Climate Risk in Melrose Park, NSW
Melrose Park faces moderate climate risks, primarily from flooding and heatwaves. The suburb's proximity to the Parramatta River increases its vulnerability to flooding, while urban density contributes to the urban heat island effect. Climate change is expected to exacerbate these risks in the future.
Is Melrose Park Safe from Climate Risk?
Enter your address below for an instant climate risk assessment for Melrose Park, New South Wales, covering flood, bushfire, sea level rise and more.
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Overall Risk Score
Hazard Breakdown
Flood, bushfire, heat, coastal and storm exposure are all assessed in this area. The score that matters is the property's own: a ClimateNest report scores the address across eight hazards, with insurance and value projections to 2050.
Climate Hazard Breakdown for Melrose Park
Flood
Melrose Park is located near the Parramatta River and is susceptible to flooding from heavy rainfall and riverine overflow. The risk is expected to increase with climate change due to more intense rainfall events.
Key drivers:
- ·Increased rainfall intensity
- ·Sea level rise
Bushfire
The bushfire risk in Melrose Park is relatively low due to its urban environment and limited vegetation. However, nearby bushland areas could pose a threat during extreme fire weather conditions.
Key drivers:
- ·Proximity to bushland
- ·Dry vegetation
Heat
Melrose Park experiences high temperatures during summer, and the risk of heatwaves is increasing with climate change. Urban heat island effect exacerbates the problem.
Key drivers:
- ·Rising average temperatures
- ·Increased frequency of heatwaves
Coastal
Located near the Parramatta River, Melrose Park faces potential coastal risks such as rising sea levels and increased storm surges. These factors can lead to inundation and erosion, impacting infrastructure and properties.
Key drivers:
- ·Sea level rise
- ·Increased storm surge
Wind
Data being compiled
Storm
Data being compiled
Social
Data being compiled
Energy
Data being compiled
In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Melrose Park
Property buying guide with climate risk assessment
Flood zone mapping, historical events, and projections
BAL assessment, vegetation proximity, and fire history
Multi-hazard safety assessment to 2050
Severe weather, hail, and wind risk analysis
Extreme heat days, urban heat island, and cooling costs
Premium estimates and insurance availability
Climate-adjusted property investment analysis
Detailed Hazard Analysis
heat Risk
Melrose Park experiences high temperatures during summer, and the risk of heatwaves is increasing with climate change. Urban heat island effect exacerbates the problem.
Primary Drivers
- ·Rising average temperatures
- ·Increased frequency of heatwaves
- ·Urban heat island effect
flood Risk
Melrose Park is located near the Parramatta River and is susceptible to flooding from heavy rainfall and riverine overflow. The risk is expected to increase with climate change due to more intense rainfall events.
Primary Drivers
- ·Increased rainfall intensity
- ·Sea level rise
- ·Urban development
coastal Risk
Located near the Parramatta River, Melrose Park faces potential coastal risks such as rising sea levels and increased storm surges. These factors can lead to inundation and erosion, impacting infrastructure and properties.
Primary Drivers
- ·Sea level rise
- ·Increased storm surge
- ·Erosion
bushfire Risk
The bushfire risk in Melrose Park is relatively low due to its urban environment and limited vegetation. However, nearby bushland areas could pose a threat during extreme fire weather conditions.
Primary Drivers
- ·Proximity to bushland
- ·Dry vegetation
- ·Extreme weather events
What This Means for Property Owners
Insurance Outlook
Premiums may increase due to flood risk.
Price Impact
Properties in flood-prone areas may experience slower price growth.
Buyer Checklist
- 1.Check flood maps and insurance costs.
- 2.Assess property's vulnerability to heatwaves.
- 3.Consider potential impacts of sea level rise.
- 4.Review council's climate adaptation plans.
How the region's climate is projected to change
Regional projections, not a forecast for this street. Figures are from the WA Department of Water and Environmental Regulation's climate projections for the South Western Flatlands region, which draws on CSIRO and Bureau of Meteorology modelling.
Temperature
+0.5 to 1.1°C by 2030
Above the 1986–2005 climate, on all emissions scenarios. By 2090, 1.2 to 2.0°C under intermediate emissions or 2.6 to 4.0°C under high emissions.
Rainfall
Winter rain down up to 15% by 2030
The South West has been drying since 1970, and the decline has been larger than anywhere else in Australia. Heavy rainfall events are projected to become more intense even as totals fall.
Fire weather
Harsher, magnitude uncertain
High confidence that fire weather becomes harsher, low confidence in the size of the change, because it depends heavily on summer rainfall.
Sea level
+0.12 m by 2030
At the Fremantle gauge, range 0.07 to 0.16 m. Very high confidence that sea levels continue to rise through the century.
Source: Department of Water and Environmental Regulation (WA), Western Australian climate projections: summary, September 2021, South Western Flatlands chapter. Read the projections →
Adaptation Recommendations
Upgrade Flood Defenses
Near-termInvest in improved drainage systems and flood barriers to protect properties from rising floodwaters.
Est. cost: High
Learn moreImplement Urban Greening
ImmediateIncrease tree canopy cover and green spaces to reduce the urban heat island effect and provide shade during heatwaves.
Est. cost: Medium
Learn moreDevelop Heat Action Plan
ImmediateCreate a community-based heat action plan to protect vulnerable residents during heatwaves, including cooling centers and outreach programs.
Est. cost: Low
Learn moreRaise Community Awareness
Long-termEducate residents about climate risks and adaptation measures through workshops, online resources, and community events.
Est. cost: Low
Learn moreAbout Melrose Park's Climate Risk Profile
Melrose Park, located in New South Wales, is susceptible to a range of climate-related risks. The most significant threat is flooding, due to its location near the Parramatta River. Heavy rainfall events can cause the river to overflow, inundating low-lying areas and impacting properties and infrastructure.
Heatwaves are another growing concern for Melrose Park residents. The urban environment traps heat, leading to higher temperatures and increased risk of heatstroke and other heat-related illnesses, especially for vulnerable populations. Climate change is projected to increase the frequency and intensity of heatwaves in the region.
While the risk of bushfires is relatively low compared to other areas in NSW, Melrose Park is not entirely immune. Nearby bushland areas could pose a threat during extreme fire weather conditions. It's important for residents to be aware of bushfire safety measures and have a plan in place.
Sea level rise and storm surges also pose a threat to Melrose Park, although less immediate than flooding. The Parramatta River is tidal, and rising sea levels could increase the risk of inundation and erosion along the riverbanks. This could impact properties, infrastructure, and recreational areas.
Addressing these climate risks requires a multi-faceted approach, including investments in flood mitigation infrastructure, urban greening initiatives to reduce the urban heat island effect, and community education programs to raise awareness about climate change and its impacts.
Suburb pages describe the local picture. The address-level assessment, with its data sources and its dollar projections, is in the ClimateNest report.
Local Government Resources
City of Parramatta
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the main climate change risks in Melrose Park?
The main risks are flooding from the Parramatta River, heatwaves, and potential impacts from sea level rise.
How is the council addressing flood risks in Melrose Park?
The City of Parramatta is investing in drainage upgrades and flood mitigation infrastructure to reduce flood risks.
What can I do to prepare for heatwaves in Melrose Park?
Stay hydrated, seek air-conditioned environments, and check on vulnerable neighbors during heatwaves.
Are there any bushfire risks in Melrose Park?
While the risk is relatively low, nearby bushland areas could pose a threat during extreme fire weather conditions. Stay informed and have a bushfire survival plan.
How will climate change affect property values in Melrose Park?
Properties in flood-prone areas may experience slower price growth, and insurance premiums may increase due to climate risks.
Where can I find more information about climate change impacts in Melrose Park?
You can find more information on the City of Parramatta website, the NSW Department of Planning and Environment website, and the CSIRO website.
Get your property's risk report
This suburb assessment covers the area. For a precise address-level climate risk report for any specific property in Melrose Park, use our analysis tool.
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What A$49 could save you from
*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA
Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections