Climate Risk Profile: Murrays Run, NSW
Murrays Run faces moderate climate risks, primarily from flooding, bushfires, and heatwaves. The risk scores are projected to increase by 2030 and 2050 under a high emissions scenario.
Is Murrays Run Safe from Climate Risk?
Enter your address below for an instant climate risk assessment for Murrays Run, New South Wales, covering flood, bushfire, sea level rise and more.
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Overall Risk Score
Hazard Breakdown
Flood, bushfire, heat, coastal and storm exposure are all assessed in this area. The score that matters is the property's own: a ClimateNest report scores the address across eight hazards, with insurance and value projections to 2050.
Climate Hazard Breakdown for Murrays Run
Flood
Murrays Run faces a moderate risk of flooding. This risk is primarily due to heavy rainfall events and the potential for localised flash flooding.
Key drivers:
- ·Increased rainfall intensity
- ·Urban development
Bushfire
The bushfire risk in Murrays Run is high due to its proximity to bushland and prevailing weather conditions. Drier conditions and higher temperatures contribute to increased fire danger.
Key drivers:
- ·Dry vegetation
- ·High temperatures
Heat
Murrays Run experiences a moderate risk from heatwaves. The frequency and intensity of heatwaves are projected to increase, impacting vulnerable populations.
Key drivers:
- ·Rising global temperatures
- ·Urban heat island effect
Coastal
Murrays Run has a low risk related to coastal hazards, as it is not located near the coast.
Key drivers:
- ·Distance from coast
Wind
Data being compiled
Storm
Data being compiled
Social
Data being compiled
Energy
Data being compiled
In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Murrays Run
Property buying guide with climate risk assessment
Flood zone mapping, historical events, and projections
BAL assessment, vegetation proximity, and fire history
Multi-hazard safety assessment to 2050
Severe weather, hail, and wind risk analysis
Extreme heat days, urban heat island, and cooling costs
Premium estimates and insurance availability
Climate-adjusted property investment analysis
Detailed Hazard Analysis
heat Risk
Murrays Run experiences a moderate risk from heatwaves. The frequency and intensity of heatwaves are projected to increase, impacting vulnerable populations.
Primary Drivers
- ·Rising global temperatures
- ·Urban heat island effect
flood Risk
Murrays Run faces a moderate risk of flooding. This risk is primarily due to heavy rainfall events and the potential for localised flash flooding.
Primary Drivers
- ·Increased rainfall intensity
- ·Urban development
- ·Climate change
coastal Risk
Murrays Run has a low risk related to coastal hazards, as it is not located near the coast.
Primary Drivers
- ·Distance from coast
bushfire Risk
The bushfire risk in Murrays Run is high due to its proximity to bushland and prevailing weather conditions. Drier conditions and higher temperatures contribute to increased fire danger.
Primary Drivers
- ·Dry vegetation
- ·High temperatures
- ·Strong winds
What This Means for Property Owners
Insurance Outlook
Premiums may increase due to flood and bushfire risks.
Price Impact
Potential for decreased property values in high-risk areas.
Buyer Checklist
- 1.Check flood maps and bushfire prone land overlays.
- 2.Assess property's vulnerability to heatwaves.
- 3.Review insurance options and potential premium increases.
- 4.Inquire about local council's climate adaptation plans.
How the region's climate is projected to change
Regional projections, not a forecast for this street. Figures are from the WA Department of Water and Environmental Regulation's climate projections for the South Western Flatlands region, which draws on CSIRO and Bureau of Meteorology modelling.
Temperature
+0.5 to 1.1°C by 2030
Above the 1986–2005 climate, on all emissions scenarios. By 2090, 1.2 to 2.0°C under intermediate emissions or 2.6 to 4.0°C under high emissions.
Rainfall
Winter rain down up to 15% by 2030
The South West has been drying since 1970, and the decline has been larger than anywhere else in Australia. Heavy rainfall events are projected to become more intense even as totals fall.
Fire weather
Harsher, magnitude uncertain
High confidence that fire weather becomes harsher, low confidence in the size of the change, because it depends heavily on summer rainfall.
Sea level
+0.12 m by 2030
At the Fremantle gauge, range 0.07 to 0.16 m. Very high confidence that sea levels continue to rise through the century.
Source: Department of Water and Environmental Regulation (WA), Western Australian climate projections: summary, September 2021, South Western Flatlands chapter. Read the projections →
Adaptation Recommendations
Improve Drainage Infrastructure
Near-termUpgrade local drainage systems to handle increased rainfall intensity and reduce flood risk.
Est. cost: Medium
Learn moreBushfire Management Plan
ImmediateDevelop and implement a comprehensive bushfire management plan, including vegetation management and community education.
Est. cost: Medium
Learn moreHeatwave Response Plan
Near-termEstablish a heatwave response plan to protect vulnerable residents, including cooling centers and public awareness campaigns.
Est. cost: Low
Learn moreCommunity Education Programs
Long-termConduct community education programs to raise awareness about climate risks and adaptation strategies.
Est. cost: Low
Learn moreAbout Murrays Run's Climate Risk Profile
Murrays Run, located in New South Wales, is exposed to several climate-related risks. The primary concerns are flooding due to increased rainfall intensity, bushfires exacerbated by dry conditions and high temperatures, and heatwaves that are projected to become more frequent and intense.
The risk of flooding is driven by both increased rainfall intensity and potential urban development that could reduce natural drainage. Bushfire risk is heightened by the proximity to bushland and the prevalence of dry vegetation. Heatwave risks are increasing due to rising global temperatures and the potential for an urban heat island effect.
While coastal risks are minimal due to the suburb's inland location, the community should focus on adaptation strategies to mitigate the impacts of flooding, bushfires, and heatwaves. These strategies include improving drainage infrastructure, implementing bushfire management plans, and developing heatwave response plans.
Addressing these climate risks will require a coordinated effort involving local government, emergency services, and the community. By taking proactive measures, Murrays Run can enhance its resilience to the impacts of climate change and protect its residents and infrastructure.
Suburb pages describe the local picture. The address-level assessment, with its data sources and its dollar projections, is in the ClimateNest report.
Local Government Resources
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the main climate change risks for Murrays Run?
The main risks are increased flooding due to heavier rainfall, higher bushfire risk due to drier conditions, and more frequent and intense heatwaves.
How will climate change affect property values in Murrays Run?
Properties in high-risk areas, such as those prone to flooding or bushfires, may experience decreased property values.
What is the local council doing to address climate change?
The local council is developing and implementing climate adaptation plans, including upgrading drainage infrastructure and managing bushfire risks. Refer to the council's website for more details.
How can I prepare my home for increased climate risks?
You can prepare your home by implementing flood protection measures, creating a bushfire survival plan, and improving energy efficiency to reduce heat stress.
Where can I find more information about climate change projections for Murrays Run?
You can find more information on the CSIRO website and the NSW government's climate change website.
Get your property's risk report
This suburb assessment covers the area. For a precise address-level climate risk report for any specific property in Murrays Run, use our analysis tool.
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What A$49 could save you from
*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA
Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections