Climate Risk Profile: Middleton Grange, NSW
Middleton Grange is a suburb in Sydney's west, facing moderate risks from flooding and heatwaves. Climate change is expected to exacerbate these risks, particularly increasing the intensity of rainfall and the frequency of heatwaves. While bushfire and coastal risks are relatively low, residents should be prepared for potential impacts.
Is Middleton Grange Safe from Climate Risk?
Enter your address below for an instant climate risk assessment for Middleton Grange, New South Wales, covering flood, bushfire, sea level rise and more.
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Overall Risk Score
Hazard Breakdown
Flood, bushfire, heat, coastal and storm exposure are all assessed in this area. The score that matters is the property's own: a ClimateNest report scores the address across eight hazards, with insurance and value projections to 2050.
Climate Hazard Breakdown for Middleton Grange
Flood
Middleton Grange faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to waterways and relatively flat terrain. Climate change is expected to increase rainfall intensity, exacerbating flood risk.
Key drivers:
- ·Increased rainfall intensity
- ·Urban development
Bushfire
The bushfire risk in Middleton Grange is relatively low due to the urbanized nature of the suburb and limited surrounding bushland. However, increased temperatures and drier conditions could elevate the risk.
Key drivers:
- ·Increased temperatures
- ·Drier conditions
Heat
Middleton Grange is susceptible to heatwaves, particularly during the summer months. Climate change is projected to increase the frequency and intensity of heatwaves, posing a risk to vulnerable populations.
Key drivers:
- ·Increased greenhouse gas emissions
- ·Urban heat island effect
Coastal
Middleton Grange is located inland and does not face a direct risk from coastal hazards such as sea-level rise or coastal erosion.
Wind
Data being compiled
Storm
Data being compiled
Social
Data being compiled
Energy
Data being compiled
In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Middleton Grange
Property buying guide with climate risk assessment
Flood zone mapping, historical events, and projections
BAL assessment, vegetation proximity, and fire history
Multi-hazard safety assessment to 2050
Severe weather, hail, and wind risk analysis
Extreme heat days, urban heat island, and cooling costs
Premium estimates and insurance availability
Climate-adjusted property investment analysis
Detailed Hazard Analysis
heat Risk
Middleton Grange is susceptible to heatwaves, particularly during the summer months. Climate change is projected to increase the frequency and intensity of heatwaves, posing a risk to vulnerable populations.
Primary Drivers
- ·Increased greenhouse gas emissions
- ·Urban heat island effect
- ·Reduced vegetation cover
flood Risk
Middleton Grange faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to waterways and relatively flat terrain. Climate change is expected to increase rainfall intensity, exacerbating flood risk.
Primary Drivers
- ·Increased rainfall intensity
- ·Urban development
- ·Inadequate drainage infrastructure
coastal Risk
Middleton Grange is located inland and does not face a direct risk from coastal hazards such as sea-level rise or coastal erosion.
Data sourcebushfire Risk
The bushfire risk in Middleton Grange is relatively low due to the urbanized nature of the suburb and limited surrounding bushland. However, increased temperatures and drier conditions could elevate the risk.
Primary Drivers
- ·Increased temperatures
- ·Drier conditions
- ·Wind patterns
What This Means for Property Owners
Insurance Outlook
Insurance premiums may increase due to flood and heatwave risks.
Price Impact
Properties in flood-prone areas may experience a decrease in value.
Buyer Checklist
- 1.Check flood maps and insurance costs.
- 2.Assess property's vulnerability to heatwaves.
- 3.Consider energy efficiency measures.
- 4.Review council's climate adaptation plans.
How the region's climate is projected to change
Regional projections, not a forecast for this street. Figures are from the WA Department of Water and Environmental Regulation's climate projections for the South Western Flatlands region, which draws on CSIRO and Bureau of Meteorology modelling.
Temperature
+0.5 to 1.1°C by 2030
Above the 1986–2005 climate, on all emissions scenarios. By 2090, 1.2 to 2.0°C under intermediate emissions or 2.6 to 4.0°C under high emissions.
Rainfall
Winter rain down up to 15% by 2030
The South West has been drying since 1970, and the decline has been larger than anywhere else in Australia. Heavy rainfall events are projected to become more intense even as totals fall.
Fire weather
Harsher, magnitude uncertain
High confidence that fire weather becomes harsher, low confidence in the size of the change, because it depends heavily on summer rainfall.
Sea level
+0.12 m by 2030
At the Fremantle gauge, range 0.07 to 0.16 m. Very high confidence that sea levels continue to rise through the century.
Source: Department of Water and Environmental Regulation (WA), Western Australian climate projections: summary, September 2021, South Western Flatlands chapter. Read the projections →
Adaptation Recommendations
Improve Drainage Infrastructure
Near-termUpgrade and expand drainage systems to better manage increased rainfall and reduce flood risk.
Est. cost: Medium
Learn moreImplement Heatwave Early Warning System
ImmediateDevelop and implement a heatwave early warning system to alert residents of impending heatwaves and provide guidance on how to stay safe.
Est. cost: Low
Learn moreIncrease Urban Green Space
Long-termPlant more trees and create more green spaces to reduce the urban heat island effect and provide shade during hot weather.
Est. cost: Medium
Learn moreCommunity Education Programs
Near-termRun community education programs to raise awareness about climate change risks and adaptation measures.
Est. cost: Low
Learn moreAbout Middleton Grange's Climate Risk Profile
Middleton Grange, located in the Liverpool area of Sydney, is primarily threatened by flooding and heatwaves. The suburb's relatively flat terrain and proximity to local waterways make it vulnerable to inundation during periods of heavy rainfall. Climate change projections indicate an increase in rainfall intensity, which could lead to more frequent and severe flood events.
Heatwaves are another significant concern for Middleton Grange. As temperatures rise due to climate change, the suburb is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves, posing health risks to vulnerable residents, especially the elderly and those with pre-existing medical conditions. The urban environment can also contribute to the urban heat island effect, further amplifying temperatures.
While the risk of bushfires is lower compared to some other areas of NSW, it is not negligible. Increased temperatures and drier conditions can create a more conducive environment for bushfires, particularly in areas with nearby vegetation. Residents should remain vigilant and prepared, especially during the bushfire season.
Coastal risks are minimal due to the suburb's inland location. However, the broader impacts of climate change, such as disruptions to supply chains and economic activity, could indirectly affect Middleton Grange. Adapting to these changes will require a coordinated effort from residents, businesses, and local government.
Suburb pages describe the local picture. The address-level assessment, with its data sources and its dollar projections, is in the ClimateNest report.
Local Government Resources
Liverpool City Council
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the main climate change risks for Middleton Grange?
The main climate change risks for Middleton Grange are increased flooding due to more intense rainfall and more frequent and severe heatwaves.
How will climate change affect property values in Middleton Grange?
Properties in flood-prone areas may experience a decrease in value, while properties that are well-adapted to heatwaves may become more desirable.
What is Liverpool City Council doing to address climate change?
Liverpool City Council is developing and implementing climate adaptation plans, including measures to improve drainage infrastructure and reduce the urban heat island effect.
How can I prepare my home for heatwaves?
You can prepare your home for heatwaves by installing insulation, using fans and air conditioning, and planting trees to provide shade.
Where can I find more information about flood risks in Middleton Grange?
You can find more information about flood risks in Middleton Grange on the Liverpool City Council website and the NSW State Emergency Service website.
Get your property's risk report
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What A$49 could save you from
*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA
Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections