Climate Risk Profile: Minnamurra, NSW
Minnamurra faces moderate risks from flooding, bushfires, heatwaves, and coastal hazards. Climate change is expected to exacerbate these risks, potentially impacting property values and community well-being. Residents should prepare for more frequent extreme weather events.
Is Minnamurra Safe from Climate Risk?
Enter your address below for an instant climate risk assessment for Minnamurra, New South Wales, covering flood, bushfire, sea level rise and more.
What A$49 could save you from
*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA
Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections
Not ready to check your address? See a free sample report →
Overall Risk Score
Hazard Breakdown
Flood, bushfire, heat, coastal and storm exposure are all assessed in this area. The score that matters is the property's own: a ClimateNest report scores the address across eight hazards, with insurance and value projections to 2050.
Climate Hazard Breakdown for Minnamurra
Flood
Minnamurra faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to the Minnamurra River and low-lying areas. Increased rainfall intensity could exacerbate flood events.
Key drivers:
- ·Increased rainfall intensity
- ·Sea level rise
Bushfire
The risk of bushfire in Minnamurra is moderate, with bushland located nearby. Drier conditions and higher temperatures could increase the frequency and intensity of bushfires.
Key drivers:
- ·Increased temperatures
- ·Drier conditions
Heat
Minnamurra is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves. Higher average temperatures can pose health risks, especially for vulnerable populations.
Key drivers:
- ·Increased greenhouse gas emissions
- ·Urban heat island effect
Coastal
Minnamurra faces a moderate risk from coastal hazards, including sea level rise and coastal erosion. These factors could impact infrastructure and property values.
Key drivers:
- ·Sea level rise
- ·Increased storm intensity
Wind
Data being compiled
Storm
Data being compiled
Social
Data being compiled
Energy
Data being compiled
In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Minnamurra
Property buying guide with climate risk assessment
Flood zone mapping, historical events, and projections
BAL assessment, vegetation proximity, and fire history
Multi-hazard safety assessment to 2050
Severe weather, hail, and wind risk analysis
Extreme heat days, urban heat island, and cooling costs
Premium estimates and insurance availability
Climate-adjusted property investment analysis
Detailed Hazard Analysis
heat Risk
Minnamurra is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves. Higher average temperatures can pose health risks, especially for vulnerable populations.
Primary Drivers
- ·Increased greenhouse gas emissions
- ·Urban heat island effect
flood Risk
Minnamurra faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to the Minnamurra River and low-lying areas. Increased rainfall intensity could exacerbate flood events.
Primary Drivers
- ·Increased rainfall intensity
- ·Sea level rise
- ·Urban development
coastal Risk
Minnamurra faces a moderate risk from coastal hazards, including sea level rise and coastal erosion. These factors could impact infrastructure and property values.
Primary Drivers
- ·Sea level rise
- ·Increased storm intensity
bushfire Risk
The risk of bushfire in Minnamurra is moderate, with bushland located nearby. Drier conditions and higher temperatures could increase the frequency and intensity of bushfires.
Primary Drivers
- ·Increased temperatures
- ·Drier conditions
- ·Vegetation dryness
What This Means for Property Owners
Insurance Outlook
Insurance premiums are likely to increase due to climate risks.
Price Impact
Properties in high-risk areas may experience price stagnation or decline.
Buyer Checklist
- 1.Check flood maps and bushfire-prone area designations.
- 2.Assess property's vulnerability to coastal erosion.
- 3.Inquire about past flood or bushfire events.
- 4.Consider the cost of insurance and potential for increased premiums.
How the region's climate is projected to change
Regional projections, not a forecast for this street. Figures are from the WA Department of Water and Environmental Regulation's climate projections for the South Western Flatlands region, which draws on CSIRO and Bureau of Meteorology modelling.
Temperature
+0.5 to 1.1°C by 2030
Above the 1986–2005 climate, on all emissions scenarios. By 2090, 1.2 to 2.0°C under intermediate emissions or 2.6 to 4.0°C under high emissions.
Rainfall
Winter rain down up to 15% by 2030
The South West has been drying since 1970, and the decline has been larger than anywhere else in Australia. Heavy rainfall events are projected to become more intense even as totals fall.
Fire weather
Harsher, magnitude uncertain
High confidence that fire weather becomes harsher, low confidence in the size of the change, because it depends heavily on summer rainfall.
Sea level
+0.12 m by 2030
At the Fremantle gauge, range 0.07 to 0.16 m. Very high confidence that sea levels continue to rise through the century.
Source: Department of Water and Environmental Regulation (WA), Western Australian climate projections: summary, September 2021, South Western Flatlands chapter. Read the projections →
Adaptation Recommendations
Improve Flood Defenses
Near-termInvest in infrastructure to protect against flooding, such as levees and improved drainage systems.
Est. cost: High
Learn moreBushfire Preparedness
ImmediateImplement community education programs and assist residents in preparing their properties for bushfires.
Est. cost: Medium
Learn moreHeatwave Response Plan
Near-termDevelop a heatwave response plan to protect vulnerable populations during periods of extreme heat.
Est. cost: Low
Learn moreCoastal Management Strategy
Long-termDevelop a coastal management strategy to address sea level rise and coastal erosion.
Est. cost: High
Learn moreAbout Minnamurra's Climate Risk Profile
Minnamurra, located on the New South Wales coast, is vulnerable to a range of climate-related risks. The suburb's proximity to the Minnamurra River increases its susceptibility to flooding, particularly during periods of heavy rainfall. Climate change is projected to increase rainfall intensity, leading to more frequent and severe flood events.
The surrounding bushland also poses a bushfire risk to Minnamurra. Hotter, drier conditions can extend the bushfire season and increase the likelihood of fires spreading to residential areas. Residents should maintain their properties and be prepared to evacuate if necessary.
Heatwaves are another growing concern for Minnamurra. As average temperatures rise, the suburb is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves, which can pose health risks, especially for the elderly and those with pre-existing conditions.
Finally, Minnamurra's coastal location makes it vulnerable to sea level rise and coastal erosion. These factors could impact infrastructure, property values, and the natural environment. Planning for coastal adaptation is essential to protect the community from these risks.
Suburb pages describe the local picture. The address-level assessment, with its data sources and its dollar projections, is in the ClimateNest report.
Local Government Resources
Shellharbour City Council
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the main climate risks facing Minnamurra?
Minnamurra faces risks from flooding, bushfires, heatwaves, and coastal erosion, all of which are expected to worsen with climate change.
How will climate change affect property values in Minnamurra?
Properties in high-risk areas may experience price stagnation or decline as climate risks become more apparent.
What can I do to prepare my property for climate change?
You can take steps to reduce your property's vulnerability to flooding, bushfires, and heatwaves, such as installing flood barriers, clearing vegetation, and improving insulation.
Where can I find information about local climate risks and adaptation strategies?
You can find information on the Shellharbour City Council website and the NSW government's environment website.
Is Minnamurra a good place to invest in property given the climate risks?
While Minnamurra is a desirable location, potential buyers should carefully consider the climate risks and take steps to mitigate their exposure.
Get your property's risk report
This suburb assessment covers the area. For a precise address-level climate risk report for any specific property in Minnamurra, use our analysis tool.
Check Your flood Risk Now
Check Minnamurra's specific flood risk and see how it compares to nearby suburbs. Enter your address for an instant risk assessment.
What A$49 could save you from
*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA
Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections