is low. However, sea level rise could indirectly affect the suburb through impacts on nearby coastal communities.
Key drivers:
- ·Sea level rise
- ·Storm surges
Wind
Data being compiled
Storm
Data being compiled
Social
Data being compiled
Energy
Data being compiled
In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Narara
Property buying guide with climate risk assessment
Flood zone mapping, historical events, and projections
BAL assessment, vegetation proximity, and fire history
Multi-hazard safety assessment to 2050
Severe weather, hail, and wind risk analysis
Extreme heat days, urban heat island, and cooling costs
Premium estimates and insurance availability
Climate-adjusted property investment analysis
Detailed Hazard Analysis
heat Risk
Narara is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves. Higher average temperatures can pose health risks, especially for vulnerable populations.
Primary Drivers
- ·Increased greenhouse gas emissions
- ·Urban heat island effect
flood Risk
Narara faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to waterways and low-lying areas. Climate change is expected to increase rainfall intensity, potentially worsening flood events.
Primary Drivers
- ·Increased rainfall intensity
- ·Sea level rise
- ·Urban development
coastal Risk
Narara is not directly on the coast, so the risk from coastal hazards is low. However, sea level rise could indirectly affect the suburb through impacts on nearby coastal communities.
Primary Drivers
- ·Sea level rise
- ·Storm surges
bushfire Risk
The risk of bushfires in Narara is moderate, given the surrounding bushland. Drier conditions and higher temperatures associated with climate change could exacerbate bushfire risk.
Primary Drivers
- ·Increased temperatures
- ·Drier conditions
- ·Vegetation dryness
What This Means for Property Owners
Insurance Outlook
Insurance premiums may increase due to flood and bushfire risk.
Price Impact
Properties in flood-prone areas may experience price stagnation or decline.
Buyer Checklist
- 1.Check flood maps and bushfire prone area designations.
- 2.Assess property's vulnerability to heatwaves.
- 3.Inquire about past flood or bushfire events.
- 4.Review insurance options and costs.
How the region's climate is projected to change
Regional projections, not a forecast for this street. Figures are from the WA Department of Water and Environmental Regulation's climate projections for the South Western Flatlands region, which draws on CSIRO and Bureau of Meteorology modelling.
Temperature
+0.5 to 1.1°C by 2030
Above the 1986–2005 climate, on all emissions scenarios. By 2090, 1.2 to 2.0°C under intermediate emissions or 2.6 to 4.0°C under high emissions.
Rainfall
Winter rain down up to 15% by 2030
The South West has been drying since 1970, and the decline has been larger than anywhere else in Australia. Heavy rainfall events are projected to become more intense even as totals fall.
Fire weather
Harsher, magnitude uncertain
High confidence that fire weather becomes harsher, low confidence in the size of the change, because it depends heavily on summer rainfall.
Sea level
+0.12 m by 2030
At the Fremantle gauge, range 0.07 to 0.16 m. Very high confidence that sea levels continue to rise through the century.
Source: Department of Water and Environmental Regulation (WA), Western Australian climate projections: summary, September 2021, South Western Flatlands chapter. Read the projections →
Adaptation Recommendations
Improve stormwater drainage
Near-termUpgrade stormwater infrastructure to handle increased rainfall and reduce the risk of flooding.
Est. cost: Medium
Learn moreImplement a heatwave management plan
ImmediateDevelop a plan to protect vulnerable residents during heatwaves, including cooling centers and community outreach programs.
Est. cost: Low
Learn moreBushfire hazard reduction
Near-termConduct regular bushfire hazard reduction activities, such as clearing vegetation around properties.
Est. cost: Medium
Learn morePromote water conservation
Long-termEncourage residents to conserve water to reduce strain on water resources during droughts.
Est. cost: Low
Learn moreCommunity education programs
Near-termEducate residents about climate change risks and adaptation measures.
Est. cost: Low
Learn moreAbout Narara's Climate Risk Profile
Narara, located on the Central Coast of New South Wales, is increasingly vulnerable to the impacts of climate change. The suburb's proximity to waterways makes it susceptible to flooding, which is expected to worsen with increased rainfall intensity.
Rising temperatures and more frequent heatwaves pose a significant threat to the health and well-being of Narara residents, particularly the elderly and those with pre-existing conditions. The urban environment can exacerbate the heat island effect, further increasing temperatures.
Bushfire risk is also a concern, given the surrounding bushland. Drier conditions and higher temperatures can create ideal conditions for bushfires to spread rapidly. While Narara is not directly on the coast, sea level rise could indirectly affect the suburb through impacts on nearby coastal communities and infrastructure.
Addressing these climate risks requires a combination of mitigation and adaptation strategies. Reducing greenhouse gas emissions is essential to slow the pace of climate change, while local adaptation measures can help protect Narara residents and infrastructure from the impacts that are already locked in.
Suburb pages describe the local picture. The address-level assessment, with its data sources and its dollar projections, is in the ClimateNest report.
Local Government Resources
Central Coast Council
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the main climate change risks in Narara?
The main climate change risks in Narara are flooding, heatwaves, and bushfires. These risks are expected to increase in the future due to climate change.
How can I prepare for a flood in Narara?
You can prepare for a flood by knowing your flood risk, having an emergency plan, and keeping your property well-maintained. Check the Central Coast Council website for flood maps and information.
What should I do during a heatwave in Narara?
During a heatwave, stay indoors in a cool place, drink plenty of water, and avoid strenuous activity. Check on elderly neighbors and friends.
How can I protect my property from bushfires in Narara?
You can protect your property from bushfires by clearing vegetation around your home, having a bushfire survival plan, and ensuring your home is well-maintained.
Where can I find more information about climate change in Narara?
You can find more information about climate change in Narara on the Central Coast Council website, the NSW Department of Planning and Environment website, and the CSIRO website.
Is Narara a good place to invest in property considering climate change?
Narara presents both opportunities and risks for property investment. While the area offers a desirable lifestyle, potential buyers should carefully consider the increasing risks of flooding, heatwaves, and bushfires. Assessing a property's specific vulnerability and factoring in potential adaptation costs is crucial for making an informed investment decision.
Get your property's risk report
This suburb assessment covers the area. For a precise address-level climate risk report for any specific property in Narara, use our analysis tool.
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What A$49 could save you from
*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA
Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections