Climate Risk Assessment for Montefiores, NSW

Montefiores, New South Wales· Dubbo Regional· 2850
Updated May 2026

Montefiores faces increasing risks from flooding and heatwaves due to climate change. The suburb is also susceptible to bushfires. Residents should prepare for more frequent extreme weather events.

Is Montefiores Safe from Climate Risk?

Enter your address below for an instant climate risk assessment for Montefiores, New South Wales, covering flood, bushfire, sea level rise and more.

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What A$49 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections

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Overall Risk Score

Address-level

Hazard Breakdown

Flood, bushfire, heat, coastal and storm exposure are all assessed in this area. The score that matters is the property's own: a ClimateNest report scores the address across eight hazards, with insurance and value projections to 2050.

Climate Hazard Breakdown for Montefiores

Flood

Montefiores is located near the Macquarie River and is susceptible to flooding. Climate change is expected to increase the frequency and intensity of heavy rainfall events, exacerbating flood risk.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Riverine flooding

Bushfire

The area surrounding Montefiores has some bushland, posing a moderate bushfire risk. Drier conditions and higher temperatures due to climate change are expected to increase the likelihood of bushfires.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased temperatures
  • ·Drier vegetation

Heat

Montefiores experiences hot summers, and climate change is projected to increase the frequency and intensity of heatwaves, posing a risk to vulnerable populations.

Key drivers:

  • ·Rising average temperatures
  • ·More frequent heatwaves

Coastal

Montefiores is located inland and is not directly exposed to coastal risks such as sea level rise or coastal erosion.

Key drivers:

  • ·Distance from coast

Wind

Data being compiled

Storm

Data being compiled

Social

Data being compiled

Energy

Data being compiled

In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Montefiores

Detailed Hazard Analysis

heat Risk

Montefiores experiences hot summers, and climate change is projected to increase the frequency and intensity of heatwaves, posing a risk to vulnerable populations.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Rising average temperatures
  • ·More frequent heatwaves
  • ·Urban heat island effect
Data source

flood Risk

Montefiores is located near the Macquarie River and is susceptible to flooding. Climate change is expected to increase the frequency and intensity of heavy rainfall events, exacerbating flood risk.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Riverine flooding
  • ·Urban development
Data source

coastal Risk

Montefiores is located inland and is not directly exposed to coastal risks such as sea level rise or coastal erosion.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Distance from coast
Data source

bushfire Risk

The area surrounding Montefiores has some bushland, posing a moderate bushfire risk. Drier conditions and higher temperatures due to climate change are expected to increase the likelihood of bushfires.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased temperatures
  • ·Drier vegetation
  • ·Stronger winds
Data source

What This Means for Property Owners

Insurance Outlook

Insurance premiums are likely to increase due to the increasing risk of flooding and bushfires.

Price Impact

Properties in flood-prone areas may experience a decrease in value.

Buyer Checklist

  • 1.Check flood maps and insurance costs.
  • 2.Assess bushfire risk and prepare a bushfire survival plan.
  • 3.Ensure adequate cooling for heatwaves.
  • 4.Consider the long-term impacts of climate change on property value.

How the region's climate is projected to change

Regional projections, not a forecast for this street. Figures are from the WA Department of Water and Environmental Regulation's climate projections for the South Western Flatlands region, which draws on CSIRO and Bureau of Meteorology modelling.

Temperature

+0.5 to 1.1°C by 2030

Above the 1986–2005 climate, on all emissions scenarios. By 2090, 1.2 to 2.0°C under intermediate emissions or 2.6 to 4.0°C under high emissions.

Rainfall

Winter rain down up to 15% by 2030

The South West has been drying since 1970, and the decline has been larger than anywhere else in Australia. Heavy rainfall events are projected to become more intense even as totals fall.

Fire weather

Harsher, magnitude uncertain

High confidence that fire weather becomes harsher, low confidence in the size of the change, because it depends heavily on summer rainfall.

Sea level

+0.12 m by 2030

At the Fremantle gauge, range 0.07 to 0.16 m. Very high confidence that sea levels continue to rise through the century.

Source: Department of Water and Environmental Regulation (WA), Western Australian climate projections: summary, September 2021, South Western Flatlands chapter. Read the projections →

Adaptation Recommendations

Improve Flood Defenses

Near-term

Invest in flood levees and drainage improvements to protect properties from flooding.

Est. cost: High

Learn more

Bushfire Preparedness

Immediate

Implement community education programs and assist residents in preparing bushfire survival plans.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Heatwave Management Plan

Near-term

Develop a heatwave management plan to protect vulnerable populations during extreme heat events.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

Water Conservation Measures

Long-term

Promote water conservation measures to reduce water stress during periods of drought and heat.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

About Montefiores's Climate Risk Profile

Montefiores, NSW, is a rural suburb near Dubbo that is increasingly vulnerable to the impacts of climate change. The primary concerns are related to flooding from the Macquarie River, increased bushfire risk due to drier conditions, and more frequent and intense heatwaves.

The risk of flooding is significant due to the suburb's proximity to the Macquarie River. Climate change is expected to increase rainfall intensity, leading to more frequent and severe flooding events. This poses a threat to properties and infrastructure in low-lying areas.

Bushfire risk is also a concern, as the surrounding area contains bushland. Higher temperatures and drier vegetation increase the likelihood of bushfires, particularly during the summer months. Residents need to be prepared for potential evacuations and property protection measures.

Heatwaves are becoming more frequent and intense, posing a health risk to vulnerable populations, such as the elderly and those with chronic health conditions. It is important to have strategies in place to cope with extreme heat, such as staying hydrated and seeking air-conditioned environments.

While Montefiores is not directly exposed to coastal risks, the overall impact of climate change on the region requires proactive adaptation measures to protect the community and its assets.

Suburb pages describe the local picture. The address-level assessment, with its data sources and its dollar projections, is in the ClimateNest report.

Local Government Resources

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the main climate change risks in Montefiores?

The main climate change risks in Montefiores are increased flooding from the Macquarie River, higher bushfire risk, and more frequent and intense heatwaves.

How can I prepare my property for flooding?

You can prepare your property for flooding by elevating valuable items, installing flood barriers, and ensuring your property is adequately insured.

What should I do during a heatwave?

During a heatwave, stay hydrated, seek air-conditioned environments, and avoid strenuous activities during the hottest part of the day.

How can I prepare for a bushfire?

Prepare for a bushfire by creating a bushfire survival plan, clearing vegetation around your property, and having a readily accessible water supply.

Where can I find more information about climate change risks in Montefiores?

You can find more information about climate change risks in Montefiores on the Dubbo Regional Council website, the NSW SES website, and the NSW RFS website.

Get your property's risk report

This suburb assessment covers the area. For a precise address-level climate risk report for any specific property in Montefiores, use our analysis tool.

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What A$49 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections