Climate Risk in Mount Tomah, NSW

Mount Tomah, New South Wales· Blue Mountains· 2758
Updated May 2026

Mount Tomah faces moderate climate risks, primarily from bushfires, flooding and heatwaves. Projections indicate an increase in these risks over the coming decades. Residents should prepare for more frequent and intense extreme weather events.

Is Mount Tomah Safe from Climate Risk?

Enter your address below for an instant climate risk assessment for Mount Tomah, New South Wales, covering flood, bushfire, sea level rise and more.

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What A$49 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections

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Overall Risk Score

Address-level

Hazard Breakdown

Flood, bushfire, heat, coastal and storm exposure are all assessed in this area. The score that matters is the property's own: a ClimateNest report scores the address across eight hazards, with insurance and value projections to 2050.

Climate Hazard Breakdown for Mount Tomah

Flood

Mount Tomah faces a moderate risk of flooding, primarily from heavy rainfall events and potential overflow from local creeks and waterways. The risk is projected to increase with climate change.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Changes in land use

Bushfire

Mount Tomah is located in a bushfire-prone area, with a high risk of bushfires during the dry season. The risk is expected to increase due to hotter and drier conditions.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased temperatures
  • ·Drier vegetation

Heat

Mount Tomah experiences moderate heat risk, with increasing average temperatures and more frequent heatwaves projected. This poses a risk to vulnerable populations.

Key drivers:

  • ·Rising global temperatures
  • ·Urban heat island effect

Coastal

Mount Tomah is not directly exposed to coastal risks due to its inland location. Coastal hazards are not a significant concern for this suburb.

Wind

Data being compiled

Storm

Data being compiled

Social

Data being compiled

Energy

Data being compiled

In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Mount Tomah

Detailed Hazard Analysis

heat Risk

Mount Tomah experiences moderate heat risk, with increasing average temperatures and more frequent heatwaves projected. This poses a risk to vulnerable populations.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Rising global temperatures
  • ·Urban heat island effect
Data source

flood Risk

Mount Tomah faces a moderate risk of flooding, primarily from heavy rainfall events and potential overflow from local creeks and waterways. The risk is projected to increase with climate change.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Changes in land use
  • ·Inadequate drainage infrastructure
Data source

coastal Risk

Mount Tomah is not directly exposed to coastal risks due to its inland location. Coastal hazards are not a significant concern for this suburb.

Data source

bushfire Risk

Mount Tomah is located in a bushfire-prone area, with a high risk of bushfires during the dry season. The risk is expected to increase due to hotter and drier conditions.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased temperatures
  • ·Drier vegetation
  • ·Stronger winds
Data source

What This Means for Property Owners

Insurance Outlook

Insurance premiums are likely to increase due to climate risks.

Price Impact

Property values may be negatively impacted by increasing climate risks.

Buyer Checklist

  • 1.Check flood maps and bushfire prone areas.
  • 2.Assess property's vulnerability to heatwaves.
  • 3.Review insurance options and costs.
  • 4.Consider long-term climate risks when making property decisions.

How the region's climate is projected to change

Regional projections, not a forecast for this street. Figures are from the WA Department of Water and Environmental Regulation's climate projections for the South Western Flatlands region, which draws on CSIRO and Bureau of Meteorology modelling.

Temperature

+0.5 to 1.1°C by 2030

Above the 1986–2005 climate, on all emissions scenarios. By 2090, 1.2 to 2.0°C under intermediate emissions or 2.6 to 4.0°C under high emissions.

Rainfall

Winter rain down up to 15% by 2030

The South West has been drying since 1970, and the decline has been larger than anywhere else in Australia. Heavy rainfall events are projected to become more intense even as totals fall.

Fire weather

Harsher, magnitude uncertain

High confidence that fire weather becomes harsher, low confidence in the size of the change, because it depends heavily on summer rainfall.

Sea level

+0.12 m by 2030

At the Fremantle gauge, range 0.07 to 0.16 m. Very high confidence that sea levels continue to rise through the century.

Source: Department of Water and Environmental Regulation (WA), Western Australian climate projections: summary, September 2021, South Western Flatlands chapter. Read the projections →

Adaptation Recommendations

Improve Bushfire Preparedness

Immediate

Implement bushfire mitigation measures, such as clearing vegetation around properties and developing evacuation plans.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

Enhance Flood Resilience

Near-term

Improve drainage infrastructure and implement flood-resistant building designs.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Develop Heatwave Management Plan

Near-term

Establish a heatwave management plan to protect vulnerable populations during extreme heat events.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

Promote Water Conservation

Long-term

Implement water conservation measures to reduce water stress during droughts and heatwaves.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

About Mount Tomah's Climate Risk Profile

Mount Tomah, located in the Blue Mountains region of New South Wales, is exposed to a range of climate-related risks. The primary concerns are bushfires, flooding, and heatwaves, all of which are projected to intensify due to climate change.

Bushfire risk is particularly high due to the surrounding bushland and dry conditions. The area has a history of bushfire events, and the risk is expected to increase with hotter and drier summers. Residents should maintain their properties and be prepared to evacuate if necessary.

Flooding is another concern, with heavy rainfall events potentially causing flash flooding and riverine flooding. The risk is exacerbated by changes in land use and inadequate drainage infrastructure. Climate change is expected to increase the intensity of rainfall events, further increasing flood risk.

Heatwaves are also becoming more frequent and intense, posing a risk to vulnerable populations such as the elderly and those with chronic health conditions. Residents should take precautions to stay cool during heatwaves, such as drinking plenty of water and staying in air-conditioned environments.

Overall, Mount Tomah faces significant climate challenges that require proactive adaptation measures. Residents, businesses, and local government need to work together to reduce risk and build resilience to climate change.

Suburb pages describe the local picture. The address-level assessment, with its data sources and its dollar projections, is in the ClimateNest report.

Local Government Resources

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the main climate risks in Mount Tomah?

The main climate risks in Mount Tomah are bushfires, flooding, and heatwaves. These risks are projected to increase due to climate change.

How can I prepare my property for bushfires?

You can prepare your property for bushfires by clearing vegetation around your home, maintaining your gutters, and having a bushfire survival plan.

What should I do during a heatwave?

During a heatwave, you should stay indoors in air-conditioned environments, drink plenty of water, and avoid strenuous activities.

Where can I find information about flood risks in Mount Tomah?

You can find information about flood risks in Mount Tomah on the Blue Mountains City Council website and the NSW State Emergency Service website.

How is the local council addressing climate change?

The Blue Mountains City Council has a climate strategy in place to reduce greenhouse gas emissions and build resilience to climate change impacts.

Get your property's risk report

This suburb assessment covers the area. For a precise address-level climate risk report for any specific property in Mount Tomah, use our analysis tool.

Check Your flood Risk Now

Check Mount Tomah's specific flood risk and see how it compares to nearby suburbs. Enter your address for an instant risk assessment.

Free instant previewCSIRO-powered data

What A$49 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections