Climate Risk in Monterey, NSW
Monterey is a suburb in Sydney facing moderate climate risks, particularly from flooding, heatwaves, and coastal hazards. Sea level rise and increased rainfall intensity are key drivers of these risks, potentially impacting property values and community well-being.
Is Monterey Safe from Climate Risk?
Enter your address below for an instant climate risk assessment for Monterey, New South Wales, covering flood, bushfire, sea level rise and more.
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Overall Risk Score
Hazard Breakdown
Flood, bushfire, heat, coastal and storm exposure are all assessed in this area. The score that matters is the property's own: a ClimateNest report scores the address across eight hazards, with insurance and value projections to 2050.
Climate Hazard Breakdown for Monterey
Flood
Monterey faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to Botany Bay and low-lying areas. Intense rainfall events can lead to stormwater runoff and potential inundation.
Key drivers:
- ·Sea level rise
- ·Increased rainfall intensity
Bushfire
Bushfire risk in Monterey is relatively low due to the suburb's urban environment and limited vegetation. However, ember attacks from distant fires remain a potential concern.
Key drivers:
- ·Dry vegetation
- ·High winds
Heat
Monterey experiences a high risk of heatwaves, particularly during the summer months. Urban heat island effect can exacerbate temperatures, posing health risks to vulnerable populations.
Key drivers:
- ·Climate change
- ·Urban heat island effect
Coastal
Monterey is exposed to coastal hazards such as sea level rise and coastal erosion. Low-lying areas are particularly vulnerable to inundation during storm surges and high tides.
Key drivers:
- ·Sea level rise
- ·Storm surges
Wind
Data being compiled
Storm
Data being compiled
Social
Data being compiled
Energy
Data being compiled
In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Monterey
Property buying guide with climate risk assessment
Flood zone mapping, historical events, and projections
BAL assessment, vegetation proximity, and fire history
Multi-hazard safety assessment to 2050
Severe weather, hail, and wind risk analysis
Extreme heat days, urban heat island, and cooling costs
Premium estimates and insurance availability
Climate-adjusted property investment analysis
Detailed Hazard Analysis
heat Risk
Monterey experiences a high risk of heatwaves, particularly during the summer months. Urban heat island effect can exacerbate temperatures, posing health risks to vulnerable populations.
Primary Drivers
- ·Climate change
- ·Urban heat island effect
- ·Lack of green space
flood Risk
Monterey faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to Botany Bay and low-lying areas. Intense rainfall events can lead to stormwater runoff and potential inundation.
Primary Drivers
- ·Sea level rise
- ·Increased rainfall intensity
- ·Urban development
coastal Risk
Monterey is exposed to coastal hazards such as sea level rise and coastal erosion. Low-lying areas are particularly vulnerable to inundation during storm surges and high tides.
Primary Drivers
- ·Sea level rise
- ·Storm surges
- ·Coastal erosion
bushfire Risk
Bushfire risk in Monterey is relatively low due to the suburb's urban environment and limited vegetation. However, ember attacks from distant fires remain a potential concern.
Primary Drivers
- ·Dry vegetation
- ·High winds
- ·Ignition sources
What This Means for Property Owners
Insurance Outlook
Insurance premiums may increase in the future due to increased flood and coastal risks.
Price Impact
Properties in flood-prone areas may experience a decrease in value.
Buyer Checklist
- 1.Check flood maps and council records for flood risk.
- 2.Assess the property's vulnerability to sea level rise and coastal erosion.
- 3.Consider the potential impact of heatwaves on energy costs and health.
- 4.Review insurance options and premiums.
How the region's climate is projected to change
Regional projections, not a forecast for this street. Figures are from the WA Department of Water and Environmental Regulation's climate projections for the South Western Flatlands region, which draws on CSIRO and Bureau of Meteorology modelling.
Temperature
+0.5 to 1.1°C by 2030
Above the 1986–2005 climate, on all emissions scenarios. By 2090, 1.2 to 2.0°C under intermediate emissions or 2.6 to 4.0°C under high emissions.
Rainfall
Winter rain down up to 15% by 2030
The South West has been drying since 1970, and the decline has been larger than anywhere else in Australia. Heavy rainfall events are projected to become more intense even as totals fall.
Fire weather
Harsher, magnitude uncertain
High confidence that fire weather becomes harsher, low confidence in the size of the change, because it depends heavily on summer rainfall.
Sea level
+0.12 m by 2030
At the Fremantle gauge, range 0.07 to 0.16 m. Very high confidence that sea levels continue to rise through the century.
Source: Department of Water and Environmental Regulation (WA), Western Australian climate projections: summary, September 2021, South Western Flatlands chapter. Read the projections →
Adaptation Recommendations
Improve stormwater drainage
Near-termUpgrade stormwater drainage infrastructure to reduce the risk of flooding during heavy rainfall events.
Est. cost: Medium
Learn moreIncrease green space
Near-termPlant more trees and create green spaces to reduce the urban heat island effect and provide shade during heatwaves.
Est. cost: Medium
Learn moreStrengthen coastal defenses
Long-termImplement coastal protection measures, such as seawalls and beach nourishment, to reduce the risk of coastal erosion and inundation.
Est. cost: High
Learn moreDevelop a heatwave response plan
ImmediateCreate a community heatwave response plan to protect vulnerable residents during extreme heat events.
Est. cost: Low
Learn moreRaise awareness of climate risks
ImmediateEducate residents about the risks of climate change and how to prepare for extreme weather events.
Est. cost: Low
Learn moreAbout Monterey's Climate Risk Profile
Monterey, located in the Bayside area of Sydney, is increasingly vulnerable to the impacts of climate change. The suburb's proximity to Botany Bay makes it susceptible to coastal hazards such as sea level rise and storm surges. Low-lying areas are at particular risk of inundation, potentially affecting residential and commercial properties.
Rising temperatures and more frequent heatwaves pose a significant threat to the health and well-being of Monterey residents, especially the elderly and those with pre-existing conditions. The urban heat island effect can exacerbate these conditions, leading to higher energy consumption for cooling and increased strain on healthcare services.
Changes in rainfall patterns, including more intense rainfall events, can lead to increased stormwater runoff and flooding. This can damage infrastructure, disrupt transportation, and pose risks to public safety. Effective stormwater management and flood mitigation measures are crucial to protect the community.
While bushfire risk is relatively low, ember attacks from distant fires remain a potential concern. Maintaining vegetation and implementing fire safety measures can help reduce the risk of property damage and ensure community preparedness.
Addressing these climate risks requires a coordinated effort involving local government, residents, and businesses. Implementing adaptation strategies, such as improving drainage infrastructure, increasing green space, and promoting energy efficiency, can help build resilience and protect the long-term sustainability of Monterey.
Suburb pages describe the local picture. The address-level assessment, with its data sources and its dollar projections, is in the ClimateNest report.
Local Government Resources
Bayside Council
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the main climate change risks in Monterey?
Monterey faces risks from flooding, heatwaves, and coastal hazards due to its location near Botany Bay and its urban environment.
How will sea level rise affect Monterey?
Sea level rise can lead to increased coastal erosion and inundation of low-lying areas, potentially affecting properties and infrastructure.
What is the urban heat island effect and how does it impact Monterey?
The urban heat island effect causes cities to be warmer than surrounding rural areas, exacerbating heatwaves and increasing energy consumption for cooling.
What is Bayside Council doing to address climate change?
Bayside Council has a sustainability strategy that includes measures to reduce greenhouse gas emissions, improve energy efficiency, and adapt to the impacts of climate change.
How can I prepare for a heatwave in Monterey?
Stay hydrated, seek air-conditioned environments, avoid strenuous activity during the hottest part of the day, and check on vulnerable neighbors.
Where can I find information about flood risks in Monterey?
You can find flood maps and information on the Bayside Council website and the NSW State Emergency Service website.
Get your property's risk report
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What A$49 could save you from
*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA
Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections