Climate Risk Assessment: Mays Hill, NSW

Mays Hill, New South Wales· Parramatta· 2145
Updated May 2026

Mays Hill is a suburb in Western Sydney that faces moderate climate risks, primarily from flooding and heatwaves. The suburb's urban environment and proximity to waterways contribute to these risks, which are projected to increase with climate change.

Is Mays Hill Safe from Climate Risk?

Enter your address below for an instant climate risk assessment for Mays Hill, New South Wales, covering flood, bushfire, sea level rise and more.

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What A$49 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections

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Overall Risk Score

Address-level

Hazard Breakdown

Flood, bushfire, heat, coastal and storm exposure are all assessed in this area. The score that matters is the property's own: a ClimateNest report scores the address across eight hazards, with insurance and value projections to 2050.

Climate Hazard Breakdown for Mays Hill

Flood

Mays Hill faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to waterways and low-lying areas. Intense rainfall events can lead to localized flooding.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Urban development

Bushfire

The bushfire risk in Mays Hill is relatively low due to the urbanized nature of the suburb and limited vegetation. However, surrounding bushland areas pose a potential threat.

Key drivers:

  • ·Proximity to bushland
  • ·Dry vegetation

Heat

Mays Hill experiences a moderate risk of heatwaves, particularly during the summer months. Urban heat island effect can exacerbate temperatures.

Key drivers:

  • ·Climate change
  • ·Urban heat island effect

Coastal

Mays Hill has a very low risk of coastal hazards due to its distance from the coastline.

Key drivers:

  • ·Distance from coast
  • ·Elevation

Wind

Data being compiled

Storm

Data being compiled

Social

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Energy

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In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Mays Hill

Detailed Hazard Analysis

heat Risk

Mays Hill experiences a moderate risk of heatwaves, particularly during the summer months. Urban heat island effect can exacerbate temperatures.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Climate change
  • ·Urban heat island effect
  • ·Reduced vegetation cover
Data source

flood Risk

Mays Hill faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to waterways and low-lying areas. Intense rainfall events can lead to localized flooding.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Urban development
  • ·Climate change
Data source

coastal Risk

Mays Hill has a very low risk of coastal hazards due to its distance from the coastline.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Distance from coast
  • ·Elevation
Data source

bushfire Risk

The bushfire risk in Mays Hill is relatively low due to the urbanized nature of the suburb and limited vegetation. However, surrounding bushland areas pose a potential threat.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Proximity to bushland
  • ·Dry vegetation
  • ·Wind patterns
Data source

What This Means for Property Owners

Insurance Outlook

Insurance premiums may increase due to flood risk.

Price Impact

Potential for minor price impacts due to flood risk.

Buyer Checklist

  • 1.Check flood maps and historical flood data.
  • 2.Assess property's vulnerability to heatwaves.
  • 3.Inquire about council's climate adaptation plans.
  • 4.Review insurance coverage for flood and fire.

How the region's climate is projected to change

Regional projections, not a forecast for this street. Figures are from the WA Department of Water and Environmental Regulation's climate projections for the South Western Flatlands region, which draws on CSIRO and Bureau of Meteorology modelling.

Temperature

+0.5 to 1.1°C by 2030

Above the 1986–2005 climate, on all emissions scenarios. By 2090, 1.2 to 2.0°C under intermediate emissions or 2.6 to 4.0°C under high emissions.

Rainfall

Winter rain down up to 15% by 2030

The South West has been drying since 1970, and the decline has been larger than anywhere else in Australia. Heavy rainfall events are projected to become more intense even as totals fall.

Fire weather

Harsher, magnitude uncertain

High confidence that fire weather becomes harsher, low confidence in the size of the change, because it depends heavily on summer rainfall.

Sea level

+0.12 m by 2030

At the Fremantle gauge, range 0.07 to 0.16 m. Very high confidence that sea levels continue to rise through the century.

Source: Department of Water and Environmental Regulation (WA), Western Australian climate projections: summary, September 2021, South Western Flatlands chapter. Read the projections →

Adaptation Recommendations

Improve Drainage Infrastructure

Near-term

Upgrade drainage systems to handle increased rainfall intensity and reduce flood risk.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Increase Urban Greenery

Near-term

Plant more trees and create green spaces to reduce the urban heat island effect and provide shade.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

Promote Water-Sensitive Urban Design

Long-term

Implement water-sensitive urban design principles to manage stormwater runoff and reduce flood risk.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Develop Community Emergency Plans

Immediate

Create community-based emergency plans to prepare for and respond to extreme weather events.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

About Mays Hill's Climate Risk Profile

Mays Hill, located in Western Sydney, is subject to several climate-related risks. Flooding is a primary concern due to the suburb's proximity to waterways and low-lying areas. Intense rainfall events can overwhelm drainage systems, leading to localized flooding and property damage.

Bushfire risk is relatively low in Mays Hill due to its urbanized nature. However, surrounding bushland areas pose a potential threat, especially during dry and windy conditions. Residents should be aware of bushfire safety measures and maintain their properties to reduce fire hazards.

Heatwaves are another significant risk in Mays Hill, particularly during the summer months. The urban heat island effect can exacerbate temperatures, leading to heat stress and health problems, especially for vulnerable populations. Increased vegetation cover and improved building design can help mitigate this risk.

Coastal risks are minimal in Mays Hill due to its distance from the coastline. Sea-level rise and coastal erosion are not direct threats to the suburb. However, residents should be aware of the broader impacts of climate change on coastal communities and ecosystems.

Suburb pages describe the local picture. The address-level assessment, with its data sources and its dollar projections, is in the ClimateNest report.

Local Government Resources

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the main climate risks in Mays Hill?

The main climate risks in Mays Hill are flooding and heatwaves. The suburb is prone to localized flooding during heavy rainfall events, and experiences high temperatures during summer months due to the urban heat island effect.

How is the council addressing flood risk in Mays Hill?

The City of Parramatta Council is implementing various measures to address flood risk, including upgrading drainage infrastructure, promoting water-sensitive urban design, and developing flood management plans.

What can residents do to prepare for heatwaves in Mays Hill?

Residents can prepare for heatwaves by staying hydrated, seeking shade, using air conditioning or fans, and checking on vulnerable neighbors. Planting trees and installing cool roofs can also help reduce heat stress.

Is Mays Hill in a bushfire-prone area?

Yes, parts of Mays Hill are located in a bushfire-prone area. Residents should maintain a defensible space around their properties and be aware of bushfire alerts during the fire season.

Where can I find more information about climate change impacts in Mays Hill?

You can find more information about climate change impacts in Mays Hill on the City of Parramatta Council website, the NSW Department of Planning and Environment website, and the CSIRO website.

Get your property's risk report

This suburb assessment covers the area. For a precise address-level climate risk report for any specific property in Mays Hill, use our analysis tool.

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What A$49 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections

Climate Risk Profile for Mays Hill, NSW | ClimateNest