Climate Risk Profile: Mumblebone Plain, NSW
Mumblebone Plain faces moderate risks from flooding and heatwaves, with bushfire risk also present. Climate change is projected to exacerbate these risks, particularly increasing the intensity of floods and heatwaves.
Is Mumblebone Plain Safe from Climate Risk?
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Overall Risk Score
Hazard Breakdown
Flood, bushfire, heat, coastal and storm exposure are all assessed in this area. The score that matters is the property's own: a ClimateNest report scores the address across eight hazards, with insurance and value projections to 2050.
Climate Hazard Breakdown for Mumblebone Plain
Flood
Mumblebone Plain faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its flat topography and proximity to waterways. Climate change is expected to increase rainfall intensity, potentially worsening flood events.
Key drivers:
- ·Increased rainfall intensity
- ·Flat topography
Bushfire
The area around Mumblebone Plain has a moderate bushfire risk. Drier conditions and higher temperatures are expected to increase the frequency and intensity of bushfires.
Key drivers:
- ·Drier conditions
- ·Higher temperatures
Heat
Mumblebone Plain is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves. Higher average temperatures can pose health risks, especially for vulnerable populations.
Key drivers:
- ·Rising average temperatures
- ·Increased frequency of heatwaves
Coastal
Mumblebone Plain is not exposed to coastal risks.
Wind
Data being compiled
Storm
Data being compiled
Social
Data being compiled
Energy
Data being compiled
In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Mumblebone Plain
Property buying guide with climate risk assessment
Flood zone mapping, historical events, and projections
BAL assessment, vegetation proximity, and fire history
Multi-hazard safety assessment to 2050
Severe weather, hail, and wind risk analysis
Extreme heat days, urban heat island, and cooling costs
Premium estimates and insurance availability
Climate-adjusted property investment analysis
Detailed Hazard Analysis
heat Risk
Mumblebone Plain is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves. Higher average temperatures can pose health risks, especially for vulnerable populations.
Primary Drivers
- ·Rising average temperatures
- ·Increased frequency of heatwaves
flood Risk
Mumblebone Plain faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its flat topography and proximity to waterways. Climate change is expected to increase rainfall intensity, potentially worsening flood events.
Primary Drivers
- ·Increased rainfall intensity
- ·Flat topography
- ·Proximity to waterways
bushfire Risk
The area around Mumblebone Plain has a moderate bushfire risk. Drier conditions and higher temperatures are expected to increase the frequency and intensity of bushfires.
Primary Drivers
- ·Drier conditions
- ·Higher temperatures
- ·Increased fuel load
What This Means for Property Owners
Insurance Outlook
Insurance premiums are likely to increase due to the rising risks of flooding, bushfires, and heatwaves.
Price Impact
Properties in flood-prone areas may experience a decrease in value due to increased risk and insurance costs.
Buyer Checklist
- 1.Check flood maps and historical flood data.
- 2.Assess bushfire risk and implement mitigation measures.
- 3.Ensure adequate insulation and cooling systems for heatwaves.
- 4.Review insurance coverage and potential premium increases.
How the region's climate is projected to change
Regional projections, not a forecast for this street. Figures are from the WA Department of Water and Environmental Regulation's climate projections for the South Western Flatlands region, which draws on CSIRO and Bureau of Meteorology modelling.
Temperature
+0.5 to 1.1°C by 2030
Above the 1986–2005 climate, on all emissions scenarios. By 2090, 1.2 to 2.0°C under intermediate emissions or 2.6 to 4.0°C under high emissions.
Rainfall
Winter rain down up to 15% by 2030
The South West has been drying since 1970, and the decline has been larger than anywhere else in Australia. Heavy rainfall events are projected to become more intense even as totals fall.
Fire weather
Harsher, magnitude uncertain
High confidence that fire weather becomes harsher, low confidence in the size of the change, because it depends heavily on summer rainfall.
Sea level
+0.12 m by 2030
At the Fremantle gauge, range 0.07 to 0.16 m. Very high confidence that sea levels continue to rise through the century.
Source: Department of Water and Environmental Regulation (WA), Western Australian climate projections: summary, September 2021, South Western Flatlands chapter. Read the projections →
Adaptation Recommendations
Improve Flood Defenses
Near-termInvest in infrastructure improvements such as levees and drainage systems to mitigate flood risks.
Est. cost: High
Learn moreEnhance Bushfire Preparedness
Near-termImplement bushfire mitigation measures, including vegetation management and community education programs.
Est. cost: Medium
Learn moreDevelop Heatwave Action Plan
ImmediateEstablish a heatwave action plan with cooling centers and public awareness campaigns to protect vulnerable populations.
Est. cost: Low
Learn morePromote Water Conservation
Long-termEncourage water conservation practices to address drought risks and ensure sustainable water resources.
Est. cost: Low
Learn moreAbout Mumblebone Plain's Climate Risk Profile
Mumblebone Plain, located in the central-western region of New South Wales, is an area that faces several climate-related challenges. The primary concerns are flooding, bushfires, and heatwaves, all of which are expected to intensify due to climate change.
Flooding is a significant risk due to the flat topography and proximity to waterways. Increased rainfall intensity, driven by climate change, could lead to more frequent and severe flood events, impacting local infrastructure and agriculture. The community needs to be prepared for potential disruptions and implement effective flood management strategies.
Bushfires pose another threat, with drier conditions and higher temperatures increasing the likelihood of fire outbreaks. The surrounding vegetation can act as fuel, making the area vulnerable during the fire season. Residents should be aware of bushfire safety measures and maintain their properties to reduce fire hazards.
Heatwaves are also a growing concern, with rising average temperatures leading to more frequent and intense heat events. This can have serious health implications, especially for the elderly and those with pre-existing medical conditions. It is crucial to have heatwave preparedness plans in place and ensure access to cooling centers and adequate hydration.
While coastal risks are minimal, the combined impact of flooding, bushfires, and heatwaves necessitates a comprehensive approach to climate adaptation. This includes investing in infrastructure improvements, promoting community awareness, and implementing sustainable land management practices to mitigate the effects of climate change and protect the well-being of the residents of Mumblebone Plain.
Suburb pages describe the local picture. The address-level assessment, with its data sources and its dollar projections, is in the ClimateNest report.
Local Government Resources
Coonamble Shire Council
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the main climate risks facing Mumblebone Plain?
The main climate risks include flooding, bushfires, and heatwaves, all of which are expected to intensify due to climate change.
How will climate change affect property values in Mumblebone Plain?
Properties in flood-prone areas may experience a decrease in value due to increased risk and insurance costs. Bushfire risk may also impact property values.
What can residents do to prepare for heatwaves?
Residents should ensure adequate insulation and cooling systems, stay hydrated, and be aware of heatwave safety measures. Local cooling centers may be available during extreme heat events.
What is the council doing to address climate change?
Coonamble Shire Council is developing and implementing climate strategies to mitigate risks and promote sustainability. Check their website for more information.
Where can I find more information about flood risks in Mumblebone Plain?
You can find flood maps and historical flood data on the Coonamble Shire Council website and the NSW Government's emergency services website.
Get your property's risk report
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What A$49 could save you from
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Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections