Climate Risk Assessment for Mongogarie, NSW

Mongogarie, New South Wales
Updated May 2026

Mongogarie faces moderate risks from flooding and heatwaves. Climate change is expected to exacerbate these risks in the future. Residents should prepare for more frequent extreme weather events.

Is Mongogarie Safe from Climate Risk?

Enter your address below for an instant climate risk assessment for Mongogarie, New South Wales, covering flood, bushfire, sea level rise and more.

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What A$49 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections

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Overall Risk Score

Address-level

Hazard Breakdown

Flood, bushfire, heat, coastal and storm exposure are all assessed in this area. The score that matters is the property's own: a ClimateNest report scores the address across eight hazards, with insurance and value projections to 2050.

Climate Hazard Breakdown for Mongogarie

Flood

Mongogarie faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its location and rainfall patterns. Riverine flooding can occur.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Changes in land use

Bushfire

The area around Mongogarie has a moderate bushfire risk, with potential for grass and scrub fires during dry periods.

Key drivers:

  • ·Dry vegetation
  • ·Increased temperatures

Heat

Mongogarie is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves, posing a risk to vulnerable populations.

Key drivers:

  • ·Rising global temperatures
  • ·Urban heat island effect

Coastal

Mongogarie is not directly exposed to coastal risks.

Wind

Data being compiled

Storm

Data being compiled

Social

Data being compiled

Energy

Data being compiled

In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Mongogarie

Detailed Hazard Analysis

heat Risk

Mongogarie is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves, posing a risk to vulnerable populations.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Rising global temperatures
  • ·Urban heat island effect
Data source

flood Risk

Mongogarie faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its location and rainfall patterns. Riverine flooding can occur.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Changes in land use
Data source

coastal Risk

Mongogarie is not directly exposed to coastal risks.

Data source

bushfire Risk

The area around Mongogarie has a moderate bushfire risk, with potential for grass and scrub fires during dry periods.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Dry vegetation
  • ·Increased temperatures
Data source

What This Means for Property Owners

Insurance Outlook

Insurance premiums may increase due to flood and heatwave risks.

Price Impact

Property values may be affected by increasing climate risks.

Buyer Checklist

  • 1.Check flood maps and insurance costs.
  • 2.Assess property's vulnerability to heatwaves.
  • 3.Review bushfire risk management plan.

How the region's climate is projected to change

Regional projections, not a forecast for this street. Figures are from the WA Department of Water and Environmental Regulation's climate projections for the South Western Flatlands region, which draws on CSIRO and Bureau of Meteorology modelling.

Temperature

+0.5 to 1.1°C by 2030

Above the 1986–2005 climate, on all emissions scenarios. By 2090, 1.2 to 2.0°C under intermediate emissions or 2.6 to 4.0°C under high emissions.

Rainfall

Winter rain down up to 15% by 2030

The South West has been drying since 1970, and the decline has been larger than anywhere else in Australia. Heavy rainfall events are projected to become more intense even as totals fall.

Fire weather

Harsher, magnitude uncertain

High confidence that fire weather becomes harsher, low confidence in the size of the change, because it depends heavily on summer rainfall.

Sea level

+0.12 m by 2030

At the Fremantle gauge, range 0.07 to 0.16 m. Very high confidence that sea levels continue to rise through the century.

Source: Department of Water and Environmental Regulation (WA), Western Australian climate projections: summary, September 2021, South Western Flatlands chapter. Read the projections →

Adaptation Recommendations

Improve Flood Defenses

Near-term

Construct levees and improve drainage systems to reduce flood risk.

Est. cost: High

Learn more

Develop Heat Action Plan

Immediate

Implement a heat action plan to protect vulnerable residents during heatwaves.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Bushfire Mitigation

Near-term

Undertake vegetation management and create firebreaks to reduce bushfire risk.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Community Education

Long-term

Educate residents about climate risks and adaptation measures.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

About Mongogarie's Climate Risk Profile

Mongogarie, located in New South Wales, is susceptible to several climate-related risks. The primary concerns are flooding and heatwaves, which are projected to intensify due to climate change.

Flooding is a significant concern, with potential for riverine flooding during periods of heavy rainfall. Changes in land use and increased rainfall intensity are contributing factors. The local SES provides resources and support for flood preparedness.

Heatwaves are also a growing threat, with rising temperatures expected to increase the frequency and intensity of heat stress events. Vulnerable populations, such as the elderly and those with chronic health conditions, are particularly at risk.

While bushfire risk is present, it is considered moderate compared to other areas in NSW. However, dry vegetation and increasing temperatures can elevate the risk during certain times of the year. The NSW Rural Fire Service provides information and resources for bushfire safety.

Residents should take proactive steps to mitigate these risks, including preparing emergency plans, staying informed about weather forecasts, and implementing measures to reduce their carbon footprint.

Suburb pages describe the local picture. The address-level assessment, with its data sources and its dollar projections, is in the ClimateNest report.

Local Government Resources

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the main climate risks in Mongogarie?

The main climate risks are flooding and heatwaves, which are expected to become more frequent and intense due to climate change.

How can I prepare for a flood?

You can prepare by developing a flood plan, knowing your evacuation route, and having an emergency kit ready.

What should I do during a heatwave?

Stay indoors, drink plenty of water, and check on vulnerable neighbors.

Is Mongogarie prone to bushfires?

The area has a moderate bushfire risk. Stay informed about fire danger ratings and have a bushfire survival plan.

Where can I find more information about climate change in NSW?

You can find more information on the NSW Department of Planning and Environment website.

Get your property's risk report

This suburb assessment covers the area. For a precise address-level climate risk report for any specific property in Mongogarie, use our analysis tool.

Check Your flood Risk Now

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Free instant previewCSIRO-powered data

What A$49 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections