Climate Risk in Maroubra, NSW
Maroubra is a coastal suburb in Sydney facing increasing climate risks. The primary concerns are heatwaves, coastal erosion, and flooding, which are projected to worsen with climate change. Residents should prepare for more frequent extreme weather events.
Is Maroubra Safe from Climate Risk?
Enter your address below for an instant climate risk assessment for Maroubra, New South Wales, covering flood, bushfire, sea level rise and more.
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Overall Risk Score
Hazard Breakdown
Flood, bushfire, heat, coastal and storm exposure are all assessed in this area. The score that matters is the property's own: a ClimateNest report scores the address across eight hazards, with insurance and value projections to 2050.
Climate Hazard Breakdown for Maroubra
Flood
Maroubra faces a moderate risk of flooding, particularly in low-lying areas and near waterways. Intense rainfall events can lead to flash flooding.
Key drivers:
- ·Increased rainfall intensity
- ·Urban development
Bushfire
Bushfire risk in Maroubra is relatively low due to its coastal location and limited vegetation. However, nearby parks and reserves pose a potential threat during dry periods.
Key drivers:
- ·Proximity to bushland
- ·Dry vegetation
Heat
Maroubra experiences a high risk of heatwaves, especially during summer. Increased temperatures can impact vulnerable populations and infrastructure.
Key drivers:
- ·Rising average temperatures
- ·Urban heat island effect
Coastal
Maroubra faces a moderate risk from coastal hazards, including sea level rise and coastal erosion. The coastline is vulnerable to storm surges and rising sea levels.
Key drivers:
- ·Sea level rise
- ·Storm surge
Wind
Data being compiled
Storm
Data being compiled
Social
Data being compiled
Energy
Data being compiled
In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Maroubra
Property buying guide with climate risk assessment
Flood zone mapping, historical events, and projections
BAL assessment, vegetation proximity, and fire history
Multi-hazard safety assessment to 2050
Severe weather, hail, and wind risk analysis
Extreme heat days, urban heat island, and cooling costs
Premium estimates and insurance availability
Climate-adjusted property investment analysis
Detailed Hazard Analysis
heat Risk
Maroubra experiences a high risk of heatwaves, especially during summer. Increased temperatures can impact vulnerable populations and infrastructure.
Primary Drivers
- ·Rising average temperatures
- ·Urban heat island effect
- ·Frequency of heatwaves
flood Risk
Maroubra faces a moderate risk of flooding, particularly in low-lying areas and near waterways. Intense rainfall events can lead to flash flooding.
Primary Drivers
- ·Increased rainfall intensity
- ·Urban development
- ·Sea level rise
coastal Risk
Maroubra faces a moderate risk from coastal hazards, including sea level rise and coastal erosion. The coastline is vulnerable to storm surges and rising sea levels.
Primary Drivers
- ·Sea level rise
- ·Storm surge
- ·Coastal erosion
bushfire Risk
Bushfire risk in Maroubra is relatively low due to its coastal location and limited vegetation. However, nearby parks and reserves pose a potential threat during dry periods.
Primary Drivers
- ·Proximity to bushland
- ·Dry vegetation
- ·Wind patterns
What This Means for Property Owners
Insurance Outlook
Insurance premiums may increase in the future due to climate-related risks.
Price Impact
Properties in high-risk areas may experience a decrease in value.
Buyer Checklist
- 1.Check flood maps and coastal erosion zones.
- 2.Assess property's vulnerability to heatwaves.
- 3.Inquire about council's climate adaptation plans.
- 4.Review insurance coverage for climate-related events.
How the region's climate is projected to change
Regional projections, not a forecast for this street. Figures are from the WA Department of Water and Environmental Regulation's climate projections for the South Western Flatlands region, which draws on CSIRO and Bureau of Meteorology modelling.
Temperature
+0.5 to 1.1°C by 2030
Above the 1986–2005 climate, on all emissions scenarios. By 2090, 1.2 to 2.0°C under intermediate emissions or 2.6 to 4.0°C under high emissions.
Rainfall
Winter rain down up to 15% by 2030
The South West has been drying since 1970, and the decline has been larger than anywhere else in Australia. Heavy rainfall events are projected to become more intense even as totals fall.
Fire weather
Harsher, magnitude uncertain
High confidence that fire weather becomes harsher, low confidence in the size of the change, because it depends heavily on summer rainfall.
Sea level
+0.12 m by 2030
At the Fremantle gauge, range 0.07 to 0.16 m. Very high confidence that sea levels continue to rise through the century.
Source: Department of Water and Environmental Regulation (WA), Western Australian climate projections: summary, September 2021, South Western Flatlands chapter. Read the projections →
Adaptation Recommendations
Improve stormwater drainage
Near-termUpgrade stormwater infrastructure to handle increased rainfall intensity and reduce flood risk.
Est. cost: Medium
Learn moreImplement coastal protection measures
Near-termConstruct seawalls and restore dunes to protect against coastal erosion and sea level rise.
Est. cost: High
Learn moreDevelop a heatwave management plan
ImmediateEstablish cooling centers and provide support for vulnerable residents during heatwaves.
Est. cost: Low
Learn morePromote water conservation
Long-termEncourage residents and businesses to reduce water consumption to mitigate drought impacts.
Est. cost: Low
Learn moreBushfire preparedness
Near-termEnsure residents are aware of bushfire risks and have evacuation plans in place.
Est. cost: Low
Learn moreAbout Maroubra's Climate Risk Profile
Maroubra, a vibrant coastal suburb in Sydney, is increasingly vulnerable to the impacts of climate change. Rising temperatures, sea level rise, and altered rainfall patterns pose significant challenges to the community and infrastructure.
Heatwaves are a major concern, with average temperatures expected to increase in the coming decades. This will place additional stress on vulnerable populations, such as the elderly and those with pre-existing health conditions. The urban heat island effect may exacerbate these impacts.
Coastal erosion and sea level rise threaten Maroubra's beaches and coastal infrastructure. Increased storm surges could lead to flooding and damage to property. Protecting the coastline is crucial for maintaining the suburb's character and economy.
Changes in rainfall patterns could lead to more frequent and intense flooding events. Low-lying areas and properties near waterways are particularly at risk. Effective stormwater management and flood mitigation measures are essential.
Addressing these climate risks requires a coordinated effort from residents, businesses, and local government. By taking proactive steps to adapt to climate change, Maroubra can build a more resilient and sustainable future.
Preparing for climate change impacts is essential for Maroubra residents. This includes understanding the risks, taking steps to protect property, and supporting community-based adaptation initiatives.
Suburb pages describe the local picture. The address-level assessment, with its data sources and its dollar projections, is in the ClimateNest report.
Local Government Resources
Randwick City Council
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the main climate change risks for Maroubra?
The main climate change risks for Maroubra include heatwaves, coastal erosion, flooding, and sea level rise. These risks are projected to increase in the coming decades.
How will sea level rise affect Maroubra?
Sea level rise will increase the risk of coastal erosion and inundation in low-lying areas of Maroubra. This could damage property and infrastructure.
What is the council doing to address climate change in Maroubra?
Randwick City Council has developed a climate strategy that includes measures to reduce greenhouse gas emissions and adapt to the impacts of climate change. They are also working to improve stormwater management and protect the coastline.
How can I prepare for heatwaves in Maroubra?
To prepare for heatwaves, stay hydrated, seek air-conditioned environments, and check on vulnerable neighbors. Randwick Council may also open cooling centers during extreme heat events.
Where can I find information about flood risks in Maroubra?
You can find information about flood risks in Maroubra on the Randwick City Council website, including flood maps and information about flood preparedness.
Is my property in Maroubra at risk from bushfire?
While Maroubra itself has a relatively low bushfire risk, properties near Malabar Headland National Park may be at greater risk. Check the NSW Rural Fire Service website for more information and to prepare a bushfire survival plan.
Get your property's risk report
This suburb assessment covers the area. For a precise address-level climate risk report for any specific property in Maroubra, use our analysis tool.
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What A$49 could save you from
*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA
Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections