Climate Risk Assessment: Marmong Point, NSW

Marmong Point, New South Wales· Lake Macquarie· 2283
Updated May 2026

Marmong Point faces increasing risks from climate change, particularly related to heatwaves and flooding. Sea level rise and bushfire risk also present challenges for the suburb. Residents should prepare for more extreme weather events.

Is Marmong Point Safe from Climate Risk?

Enter your address below for an instant climate risk assessment for Marmong Point, New South Wales, covering flood, bushfire, sea level rise and more.

Free instant previewCSIRO-powered data

What A$49 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections

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Overall Risk Score

Address-level

Hazard Breakdown

Flood, bushfire, heat, coastal and storm exposure are all assessed in this area. The score that matters is the property's own: a ClimateNest report scores the address across eight hazards, with insurance and value projections to 2050.

Climate Hazard Breakdown for Marmong Point

Flood

Marmong Point is susceptible to flooding due to its proximity to Lake Macquarie and low-lying areas. Increased rainfall intensity could exacerbate flood risk.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Sea level rise

Bushfire

Bushfire risk is moderate due to surrounding vegetation. Drier conditions and higher temperatures could increase the likelihood and intensity of bushfires.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased temperatures
  • ·Drier conditions

Heat

Marmong Point is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves. This poses a risk to vulnerable populations.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased greenhouse gas emissions
  • ·Urban heat island effect

Coastal

Sea level rise poses a threat to coastal areas of Marmong Point, potentially leading to erosion and inundation.

Key drivers:

  • ·Thermal expansion of seawater
  • ·Melting glaciers and ice sheets

Wind

Data being compiled

Storm

Data being compiled

Social

Data being compiled

Energy

Data being compiled

In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Marmong Point

Detailed Hazard Analysis

heat Risk

Marmong Point is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves. This poses a risk to vulnerable populations.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased greenhouse gas emissions
  • ·Urban heat island effect
Data source

flood Risk

Marmong Point is susceptible to flooding due to its proximity to Lake Macquarie and low-lying areas. Increased rainfall intensity could exacerbate flood risk.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Sea level rise
  • ·Storm surge
Data source

coastal Risk

Sea level rise poses a threat to coastal areas of Marmong Point, potentially leading to erosion and inundation.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Thermal expansion of seawater
  • ·Melting glaciers and ice sheets
Data source

bushfire Risk

Bushfire risk is moderate due to surrounding vegetation. Drier conditions and higher temperatures could increase the likelihood and intensity of bushfires.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased temperatures
  • ·Drier conditions
  • ·Increased fuel load
Data source

What This Means for Property Owners

Insurance Outlook

Premiums may increase due to flood and bushfire risk.

Price Impact

Potential for decreased property values in high-risk areas.

Buyer Checklist

  • 1.Check flood maps and insurance costs.
  • 2.Assess bushfire risk and prepare property.
  • 3.Consider long-term climate change impacts.

How the region's climate is projected to change

Regional projections, not a forecast for this street. Figures are from the WA Department of Water and Environmental Regulation's climate projections for the South Western Flatlands region, which draws on CSIRO and Bureau of Meteorology modelling.

Temperature

+0.5 to 1.1°C by 2030

Above the 1986–2005 climate, on all emissions scenarios. By 2090, 1.2 to 2.0°C under intermediate emissions or 2.6 to 4.0°C under high emissions.

Rainfall

Winter rain down up to 15% by 2030

The South West has been drying since 1970, and the decline has been larger than anywhere else in Australia. Heavy rainfall events are projected to become more intense even as totals fall.

Fire weather

Harsher, magnitude uncertain

High confidence that fire weather becomes harsher, low confidence in the size of the change, because it depends heavily on summer rainfall.

Sea level

+0.12 m by 2030

At the Fremantle gauge, range 0.07 to 0.16 m. Very high confidence that sea levels continue to rise through the century.

Source: Department of Water and Environmental Regulation (WA), Western Australian climate projections: summary, September 2021, South Western Flatlands chapter. Read the projections →

Adaptation Recommendations

Improve Flood Defenses

Near-term

Invest in infrastructure to protect against flooding, such as levees and improved drainage systems.

Est. cost: High

Learn more

Bushfire Preparedness

Immediate

Implement bushfire mitigation strategies, including vegetation management and community education programs.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Heatwave Action Plan

Near-term

Develop and implement a heatwave action plan to protect vulnerable populations during extreme heat events.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

Coastal Management Strategy

Long-term

Develop a coastal management strategy to address the impacts of sea level rise and coastal erosion.

Est. cost: High

Learn more

About Marmong Point's Climate Risk Profile

Marmong Point, located on the shores of Lake Macquarie, is increasingly vulnerable to the impacts of climate change. The suburb is projected to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves, posing a significant risk to public health, especially for vulnerable populations such as the elderly and those with pre-existing health conditions.

Flooding is another major concern for Marmong Point. The suburb's low-lying areas and proximity to the lake make it susceptible to inundation during heavy rainfall events. Climate change is expected to increase the intensity of rainfall, further exacerbating the risk of flooding and potentially causing damage to property and infrastructure.

Sea level rise also poses a long-term threat to Marmong Point's coastal areas. As sea levels rise, the suburb could experience increased erosion, inundation of low-lying areas, and saltwater intrusion into freshwater sources. This could have significant impacts on the local ecosystem and the amenity of the area.

Bushfire risk is also a factor, with surrounding vegetation posing a threat during dry periods. Higher temperatures and drier conditions associated with climate change could increase the likelihood and intensity of bushfires, potentially threatening homes and lives. Residents should take steps to prepare their properties and be aware of bushfire safety procedures.

Suburb pages describe the local picture. The address-level assessment, with its data sources and its dollar projections, is in the ClimateNest report.

Local Government Resources

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the main climate change risks for Marmong Point?

The main risks include increased heatwaves, flooding, sea level rise, and bushfire risk.

How is the council addressing climate change in Marmong Point?

Lake Macquarie City Council has a climate strategy that includes measures to reduce emissions and adapt to the impacts of climate change.

What can residents do to prepare for heatwaves?

Residents can stay hydrated, seek air-conditioned environments, and check on vulnerable neighbors.

How can I protect my property from flooding?

Consider installing flood barriers, raising electrical appliances, and ensuring proper drainage.

What should I do during a bushfire?

Follow the advice of emergency services, evacuate if necessary, and have a bushfire survival plan.

Get your property's risk report

This suburb assessment covers the area. For a precise address-level climate risk report for any specific property in Marmong Point, use our analysis tool.

Check Your flood Risk Now

Check Marmong Point's specific flood risk and see how it compares to nearby suburbs. Enter your address for an instant risk assessment.

Free instant previewCSIRO-powered data

What A$49 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections

Climate Risk Profile for Marmong Point, NSW | ClimateNest