Climate Risk in Matraville, NSW

Matraville, New South Wales· Randwick· 2036
Updated May 2026

Matraville faces moderate climate risks, primarily from flooding, heatwaves, and coastal hazards. Sea level rise and increased rainfall intensity are key drivers of these risks. Residents should prepare for more frequent and intense extreme weather events.

Is Matraville Safe from Climate Risk?

Enter your address below for an instant climate risk assessment for Matraville, New South Wales, covering flood, bushfire, sea level rise and more.

Free instant previewCSIRO-powered data

What A$49 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections

Not ready to check your address? See a free sample report →

Overall Risk Score

Address-level

Hazard Breakdown

Flood, bushfire, heat, coastal and storm exposure are all assessed in this area. The score that matters is the property's own: a ClimateNest report scores the address across eight hazards, with insurance and value projections to 2050.

Climate Hazard Breakdown for Matraville

Flood

Matraville faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to coastal areas and low-lying regions. Intense rainfall events can lead to stormwater runoff and potential inundation.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Sea level rise

Bushfire

Bushfire risk in Matraville is relatively low compared to other areas in NSW, but some pockets near parks and reserves may experience elevated risk during dry periods.

Key drivers:

  • ·Dry vegetation
  • ·High temperatures

Heat

Matraville is susceptible to heatwaves, particularly during the summer months. Urban areas experience higher temperatures due to the urban heat island effect.

Key drivers:

  • ·Rising global temperatures
  • ·Urban heat island effect

Coastal

Matraville experiences a moderate risk from coastal hazards such as erosion and inundation due to sea level rise. Low-lying coastal areas are particularly vulnerable.

Key drivers:

  • ·Sea level rise
  • ·Storm surges

Wind

Data being compiled

Storm

Data being compiled

Social

Data being compiled

Energy

Data being compiled

In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Matraville

Detailed Hazard Analysis

heat Risk

Matraville is susceptible to heatwaves, particularly during the summer months. Urban areas experience higher temperatures due to the urban heat island effect.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Rising global temperatures
  • ·Urban heat island effect
  • ·Reduced vegetation cover
Data source

flood Risk

Matraville faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to coastal areas and low-lying regions. Intense rainfall events can lead to stormwater runoff and potential inundation.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Sea level rise
  • ·Urban development
Data source

coastal Risk

Matraville experiences a moderate risk from coastal hazards such as erosion and inundation due to sea level rise. Low-lying coastal areas are particularly vulnerable.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Sea level rise
  • ·Storm surges
  • ·Coastal erosion
Data source

bushfire Risk

Bushfire risk in Matraville is relatively low compared to other areas in NSW, but some pockets near parks and reserves may experience elevated risk during dry periods.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Dry vegetation
  • ·High temperatures
  • ·Wind
Data source

What This Means for Property Owners

Insurance Outlook

Insurance premiums may increase in areas prone to flooding and coastal hazards.

Price Impact

Properties in high-risk areas may experience a decrease in value.

Buyer Checklist

  • 1.Check flood maps and coastal hazard reports
  • 2.Assess property's elevation and drainage
  • 3.Consider potential impacts of sea level rise
  • 4.Review insurance options and premiums
  • 5.Inspect for signs of past flooding or erosion

How the region's climate is projected to change

Regional projections, not a forecast for this street. Figures are from the WA Department of Water and Environmental Regulation's climate projections for the South Western Flatlands region, which draws on CSIRO and Bureau of Meteorology modelling.

Temperature

+0.5 to 1.1°C by 2030

Above the 1986–2005 climate, on all emissions scenarios. By 2090, 1.2 to 2.0°C under intermediate emissions or 2.6 to 4.0°C under high emissions.

Rainfall

Winter rain down up to 15% by 2030

The South West has been drying since 1970, and the decline has been larger than anywhere else in Australia. Heavy rainfall events are projected to become more intense even as totals fall.

Fire weather

Harsher, magnitude uncertain

High confidence that fire weather becomes harsher, low confidence in the size of the change, because it depends heavily on summer rainfall.

Sea level

+0.12 m by 2030

At the Fremantle gauge, range 0.07 to 0.16 m. Very high confidence that sea levels continue to rise through the century.

Source: Department of Water and Environmental Regulation (WA), Western Australian climate projections: summary, September 2021, South Western Flatlands chapter. Read the projections →

Adaptation Recommendations

Upgrade stormwater infrastructure

Near-term

Invest in upgrading stormwater drainage systems to handle increased rainfall intensity and reduce the risk of flooding.

Est. cost: High

Learn more

Implement heatwave management plan

Immediate

Develop and implement a heatwave management plan to protect vulnerable populations during extreme heat events.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Protect coastal areas

Long-term

Implement coastal protection measures such as seawalls and beach nourishment to mitigate the impacts of sea level rise and erosion.

Est. cost: Very High

Learn more

Promote water conservation

Near-term

Encourage water conservation measures to reduce demand on water resources during periods of drought.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

Community awareness programs

Immediate

Educate the community about climate change risks and adaptation measures through workshops and online resources.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

About Matraville's Climate Risk Profile

Matraville, a coastal suburb in Sydney, is increasingly vulnerable to the impacts of climate change. The primary risks include flooding from increased rainfall and sea level rise, more frequent and intense heatwaves, and coastal erosion. These hazards pose a threat to property, infrastructure, and public health.

Flooding is a significant concern due to the suburb's low-lying areas and proximity to the coast. Intense rainfall events can overwhelm stormwater systems, leading to inundation of streets and properties. Sea level rise exacerbates this risk, increasing the likelihood of coastal flooding during high tides and storm surges.

Heatwaves are becoming more frequent and severe, posing a particular risk to vulnerable populations such as the elderly and those with chronic health conditions. The urban heat island effect further amplifies temperatures in built-up areas, making it essential to implement strategies to reduce heat exposure.

Coastal erosion is another growing concern, threatening beaches and coastal infrastructure. Sea level rise and increased storm intensity contribute to erosion, requiring ongoing monitoring and management to protect coastal assets.

Addressing these climate risks requires a multi-faceted approach, including investments in infrastructure upgrades, implementation of adaptation measures, and community education and awareness programs. By taking proactive steps, Matraville can enhance its resilience to the impacts of climate change and ensure a sustainable future for its residents.

Suburb pages describe the local picture. The address-level assessment, with its data sources and its dollar projections, is in the ClimateNest report.

Local Government Resources

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the main climate change risks in Matraville?

The main climate change risks in Matraville include flooding, heatwaves, and coastal erosion due to sea level rise and increased storm intensity.

How will sea level rise affect Matraville?

Sea level rise will increase the risk of coastal flooding and erosion, particularly in low-lying areas. It may also impact coastal infrastructure and property values.

What is the council doing to address climate change?

Randwick City Council is implementing various strategies to address climate change, including upgrading stormwater infrastructure, promoting water conservation, and developing a heatwave management plan.

How can I prepare for heatwaves in Matraville?

To prepare for heatwaves, stay hydrated, seek air-conditioned environments, avoid strenuous activities during the hottest part of the day, and check on vulnerable neighbors and family members.

Where can I find information about flood risks in Matraville?

You can find information about flood risks in Matraville on the Randwick City Council website, including flood maps and coastal hazard reports.

Are there any bushfire risks in Matraville?

While the overall bushfire risk is relatively low, some areas near parks and reserves may experience elevated risk during dry periods. Check the NSW RFS website for bushfire prone land maps.

Get your property's risk report

This suburb assessment covers the area. For a precise address-level climate risk report for any specific property in Matraville, use our analysis tool.

Check Your flood Risk Now

Check Matraville's specific flood risk and see how it compares to nearby suburbs. Enter your address for an instant risk assessment.

Free instant previewCSIRO-powered data

What A$49 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections

Climate Risk in Matraville, NSW | ClimateNest