Climate Risk Profile: Mumblebone Plain, NSW

Mumblebone Plain, New South Wales· Coonamble Shire Council
Updated May 2026

Mumblebone Plain faces moderate risks from flooding and heatwaves, with bushfire risk also present. Climate change is projected to exacerbate these risks, particularly increasing the intensity of floods and heatwaves.

Is Mumblebone Plain Safe from Climate Risk?

Enter your address below for an instant climate risk assessment for Mumblebone Plain, New South Wales, covering flood, bushfire, sea level rise and more.

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What A$49 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections

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Overall Risk Score

Address-level

Hazard Breakdown

Flood, bushfire, heat, coastal and storm exposure are all assessed in this area. The score that matters is the property's own: a ClimateNest report scores the address across eight hazards, with insurance and value projections to 2050.

Climate Hazard Breakdown for Mumblebone Plain

Flood

Mumblebone Plain faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its flat topography and proximity to waterways. Climate change is expected to increase rainfall intensity, potentially worsening flood events.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Flat topography

Bushfire

The area around Mumblebone Plain has a moderate bushfire risk. Drier conditions and higher temperatures are expected to increase the frequency and intensity of bushfires.

Key drivers:

  • ·Drier conditions
  • ·Higher temperatures

Heat

Mumblebone Plain is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves. Higher average temperatures can pose health risks, especially for vulnerable populations.

Key drivers:

  • ·Rising average temperatures
  • ·Increased frequency of heatwaves

Coastal

Mumblebone Plain is not exposed to coastal risks.

Wind

Data being compiled

Storm

Data being compiled

Social

Data being compiled

Energy

Data being compiled

In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Mumblebone Plain

Detailed Hazard Analysis

heat Risk

Mumblebone Plain is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves. Higher average temperatures can pose health risks, especially for vulnerable populations.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Rising average temperatures
  • ·Increased frequency of heatwaves
Data source

flood Risk

Mumblebone Plain faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its flat topography and proximity to waterways. Climate change is expected to increase rainfall intensity, potentially worsening flood events.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Flat topography
  • ·Proximity to waterways
Data source

coastal Risk

Mumblebone Plain is not exposed to coastal risks.

Data source

bushfire Risk

The area around Mumblebone Plain has a moderate bushfire risk. Drier conditions and higher temperatures are expected to increase the frequency and intensity of bushfires.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Drier conditions
  • ·Higher temperatures
  • ·Increased fuel load
Data source

What This Means for Property Owners

Insurance Outlook

Insurance premiums are likely to increase due to the rising risks of flooding, bushfires, and heatwaves.

Price Impact

Properties in flood-prone areas may experience a decrease in value due to increased risk and insurance costs.

Buyer Checklist

  • 1.Check flood maps and historical flood data.
  • 2.Assess bushfire risk and implement mitigation measures.
  • 3.Ensure adequate insulation and cooling systems for heatwaves.
  • 4.Review insurance coverage and potential premium increases.

How the region's climate is projected to change

Regional projections, not a forecast for this street. Figures are from the WA Department of Water and Environmental Regulation's climate projections for the South Western Flatlands region, which draws on CSIRO and Bureau of Meteorology modelling.

Temperature

+0.5 to 1.1°C by 2030

Above the 1986–2005 climate, on all emissions scenarios. By 2090, 1.2 to 2.0°C under intermediate emissions or 2.6 to 4.0°C under high emissions.

Rainfall

Winter rain down up to 15% by 2030

The South West has been drying since 1970, and the decline has been larger than anywhere else in Australia. Heavy rainfall events are projected to become more intense even as totals fall.

Fire weather

Harsher, magnitude uncertain

High confidence that fire weather becomes harsher, low confidence in the size of the change, because it depends heavily on summer rainfall.

Sea level

+0.12 m by 2030

At the Fremantle gauge, range 0.07 to 0.16 m. Very high confidence that sea levels continue to rise through the century.

Source: Department of Water and Environmental Regulation (WA), Western Australian climate projections: summary, September 2021, South Western Flatlands chapter. Read the projections →

Adaptation Recommendations

Improve Flood Defenses

Near-term

Invest in infrastructure improvements such as levees and drainage systems to mitigate flood risks.

Est. cost: High

Learn more

Enhance Bushfire Preparedness

Near-term

Implement bushfire mitigation measures, including vegetation management and community education programs.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Develop Heatwave Action Plan

Immediate

Establish a heatwave action plan with cooling centers and public awareness campaigns to protect vulnerable populations.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

Promote Water Conservation

Long-term

Encourage water conservation practices to address drought risks and ensure sustainable water resources.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

About Mumblebone Plain's Climate Risk Profile

Mumblebone Plain, located in the central-western region of New South Wales, is an area that faces several climate-related challenges. The primary concerns are flooding, bushfires, and heatwaves, all of which are expected to intensify due to climate change.

Flooding is a significant risk due to the flat topography and proximity to waterways. Increased rainfall intensity, driven by climate change, could lead to more frequent and severe flood events, impacting local infrastructure and agriculture. The community needs to be prepared for potential disruptions and implement effective flood management strategies.

Bushfires pose another threat, with drier conditions and higher temperatures increasing the likelihood of fire outbreaks. The surrounding vegetation can act as fuel, making the area vulnerable during the fire season. Residents should be aware of bushfire safety measures and maintain their properties to reduce fire hazards.

Heatwaves are also a growing concern, with rising average temperatures leading to more frequent and intense heat events. This can have serious health implications, especially for the elderly and those with pre-existing medical conditions. It is crucial to have heatwave preparedness plans in place and ensure access to cooling centers and adequate hydration.

While coastal risks are minimal, the combined impact of flooding, bushfires, and heatwaves necessitates a comprehensive approach to climate adaptation. This includes investing in infrastructure improvements, promoting community awareness, and implementing sustainable land management practices to mitigate the effects of climate change and protect the well-being of the residents of Mumblebone Plain.

Suburb pages describe the local picture. The address-level assessment, with its data sources and its dollar projections, is in the ClimateNest report.

Local Government Resources

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the main climate risks facing Mumblebone Plain?

The main climate risks include flooding, bushfires, and heatwaves, all of which are expected to intensify due to climate change.

How will climate change affect property values in Mumblebone Plain?

Properties in flood-prone areas may experience a decrease in value due to increased risk and insurance costs. Bushfire risk may also impact property values.

What can residents do to prepare for heatwaves?

Residents should ensure adequate insulation and cooling systems, stay hydrated, and be aware of heatwave safety measures. Local cooling centers may be available during extreme heat events.

What is the council doing to address climate change?

Coonamble Shire Council is developing and implementing climate strategies to mitigate risks and promote sustainability. Check their website for more information.

Where can I find more information about flood risks in Mumblebone Plain?

You can find flood maps and historical flood data on the Coonamble Shire Council website and the NSW Government's emergency services website.

Get your property's risk report

This suburb assessment covers the area. For a precise address-level climate risk report for any specific property in Mumblebone Plain, use our analysis tool.

Check Your flood Risk Now

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Free instant previewCSIRO-powered data

What A$49 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections