Climate Risk Profile: Myrtle Park, NSW

Myrtle Park, New South Wales
Updated May 2026

Myrtle Park faces increasing risks from flooding and heatwaves due to climate change. Bushfire risk is also a concern. Residents should prepare for more extreme weather events in the future.

Is Myrtle Park Safe from Climate Risk?

Enter your address below for an instant climate risk assessment for Myrtle Park, New South Wales, covering flood, bushfire, sea level rise and more.

Free instant previewCSIRO-powered data

What A$49 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections

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Overall Risk Score

Address-level

Hazard Breakdown

Flood, bushfire, heat, coastal and storm exposure are all assessed in this area. The score that matters is the property's own: a ClimateNest report scores the address across eight hazards, with insurance and value projections to 2050.

Climate Hazard Breakdown for Myrtle Park

Flood

Myrtle Park faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to waterways and low-lying areas. Climate change is expected to increase rainfall intensity, exacerbating flood risk.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Sea level rise

Bushfire

The area around Myrtle Park has a moderate bushfire risk due to surrounding vegetation. Hotter, drier conditions are expected to increase the frequency and intensity of bushfires.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased temperatures
  • ·Drier conditions

Heat

Myrtle Park is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves. This poses a risk to vulnerable populations, such as the elderly and those with chronic health conditions.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased greenhouse gas emissions
  • ·Urban heat island effect

Coastal

Myrtle Park is not directly exposed to coastal hazards. Sea level rise and coastal erosion are not significant concerns for this suburb.

Key drivers:

  • ·Distance from coast

Wind

Data being compiled

Storm

Data being compiled

Social

Data being compiled

Energy

Data being compiled

In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Myrtle Park

Detailed Hazard Analysis

heat Risk

Myrtle Park is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves. This poses a risk to vulnerable populations, such as the elderly and those with chronic health conditions.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased greenhouse gas emissions
  • ·Urban heat island effect
Data source

flood Risk

Myrtle Park faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to waterways and low-lying areas. Climate change is expected to increase rainfall intensity, exacerbating flood risk.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Sea level rise
  • ·Urban development
Data source

coastal Risk

Myrtle Park is not directly exposed to coastal hazards. Sea level rise and coastal erosion are not significant concerns for this suburb.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Distance from coast
Data source

bushfire Risk

The area around Myrtle Park has a moderate bushfire risk due to surrounding vegetation. Hotter, drier conditions are expected to increase the frequency and intensity of bushfires.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased temperatures
  • ·Drier conditions
  • ·Fuel load
Data source

What This Means for Property Owners

Insurance Outlook

Insurance premiums are likely to increase due to the rising risk of flooding and bushfires.

Price Impact

Properties in flood-prone areas may experience a decrease in value.

Buyer Checklist

  • 1.Check flood maps and historical flood data.
  • 2.Assess bushfire risk and prepare a bushfire survival plan.
  • 3.Ensure adequate insurance coverage.
  • 4.Consider energy efficiency measures to reduce heat stress.

How the region's climate is projected to change

Regional projections, not a forecast for this street. Figures are from the WA Department of Water and Environmental Regulation's climate projections for the South Western Flatlands region, which draws on CSIRO and Bureau of Meteorology modelling.

Temperature

+0.5 to 1.1°C by 2030

Above the 1986–2005 climate, on all emissions scenarios. By 2090, 1.2 to 2.0°C under intermediate emissions or 2.6 to 4.0°C under high emissions.

Rainfall

Winter rain down up to 15% by 2030

The South West has been drying since 1970, and the decline has been larger than anywhere else in Australia. Heavy rainfall events are projected to become more intense even as totals fall.

Fire weather

Harsher, magnitude uncertain

High confidence that fire weather becomes harsher, low confidence in the size of the change, because it depends heavily on summer rainfall.

Sea level

+0.12 m by 2030

At the Fremantle gauge, range 0.07 to 0.16 m. Very high confidence that sea levels continue to rise through the century.

Source: Department of Water and Environmental Regulation (WA), Western Australian climate projections: summary, September 2021, South Western Flatlands chapter. Read the projections →

Adaptation Recommendations

Improve Flood Defenses

Near-term

Invest in infrastructure to mitigate flood risk, such as levees and improved drainage systems.

Est. cost: High

Learn more

Enhance Bushfire Preparedness

Immediate

Implement community education programs and support residents in preparing their properties for bushfires.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Develop Heatwave Response Plan

Near-term

Establish cooling centers and provide support to vulnerable populations during heatwaves.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

Promote Water Conservation

Long-term

Encourage residents to conserve water and invest in water-efficient appliances.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

About Myrtle Park's Climate Risk Profile

Myrtle Park is a suburb in New South Wales that is increasingly vulnerable to the impacts of climate change. The primary risks are flooding, heatwaves, and bushfires. Changes in rainfall patterns and rising temperatures are expected to exacerbate these hazards in the coming decades.

Flooding is a significant concern due to increased rainfall intensity. Low-lying areas within Myrtle Park are particularly susceptible. Residents should be aware of flood risks and take appropriate precautions.

Heatwaves are becoming more frequent and intense, posing a threat to public health, especially for vulnerable populations. It is important to stay hydrated and seek cool environments during heatwaves.

Bushfire risk is also increasing due to hotter, drier conditions. Residents should maintain their properties to reduce fuel loads and be prepared to evacuate if necessary.

While Myrtle Park is not directly exposed to coastal hazards, the broader impacts of climate change will affect the region. Taking proactive adaptation measures is crucial to protect the community and its assets.

Suburb pages describe the local picture. The address-level assessment, with its data sources and its dollar projections, is in the ClimateNest report.

Local Government Resources

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the main climate change risks for Myrtle Park?

The main climate change risks for Myrtle Park are increased flooding, more frequent and intense heatwaves, and a higher risk of bushfires.

How will climate change affect property values in Myrtle Park?

Properties in flood-prone areas may experience a decrease in value. Insurance premiums are also likely to increase due to the rising risk of flooding and bushfires.

What can I do to prepare for increased heatwaves?

Stay hydrated, seek cool environments, and check on vulnerable neighbors during heatwaves. Consider installing air conditioning or fans.

How can I protect my property from bushfires?

Maintain your property to reduce fuel loads, clear gutters, and have a bushfire survival plan in place. Consider installing fire-resistant landscaping.

Where can I find more information about flood risks in Myrtle Park?

You can find flood maps and historical flood data on the local council's website.

Get your property's risk report

This suburb assessment covers the area. For a precise address-level climate risk report for any specific property in Myrtle Park, use our analysis tool.

Check Your flood Risk Now

Check Myrtle Park's specific flood risk and see how it compares to nearby suburbs. Enter your address for an instant risk assessment.

Free instant previewCSIRO-powered data

What A$49 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections