Climate Risk Profile: Marshdale, NSW

Marshdale, New South Wales
Updated May 2026

Marshdale faces moderate climate risks, primarily from flooding and heatwaves. Bushfire risk is also a concern. Residents should prepare for more frequent extreme weather events.

Is Marshdale Safe from Climate Risk?

Enter your address below for an instant climate risk assessment for Marshdale, New South Wales, covering flood, bushfire, sea level rise and more.

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What A$49 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections

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Overall Risk Score

Address-level

Hazard Breakdown

Flood, bushfire, heat, coastal and storm exposure are all assessed in this area. The score that matters is the property's own: a ClimateNest report scores the address across eight hazards, with insurance and value projections to 2050.

Climate Hazard Breakdown for Marshdale

Flood

Marshdale faces a moderate risk of flooding, primarily from heavy rainfall events and nearby waterways. The risk is expected to increase due to climate change.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Urban development

Bushfire

Bushfire risk in Marshdale is moderate, influenced by proximity to bushland and prevailing weather conditions. Climate change is projected to exacerbate these risks.

Key drivers:

  • ·Drier conditions
  • ·Increased frequency of heatwaves

Heat

Marshdale is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves. This poses a significant risk to vulnerable populations.

Key drivers:

  • ·Rising average temperatures
  • ·Increased frequency of heatwaves

Coastal

Coastal risk is low due to Marshdale's inland location. Sea level rise and coastal erosion are not significant concerns.

Key drivers:

  • ·Distance from the coast

Wind

Data being compiled

Storm

Data being compiled

Social

Data being compiled

Energy

Data being compiled

In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Marshdale

Detailed Hazard Analysis

heat Risk

Marshdale is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves. This poses a significant risk to vulnerable populations.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Rising average temperatures
  • ·Increased frequency of heatwaves
  • ·Urban heat island effect
Data source

flood Risk

Marshdale faces a moderate risk of flooding, primarily from heavy rainfall events and nearby waterways. The risk is expected to increase due to climate change.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Urban development
  • ·Inadequate drainage infrastructure
Data source

coastal Risk

Coastal risk is low due to Marshdale's inland location. Sea level rise and coastal erosion are not significant concerns.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Distance from the coast
Data source

bushfire Risk

Bushfire risk in Marshdale is moderate, influenced by proximity to bushland and prevailing weather conditions. Climate change is projected to exacerbate these risks.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Drier conditions
  • ·Increased frequency of heatwaves
  • ·Accumulation of flammable vegetation
Data source

What This Means for Property Owners

Insurance Outlook

Premiums may increase due to climate risks

Price Impact

Properties in flood-prone areas may experience price reductions

Buyer Checklist

  • 1.Check flood maps
  • 2.Assess bushfire risk
  • 3.Consider energy efficiency
  • 4.Review insurance options

How the region's climate is projected to change

Regional projections, not a forecast for this street. Figures are from the WA Department of Water and Environmental Regulation's climate projections for the South Western Flatlands region, which draws on CSIRO and Bureau of Meteorology modelling.

Temperature

+0.5 to 1.1°C by 2030

Above the 1986–2005 climate, on all emissions scenarios. By 2090, 1.2 to 2.0°C under intermediate emissions or 2.6 to 4.0°C under high emissions.

Rainfall

Winter rain down up to 15% by 2030

The South West has been drying since 1970, and the decline has been larger than anywhere else in Australia. Heavy rainfall events are projected to become more intense even as totals fall.

Fire weather

Harsher, magnitude uncertain

High confidence that fire weather becomes harsher, low confidence in the size of the change, because it depends heavily on summer rainfall.

Sea level

+0.12 m by 2030

At the Fremantle gauge, range 0.07 to 0.16 m. Very high confidence that sea levels continue to rise through the century.

Source: Department of Water and Environmental Regulation (WA), Western Australian climate projections: summary, September 2021, South Western Flatlands chapter. Read the projections →

Adaptation Recommendations

Improve drainage infrastructure

Near-term

Upgrade drainage systems to reduce the risk of flooding during heavy rainfall events.

Est. cost: High

Learn more

Develop a heatwave response plan

Immediate

Implement a plan to protect vulnerable populations during heatwaves, including cooling centers and community outreach programs.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Implement stricter building codes

Long-term

New buildings should be built to higher standards of resilience to flooding and bushfires.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Bushfire preparedness programs

Near-term

Educate residents on how to prepare their properties for bushfires and develop a bushfire survival plan.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

Promote water conservation

Long-term

Encourage residents to conserve water to reduce the strain on water resources during droughts and heatwaves.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

About Marshdale's Climate Risk Profile

Marshdale is a suburb in New South Wales that is increasingly vulnerable to the impacts of climate change. The primary risks include flooding from increased rainfall intensity, bushfires due to drier conditions and heatwaves, and more frequent and intense heatwaves.

Flooding is a significant concern, with potential for property damage and disruption to daily life. The risk is exacerbated by urban development and inadequate drainage infrastructure. Bushfire risk is also increasing due to drier conditions and the accumulation of flammable vegetation.

Heatwaves pose a threat to vulnerable populations, particularly the elderly and those with pre-existing health conditions. The urban heat island effect can further amplify the impact of heatwaves.

While coastal risks are low due to Marshdale's inland location, the suburb is not immune to the broader impacts of climate change. Residents should take steps to prepare for more frequent and intense extreme weather events.

Suburb pages describe the local picture. The address-level assessment, with its data sources and its dollar projections, is in the ClimateNest report.

Local Government Resources

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the main climate change risks in Marshdale?

The main risks are flooding, bushfires, and heatwaves. These risks are expected to increase in the future due to climate change.

How can I prepare my property for flooding?

Check your property's flood risk on the council's flood map. Consider installing flood barriers and raising electrical appliances.

What should I do during a heatwave?

Stay hydrated, avoid strenuous activity, and seek shelter in a cool place. Check on vulnerable neighbors and family members.

How can I prepare my property for bushfires?

Clear flammable vegetation around your home, maintain your gutters, and have a bushfire survival plan.

Where can I find more information about climate change in Marshdale?

Visit the council's website or the NSW government's environment website for more information.

Is Marshdale a good place to invest in property considering climate change?

While Marshdale faces climate risks, taking appropriate adaptation measures can mitigate these risks. Consider the specific location of the property and its vulnerability to flooding and bushfires.

Get your property's risk report

This suburb assessment covers the area. For a precise address-level climate risk report for any specific property in Marshdale, use our analysis tool.

Check Your flood Risk Now

Check Marshdale's specific flood risk and see how it compares to nearby suburbs. Enter your address for an instant risk assessment.

Free instant previewCSIRO-powered data

What A$49 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections