Climate Risk in Marsfield, New South Wales
Marsfield faces moderate risks from flooding and heatwaves, with bushfire risk also present. Climate change is expected to exacerbate these risks, particularly heatwaves and flooding, requiring proactive adaptation measures.
Is Marsfield Safe from Climate Risk?
Enter your address below for an instant climate risk assessment for Marsfield, New South Wales, covering flood, bushfire, sea level rise and more.
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Overall Risk Score
Hazard Breakdown
Flood, bushfire, heat, coastal and storm exposure are all assessed in this area. The score that matters is the property's own: a ClimateNest report scores the address across eight hazards, with insurance and value projections to 2050.
Climate Hazard Breakdown for Marsfield
Flood
Marsfield faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to waterways and local topography. Intense rainfall events can lead to flash flooding.
Key drivers:
- ·Increased rainfall intensity
- ·Urban development
Bushfire
Bushfire risk in Marsfield is moderate, with some areas bordering bushland. Hot, dry conditions during summer increase the potential for bushfires.
Key drivers:
- ·Dry vegetation
- ·Increased temperatures
Heat
Marsfield is susceptible to heatwaves, particularly during the summer months. Urban areas experience higher temperatures due to the urban heat island effect.
Key drivers:
- ·Rising average temperatures
- ·Urban heat island effect
Coastal
Coastal risks are minimal in Marsfield due to its distance from the coast.
Key drivers:
- ·Sea level rise
Wind
Data being compiled
Storm
Data being compiled
Social
Data being compiled
Energy
Data being compiled
In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Marsfield
Property buying guide with climate risk assessment
Flood zone mapping, historical events, and projections
BAL assessment, vegetation proximity, and fire history
Multi-hazard safety assessment to 2050
Severe weather, hail, and wind risk analysis
Extreme heat days, urban heat island, and cooling costs
Premium estimates and insurance availability
Climate-adjusted property investment analysis
Detailed Hazard Analysis
heat Risk
Marsfield is susceptible to heatwaves, particularly during the summer months. Urban areas experience higher temperatures due to the urban heat island effect.
Primary Drivers
- ·Rising average temperatures
- ·Urban heat island effect
- ·Reduced green spaces
flood Risk
Marsfield faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to waterways and local topography. Intense rainfall events can lead to flash flooding.
Primary Drivers
- ·Increased rainfall intensity
- ·Urban development
- ·Aging drainage infrastructure
coastal Risk
Coastal risks are minimal in Marsfield due to its distance from the coast.
Primary Drivers
- ·Sea level rise
bushfire Risk
Bushfire risk in Marsfield is moderate, with some areas bordering bushland. Hot, dry conditions during summer increase the potential for bushfires.
Primary Drivers
- ·Dry vegetation
- ·Increased temperatures
- ·Wind patterns
What This Means for Property Owners
Insurance Outlook
Insurance premiums may increase in areas prone to flooding and bushfires.
Price Impact
Properties in high-risk areas may experience a decrease in value.
Buyer Checklist
- 1.Check flood maps and bushfire-prone area designations.
- 2.Assess property's vulnerability to heatwaves.
- 3.Review insurance coverage and potential premium increases.
- 4.Consider long-term climate change impacts on property value.
How the region's climate is projected to change
Regional projections, not a forecast for this street. Figures are from the WA Department of Water and Environmental Regulation's climate projections for the South Western Flatlands region, which draws on CSIRO and Bureau of Meteorology modelling.
Temperature
+0.5 to 1.1°C by 2030
Above the 1986–2005 climate, on all emissions scenarios. By 2090, 1.2 to 2.0°C under intermediate emissions or 2.6 to 4.0°C under high emissions.
Rainfall
Winter rain down up to 15% by 2030
The South West has been drying since 1970, and the decline has been larger than anywhere else in Australia. Heavy rainfall events are projected to become more intense even as totals fall.
Fire weather
Harsher, magnitude uncertain
High confidence that fire weather becomes harsher, low confidence in the size of the change, because it depends heavily on summer rainfall.
Sea level
+0.12 m by 2030
At the Fremantle gauge, range 0.07 to 0.16 m. Very high confidence that sea levels continue to rise through the century.
Source: Department of Water and Environmental Regulation (WA), Western Australian climate projections: summary, September 2021, South Western Flatlands chapter. Read the projections →
Adaptation Recommendations
Improve Drainage Infrastructure
Near-termUpgrade and expand local drainage systems to handle increased rainfall intensity and reduce flood risk.
Est. cost: Medium
Learn moreImplement Heatwave Early Warning System
ImmediateDevelop and implement a heatwave early warning system to alert vulnerable residents and provide guidance on staying safe during extreme heat events.
Est. cost: Low
Learn moreBushfire Preparedness Programs
Near-termExpand community education programs on bushfire preparedness, including evacuation planning and property maintenance.
Est. cost: Low
Learn moreIncrease Urban Green Spaces
Long-termIncrease the amount of green space in urban areas to reduce the urban heat island effect and provide shade and cooling.
Est. cost: Medium
Learn moreAbout Marsfield's Climate Risk Profile
Marsfield, located in northern Sydney, is exposed to several climate-related risks. The suburb's proximity to waterways increases its vulnerability to flooding during periods of heavy rainfall. Climate change projections indicate an increase in the intensity and frequency of extreme rainfall events, potentially worsening flood risks in the future.
Bushfire risk is also a concern, especially for properties located near bushland areas. Hotter and drier conditions during the summer months can elevate the risk of bushfires. While not as immediate a threat as flooding or heatwaves, bushfire preparedness is essential.
Heatwaves pose a significant threat to Marsfield residents, particularly the elderly and those with pre-existing health conditions. The urban heat island effect can amplify temperatures in built-up areas, increasing the risk of heatstroke and other heat-related illnesses. Climate change is projected to increase the frequency and intensity of heatwaves, making this a growing concern.
While coastal risks are minimal due to Marsfield's inland location, the suburb is still indirectly affected by broader climate change impacts. Changes in weather patterns and increased extreme events can have cascading effects on the local economy and environment. Adaptation measures are crucial to mitigate these risks and build resilience.
Suburb pages describe the local picture. The address-level assessment, with its data sources and its dollar projections, is in the ClimateNest report.
Local Government Resources
City of Ryde
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the main climate change risks in Marsfield?
The main climate change risks in Marsfield are increased heatwaves, flooding, and bushfire risk. Heatwaves are expected to become more frequent and intense, while flooding is likely to increase due to more intense rainfall events. Bushfire risk will also increase.
How will climate change affect property values in Marsfield?
Properties in areas prone to flooding or bushfires may experience a decrease in value. It's important to check flood maps and bushfire-prone area designations before purchasing property.
What can I do to prepare for heatwaves in Marsfield?
Stay indoors during the hottest part of the day, drink plenty of water, and check on vulnerable neighbors. Consider installing air conditioning or visiting a cooling center during extreme heat events.
How can I protect my property from bushfires in Marsfield?
Maintain firebreaks around your property, clear gutters of dry leaves, and have a bushfire survival plan. Stay informed about fire danger ratings and evacuation warnings.
What is the council doing to address climate change in Marsfield?
The City of Ryde is implementing various strategies to address climate change, including improving drainage infrastructure, increasing urban green spaces, and promoting energy efficiency. Check the council's website for more information.
Get your property's risk report
This suburb assessment covers the area. For a precise address-level climate risk report for any specific property in Marsfield, use our analysis tool.
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What A$49 could save you from
*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA
Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections