Climate Risk Profile: Mount Rankin, NSW

Mount Rankin, New South Wales
Updated Apr 2026

Mount Rankin faces moderate climate risks, primarily from flooding and bushfires. Climate change is expected to increase the severity and frequency of these events, requiring proactive adaptation measures. Heat risk is also a growing concern.

Is Mount Rankin Safe from Climate Risk?

Enter your address below for an instant climate risk assessment for Mount Rankin, New South Wales, covering flood, bushfire, sea level rise and more.

Free instant previewCSIRO-powered data

What A$49 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections

Not ready to check your address? See a free sample report →

Overall Risk Score

Address-level

Hazard Breakdown

Flood, bushfire, heat, coastal and storm exposure are all assessed in this area. The score that matters is the property's own: a ClimateNest report scores the address across eight hazards, with insurance and value projections to 2050.

Climate Hazard Breakdown for Mount Rankin

Flood

Mount Rankin faces a moderate risk of flooding, primarily from heavy rainfall events and potential overflow from local creeks and waterways. The risk is expected to increase with climate change due to more intense rainfall.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Urban development

Bushfire

Mount Rankin has a high bushfire risk due to its proximity to bushland and prevailing dry conditions, especially during summer. Climate change is projected to exacerbate this risk with longer fire seasons and more intense fires.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased temperatures
  • ·Drier conditions

Heat

Mount Rankin experiences moderate heat risk, with increasing average temperatures and more frequent heatwave events projected. This poses a risk to vulnerable populations and infrastructure.

Key drivers:

  • ·Rising average temperatures
  • ·Increased frequency of heatwaves

Coastal

Mount Rankin has a very low coastal risk due to its inland location. Sea level rise and coastal erosion are not significant concerns for this suburb.

Key drivers:

  • ·Distance from the coast

Wind

Data being compiled

Storm

Data being compiled

Social

Data being compiled

Energy

Data being compiled

In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Mount Rankin

Detailed Hazard Analysis

heat Risk

Mount Rankin experiences moderate heat risk, with increasing average temperatures and more frequent heatwave events projected. This poses a risk to vulnerable populations and infrastructure.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Rising average temperatures
  • ·Increased frequency of heatwaves
  • ·Urban heat island effect
Data source

flood Risk

Mount Rankin faces a moderate risk of flooding, primarily from heavy rainfall events and potential overflow from local creeks and waterways. The risk is expected to increase with climate change due to more intense rainfall.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Urban development
  • ·Inadequate drainage infrastructure
Data source

coastal Risk

Mount Rankin has a very low coastal risk due to its inland location. Sea level rise and coastal erosion are not significant concerns for this suburb.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Distance from the coast
Data source

bushfire Risk

Mount Rankin has a high bushfire risk due to its proximity to bushland and prevailing dry conditions, especially during summer. Climate change is projected to exacerbate this risk with longer fire seasons and more intense fires.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased temperatures
  • ·Drier conditions
  • ·Fuel load
Data source

What This Means for Property Owners

Insurance Outlook

Insurance premiums may increase due to flood and bushfire risks.

Price Impact

Property values may be affected by increasing climate risks.

Buyer Checklist

  • 1.Check flood maps and potential flood risks.
  • 2.Assess bushfire risk and implement mitigation measures.
  • 3.Consider the impact of increasing heat on property value.
  • 4.Review insurance options and potential premium increases.

How the region's climate is projected to change

Regional projections, not a forecast for this street. Figures are from the WA Department of Water and Environmental Regulation's climate projections for the South Western Flatlands region, which draws on CSIRO and Bureau of Meteorology modelling.

Temperature

+0.5 to 1.1°C by 2030

Above the 1986–2005 climate, on all emissions scenarios. By 2090, 1.2 to 2.0°C under intermediate emissions or 2.6 to 4.0°C under high emissions.

Rainfall

Winter rain down up to 15% by 2030

The South West has been drying since 1970, and the decline has been larger than anywhere else in Australia. Heavy rainfall events are projected to become more intense even as totals fall.

Fire weather

Harsher, magnitude uncertain

High confidence that fire weather becomes harsher, low confidence in the size of the change, because it depends heavily on summer rainfall.

Sea level

+0.12 m by 2030

At the Fremantle gauge, range 0.07 to 0.16 m. Very high confidence that sea levels continue to rise through the century.

Source: Department of Water and Environmental Regulation (WA), Western Australian climate projections: summary, September 2021, South Western Flatlands chapter. Read the projections →

Adaptation Recommendations

Improve Drainage Infrastructure

Near-term

Upgrade and maintain drainage systems to reduce flood risk from heavy rainfall events.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Bushfire Fuel Management

Immediate

Implement regular fuel reduction programs in bushland areas to minimize bushfire risk.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Heat Action Plan

Near-term

Develop and implement a heat action plan to protect vulnerable populations during heatwave events.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

Community Awareness Programs

Long-term

Conduct community awareness programs to educate residents about climate risks and adaptation measures.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

About Mount Rankin's Climate Risk Profile

Mount Rankin, located in New South Wales, is exposed to several climate-related risks that are projected to intensify in the coming decades. The primary concerns are flooding and bushfires, with heat risk also posing a threat to residents and infrastructure.

Flooding is a significant concern due to increased rainfall intensity and potential overflow from local waterways. The risk is exacerbated by urban development and inadequate drainage infrastructure. Bushfire risk is high due to the suburb's proximity to bushland, with longer fire seasons and more intense fires expected as temperatures rise and conditions become drier.

Heat risk is also increasing, with rising average temperatures and more frequent heatwave events. This poses a particular threat to vulnerable populations, such as the elderly and those with pre-existing health conditions. Coastal risks are minimal due to the suburb's inland location.

To mitigate these risks, it is crucial to implement adaptation measures such as improving drainage infrastructure, managing fuel loads in bushland areas, and developing heat action plans. Residents should also be aware of the risks and take steps to protect themselves and their properties.

Suburb pages describe the local picture. The address-level assessment, with its data sources and its dollar projections, is in the ClimateNest report.

Local Government Resources

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the main climate risks in Mount Rankin?

The main climate risks in Mount Rankin are flooding, bushfires, and heatwaves. These risks are expected to increase with climate change.

How will climate change affect property values in Mount Rankin?

Climate change may negatively affect property values in Mount Rankin due to increased risks of flooding, bushfires, and heatwaves. Buyers may be less willing to invest in areas with high climate risks.

What can I do to protect my property from bushfires?

You can protect your property from bushfires by clearing vegetation around your home, maintaining your roof and gutters, and having a bushfire survival plan.

What should I do during a heatwave?

During a heatwave, you should stay indoors in air-conditioned environments, drink plenty of water, and avoid strenuous activities. Check on vulnerable neighbors and family members.

Where can I find information about local flood risks?

Information about local flood risks can be found on the NSW State Emergency Service (SES) website and potentially on the local council website, if available.

Get your property's risk report

This suburb assessment covers the area. For a precise address-level climate risk report for any specific property in Mount Rankin, use our analysis tool.

Check Your flood Risk Now

Check Mount Rankin's specific flood risk and see how it compares to nearby suburbs. Enter your address for an instant risk assessment.

Free instant previewCSIRO-powered data

What A$49 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections

Climate Risk Profile for Mount Rankin, NSW | ClimateNest