Climate Risk Assessment for Mumbil, NSW
Mumbil faces moderate risks from flooding and heatwaves, with bushfire risk also a concern. Climate change is expected to increase the severity and frequency of these events.
Is Mumbil Safe from Climate Risk?
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Overall Risk Score
Hazard Breakdown
Flood, bushfire, heat, coastal and storm exposure are all assessed in this area. The score that matters is the property's own: a ClimateNest report scores the address across eight hazards, with insurance and value projections to 2050.
Climate Hazard Breakdown for Mumbil
Flood
Mumbil faces a moderate risk of flooding, primarily from the Bell River. Increased rainfall intensity could exacerbate this risk.
Key drivers:
- ·Increased rainfall intensity
- ·Riverine flooding
Bushfire
The area surrounding Mumbil has a moderate bushfire risk due to the presence of surrounding bushland. Drier conditions and higher temperatures could increase this risk.
Key drivers:
- ·Dry vegetation
- ·Increased temperatures
Heat
Mumbil is projected to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves. This poses a risk to vulnerable populations.
Key drivers:
- ·Rising average temperatures
- ·Increased frequency of heatwaves
Coastal
Mumbil is located inland and does not face any direct coastal risks.
Wind
Data being compiled
Storm
Data being compiled
Social
Data being compiled
Energy
Data being compiled
In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Mumbil
Property buying guide with climate risk assessment
Flood zone mapping, historical events, and projections
BAL assessment, vegetation proximity, and fire history
Multi-hazard safety assessment to 2050
Severe weather, hail, and wind risk analysis
Extreme heat days, urban heat island, and cooling costs
Premium estimates and insurance availability
Climate-adjusted property investment analysis
Detailed Hazard Analysis
heat Risk
Mumbil is projected to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves. This poses a risk to vulnerable populations.
Primary Drivers
- ·Rising average temperatures
- ·Increased frequency of heatwaves
flood Risk
Mumbil faces a moderate risk of flooding, primarily from the Bell River. Increased rainfall intensity could exacerbate this risk.
Primary Drivers
- ·Increased rainfall intensity
- ·Riverine flooding
bushfire Risk
The area surrounding Mumbil has a moderate bushfire risk due to the presence of surrounding bushland. Drier conditions and higher temperatures could increase this risk.
Primary Drivers
- ·Dry vegetation
- ·Increased temperatures
- ·Wind
What This Means for Property Owners
Insurance Outlook
Insurance premiums may increase due to the increased risk of flooding and bushfires.
Price Impact
Properties in flood-prone areas may experience a decrease in value.
Buyer Checklist
- 1.Check flood maps and historical flood data.
- 2.Assess bushfire risk and implement mitigation measures.
- 3.Consider the impact of heatwaves on property value and comfort.
- 4.Ensure adequate insurance coverage for climate-related risks.
How the region's climate is projected to change
Regional projections, not a forecast for this street. Figures are from the WA Department of Water and Environmental Regulation's climate projections for the South Western Flatlands region, which draws on CSIRO and Bureau of Meteorology modelling.
Temperature
+0.5 to 1.1°C by 2030
Above the 1986–2005 climate, on all emissions scenarios. By 2090, 1.2 to 2.0°C under intermediate emissions or 2.6 to 4.0°C under high emissions.
Rainfall
Winter rain down up to 15% by 2030
The South West has been drying since 1970, and the decline has been larger than anywhere else in Australia. Heavy rainfall events are projected to become more intense even as totals fall.
Fire weather
Harsher, magnitude uncertain
High confidence that fire weather becomes harsher, low confidence in the size of the change, because it depends heavily on summer rainfall.
Sea level
+0.12 m by 2030
At the Fremantle gauge, range 0.07 to 0.16 m. Very high confidence that sea levels continue to rise through the century.
Source: Department of Water and Environmental Regulation (WA), Western Australian climate projections: summary, September 2021, South Western Flatlands chapter. Read the projections →
Adaptation Recommendations
Improve Flood Defenses
Near-termInvest in flood mitigation infrastructure, such as levees and drainage systems, to protect properties from flooding.
Est. cost: High
Learn moreBushfire Preparedness
Near-termImplement bushfire prevention measures, such as clearing vegetation around properties and developing evacuation plans.
Est. cost: Medium
Learn moreHeatwave Action Plan
ImmediateDevelop a heatwave action plan to protect vulnerable populations during extreme heat events.
Est. cost: Low
Learn moreCommunity Awareness Programs
Long-termConduct community awareness programs to educate residents about climate change risks and adaptation measures.
Est. cost: Low
Learn moreAbout Mumbil's Climate Risk Profile
Mumbil, located in the Dubbo Regional area of New South Wales, is exposed to several climate-related risks. The primary concerns are flooding from the Bell River, bushfire risk due to surrounding vegetation, and increasing heatwave frequency and intensity.
The risk of flooding is expected to increase with climate change due to more intense rainfall events. This could impact properties and infrastructure located near the river.
Bushfire risk is also a concern, particularly during dry periods. Higher temperatures and drier conditions can lead to increased fire danger.
Heatwaves are projected to become more frequent and intense, posing a risk to vulnerable populations, such as the elderly and those with pre-existing health conditions.
While Mumbil is not directly exposed to coastal risks, the broader region may experience indirect impacts from climate change. Addressing these risks requires proactive adaptation measures and community awareness.
Suburb pages describe the local picture. The address-level assessment, with its data sources and its dollar projections, is in the ClimateNest report.
Local Government Resources
Dubbo Regional Council
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the main climate change risks in Mumbil?
The main climate change risks in Mumbil are flooding, bushfires, and heatwaves. These risks are projected to increase in the future due to climate change.
How will climate change affect property values in Mumbil?
Properties in flood-prone areas may experience a decrease in value due to the increased risk of flooding. Bushfire risk and heatwave frequency may also impact property values.
What can I do to protect my property from flooding?
You can protect your property from flooding by implementing flood mitigation measures, such as raising the foundation, installing flood barriers, and improving drainage.
How can I prepare for a bushfire?
You can prepare for a bushfire by clearing vegetation around your property, developing an evacuation plan, and having a bushfire survival kit ready.
What should I do during a heatwave?
During a heatwave, you should stay indoors, drink plenty of water, and avoid strenuous activities. Check on vulnerable neighbors and family members.
Get your property's risk report
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What A$49 could save you from
*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA
Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections