Climate Risk Profile: Marlo Merrican, NSW
Marlo Merrican faces moderate risks from flooding, bushfires, heatwaves and coastal hazards. Climate change is expected to exacerbate these risks, leading to increased frequency and intensity of extreme weather events. Residents should prepare for potential impacts on property and infrastructure.
Is Marlo Merrican Safe from Climate Risk?
Enter your address below for an instant climate risk assessment for Marlo Merrican, New South Wales, covering flood, bushfire, sea level rise and more.
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Overall Risk Score
Hazard Breakdown
Flood, bushfire, heat, coastal and storm exposure are all assessed in this area. The score that matters is the property's own: a ClimateNest report scores the address across eight hazards, with insurance and value projections to 2050.
Climate Hazard Breakdown for Marlo Merrican
Flood
Marlo Merrican faces a moderate risk of flooding, primarily from heavy rainfall events and potential riverine flooding. The risk is influenced by the proximity to waterways and low-lying areas.
Key drivers:
- ·Increased rainfall intensity
- ·Urban development
Bushfire
The bushfire risk in Marlo Merrican is relatively high due to the presence of surrounding bushland and dry vegetation. Hot, dry conditions during the fire season exacerbate the risk.
Key drivers:
- ·Dry vegetation
- ·High temperatures
Heat
Marlo Merrican experiences moderate heat risk, with increasing average temperatures and more frequent heatwave events projected. This poses a risk to vulnerable populations.
Key drivers:
- ·Climate change
- ·Urban heat island effect
Coastal
Marlo Merrican faces a moderate coastal risk due to its proximity to the coastline. Sea level rise and increased storm intensity could lead to erosion and inundation.
Key drivers:
- ·Sea level rise
- ·Storm surges
Wind
Data being compiled
Storm
Data being compiled
Social
Data being compiled
Energy
Data being compiled
In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Marlo Merrican
Property buying guide with climate risk assessment
Flood zone mapping, historical events, and projections
BAL assessment, vegetation proximity, and fire history
Multi-hazard safety assessment to 2050
Severe weather, hail, and wind risk analysis
Extreme heat days, urban heat island, and cooling costs
Premium estimates and insurance availability
Climate-adjusted property investment analysis
Detailed Hazard Analysis
heat Risk
Marlo Merrican experiences moderate heat risk, with increasing average temperatures and more frequent heatwave events projected. This poses a risk to vulnerable populations.
Primary Drivers
- ·Climate change
- ·Urban heat island effect
flood Risk
Marlo Merrican faces a moderate risk of flooding, primarily from heavy rainfall events and potential riverine flooding. The risk is influenced by the proximity to waterways and low-lying areas.
Primary Drivers
- ·Increased rainfall intensity
- ·Urban development
- ·Climate change
coastal Risk
Marlo Merrican faces a moderate coastal risk due to its proximity to the coastline. Sea level rise and increased storm intensity could lead to erosion and inundation.
Primary Drivers
- ·Sea level rise
- ·Storm surges
- ·Erosion
bushfire Risk
The bushfire risk in Marlo Merrican is relatively high due to the presence of surrounding bushland and dry vegetation. Hot, dry conditions during the fire season exacerbate the risk.
Primary Drivers
- ·Dry vegetation
- ·High temperatures
- ·Strong winds
- ·Climate change
What This Means for Property Owners
Insurance Outlook
Insurance premiums are likely to increase due to climate risks.
Price Impact
Properties in high-risk areas may experience price reductions.
Buyer Checklist
- 1.Check flood maps and bushfire prone areas.
- 2.Assess property's vulnerability to heatwaves.
- 3.Review insurance options and potential premium increases.
- 4.Consider long-term climate risks when making property decisions.
How the region's climate is projected to change
Regional projections, not a forecast for this street. Figures are from the WA Department of Water and Environmental Regulation's climate projections for the South Western Flatlands region, which draws on CSIRO and Bureau of Meteorology modelling.
Temperature
+0.5 to 1.1°C by 2030
Above the 1986–2005 climate, on all emissions scenarios. By 2090, 1.2 to 2.0°C under intermediate emissions or 2.6 to 4.0°C under high emissions.
Rainfall
Winter rain down up to 15% by 2030
The South West has been drying since 1970, and the decline has been larger than anywhere else in Australia. Heavy rainfall events are projected to become more intense even as totals fall.
Fire weather
Harsher, magnitude uncertain
High confidence that fire weather becomes harsher, low confidence in the size of the change, because it depends heavily on summer rainfall.
Sea level
+0.12 m by 2030
At the Fremantle gauge, range 0.07 to 0.16 m. Very high confidence that sea levels continue to rise through the century.
Source: Department of Water and Environmental Regulation (WA), Western Australian climate projections: summary, September 2021, South Western Flatlands chapter. Read the projections →
Adaptation Recommendations
Improve Flood Defenses
Near-termUpgrade drainage infrastructure and implement flood barriers to protect properties from inundation.
Est. cost: High
Learn moreBushfire Risk Reduction
ImmediateImplement vegetation management programs and create firebreaks to reduce the risk of bushfires.
Est. cost: Medium
Learn moreHeatwave Preparedness
Near-termDevelop a heatwave early warning system and provide cooling centers for vulnerable populations.
Est. cost: Low
Learn moreCoastal Erosion Management
Long-termImplement coastal protection measures such as seawalls and beach nourishment to reduce erosion.
Est. cost: Very High
Learn moreCommunity Education Programs
ImmediateEducate residents about climate risks and adaptation strategies through workshops and outreach programs.
Est. cost: Low
Learn moreAbout Marlo Merrican's Climate Risk Profile
Marlo Merrican, located in New South Wales, is exposed to a range of climate-related risks that are projected to intensify in the coming decades. The suburb's proximity to waterways and coastal areas makes it vulnerable to flooding and coastal erosion, while surrounding bushland increases the risk of bushfires.
Rising temperatures and more frequent heatwaves pose a significant threat to public health, particularly for vulnerable populations such as the elderly and those with pre-existing medical conditions. Changes in rainfall patterns could also lead to more frequent and intense droughts, impacting water resources and agriculture.
The increasing frequency and intensity of extreme weather events could have significant economic impacts on Marlo Merrican, including damage to property and infrastructure, disruption to businesses, and increased insurance costs. It is crucial for residents and local authorities to take proactive measures to adapt to these changing conditions.
Adaptation strategies for Marlo Merrican should focus on reducing the risks from flooding, bushfires, heatwaves, and coastal hazards. This could include measures such as improving drainage infrastructure, implementing stricter building codes in flood-prone areas, managing vegetation to reduce bushfire risk, and developing heatwave early warning systems. Community engagement and education are also essential to ensure that residents are aware of the risks and prepared to take action.
Suburb pages describe the local picture. The address-level assessment, with its data sources and its dollar projections, is in the ClimateNest report.
Local Government Resources
Local Council
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the main climate risks facing Marlo Merrican?
Marlo Merrican faces risks from flooding, bushfires, heatwaves, and coastal erosion, which are expected to worsen with climate change.
How will climate change affect property values in Marlo Merrican?
Properties in high-risk areas may experience price reductions due to increased insurance costs and potential damage from extreme weather events.
What can residents do to prepare for climate change?
Residents can take steps to reduce their risk from flooding, bushfires, and heatwaves, such as improving drainage, managing vegetation, and developing a heatwave preparedness plan.
What is the local council doing to address climate change?
The local council is developing a climate strategy to reduce greenhouse gas emissions and adapt to the impacts of climate change.
Where can I find more information about climate risks in Marlo Merrican?
You can find more information on the local council website, the NSW State Emergency Service website, and the Bureau of Meteorology website.
Is Marlo Merrican a good place to invest in property considering climate change?
While Marlo Merrican has many positive attributes, potential investors should carefully consider the climate risks and factor them into their decision-making process. Consult with local experts and review available climate data before investing.
Get your property's risk report
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What A$49 could save you from
*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA
Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections