Climate Risk Profile: Mount Keira, NSW
Mount Keira is a suburb in New South Wales that faces moderate climate risks. The primary concerns are flooding and bushfires, with increasing heat also a factor. Coastal risks are minimal due to its inland location.
Is Mount Keira Safe from Climate Risk?
Enter your address below for an instant climate risk assessment for Mount Keira, New South Wales, covering flood, bushfire, sea level rise and more.
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Overall Risk Score
Hazard Breakdown
Flood, bushfire, heat, coastal and storm exposure are all assessed in this area. The score that matters is the property's own: a ClimateNest report scores the address across eight hazards, with insurance and value projections to 2050.
Climate Hazard Breakdown for Mount Keira
Flood
Mount Keira faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to creeks and steep terrain. Intense rainfall events can lead to flash flooding.
Key drivers:
- ·Increased rainfall intensity
- ·Urban development
Bushfire
Mount Keira has a high bushfire risk due to its location adjacent to dense bushland. Dry conditions and strong winds can exacerbate the risk.
Key drivers:
- ·Dry vegetation
- ·High temperatures
Heat
Mount Keira experiences moderate heat risk, with increasing average temperatures and more frequent heatwaves projected.
Key drivers:
- ·Climate change
- ·Urban heat island effect
Coastal
Mount Keira has a low coastal risk due to its distance from the coastline and elevation.
Key drivers:
- ·Sea level rise
Wind
Data being compiled
Storm
Data being compiled
Social
Data being compiled
Energy
Data being compiled
In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Mount Keira
Property buying guide with climate risk assessment
Flood zone mapping, historical events, and projections
BAL assessment, vegetation proximity, and fire history
Multi-hazard safety assessment to 2050
Severe weather, hail, and wind risk analysis
Extreme heat days, urban heat island, and cooling costs
Premium estimates and insurance availability
Climate-adjusted property investment analysis
Detailed Hazard Analysis
heat Risk
Mount Keira experiences moderate heat risk, with increasing average temperatures and more frequent heatwaves projected.
Primary Drivers
- ·Climate change
- ·Urban heat island effect
flood Risk
Mount Keira faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to creeks and steep terrain. Intense rainfall events can lead to flash flooding.
Primary Drivers
- ·Increased rainfall intensity
- ·Urban development
- ·Climate change
coastal Risk
Mount Keira has a low coastal risk due to its distance from the coastline and elevation.
Primary Drivers
- ·Sea level rise
bushfire Risk
Mount Keira has a high bushfire risk due to its location adjacent to dense bushland. Dry conditions and strong winds can exacerbate the risk.
Primary Drivers
- ·Dry vegetation
- ·High temperatures
- ·Strong winds
- ·Climate change
What This Means for Property Owners
Insurance Outlook
Insurance premiums may increase due to flood and bushfire risks.
Price Impact
Properties in high-risk areas may experience price fluctuations.
Buyer Checklist
- 1.Check flood maps and bushfire-prone area designations.
- 2.Assess property's vulnerability to flooding and bushfires.
- 3.Inquire about insurance costs and coverage.
- 4.Consider energy efficiency and water conservation measures.
How the region's climate is projected to change
Regional projections, not a forecast for this street. Figures are from the WA Department of Water and Environmental Regulation's climate projections for the South Western Flatlands region, which draws on CSIRO and Bureau of Meteorology modelling.
Temperature
+0.5 to 1.1°C by 2030
Above the 1986–2005 climate, on all emissions scenarios. By 2090, 1.2 to 2.0°C under intermediate emissions or 2.6 to 4.0°C under high emissions.
Rainfall
Winter rain down up to 15% by 2030
The South West has been drying since 1970, and the decline has been larger than anywhere else in Australia. Heavy rainfall events are projected to become more intense even as totals fall.
Fire weather
Harsher, magnitude uncertain
High confidence that fire weather becomes harsher, low confidence in the size of the change, because it depends heavily on summer rainfall.
Sea level
+0.12 m by 2030
At the Fremantle gauge, range 0.07 to 0.16 m. Very high confidence that sea levels continue to rise through the century.
Source: Department of Water and Environmental Regulation (WA), Western Australian climate projections: summary, September 2021, South Western Flatlands chapter. Read the projections →
Adaptation Recommendations
Improve Drainage Infrastructure
Near-termUpgrade drainage systems to handle increased rainfall intensity and reduce flood risk.
Est. cost: Medium
Learn moreBushfire Management Planning
ImmediateDevelop and implement bushfire management plans to reduce the risk of property damage and loss of life.
Est. cost: Medium
Learn moreHeatwave Preparedness Programs
Near-termImplement programs to educate residents about heatwave risks and provide support to vulnerable populations.
Est. cost: Low
Learn moreCommunity Education and Awareness
Long-termRaise awareness about climate change risks and adaptation measures through community workshops and information campaigns.
Est. cost: Low
Learn moreAbout Mount Keira's Climate Risk Profile
Mount Keira, nestled in the Illawarra region of New South Wales, is exposed to several climate-related risks that are projected to intensify in the coming decades. The suburb's proximity to bushland elevates the bushfire risk, particularly during dry and windy conditions. Climate change is expected to exacerbate these conditions, leading to more frequent and intense bushfire seasons.
Flooding is another significant concern for Mount Keira. The suburb's topography and drainage patterns make it susceptible to flash flooding during heavy rainfall events. Increased rainfall intensity due to climate change will likely increase the frequency and severity of flooding.
Heatwaves are also becoming more common and intense, posing a risk to vulnerable populations. While Mount Keira is not directly on the coast, it will experience the effects of rising temperatures.
While coastal risks are low, the community should focus on adaptation measures to mitigate the impacts of flooding, bushfires, and heatwaves. These measures include improving drainage infrastructure, implementing bushfire management strategies, and promoting heatwave preparedness.
Suburb pages describe the local picture. The address-level assessment, with its data sources and its dollar projections, is in the ClimateNest report.
Local Government Resources
Wollongong City Council
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the main climate change risks for Mount Keira?
The main risks are increased flooding, bushfire risk, and more frequent heatwaves.
How will climate change affect property values in Mount Keira?
Properties in high-risk areas may experience price fluctuations and increased insurance premiums.
What is the council doing to address climate change risks?
Wollongong City Council is implementing various strategies to mitigate and adapt to climate change, including improving drainage infrastructure and developing bushfire management plans.
How can I prepare my home for bushfires?
Clear vegetation around your home, install fire-resistant materials, and have a bushfire survival plan.
What should I do during a heatwave?
Stay hydrated, seek air-conditioned environments, and check on vulnerable neighbors.
Get your property's risk report
This suburb assessment covers the area. For a precise address-level climate risk report for any specific property in Mount Keira, use our analysis tool.
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What A$49 could save you from
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Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections