Climate Risk Profile: Mares Run, NSW
Mares Run faces increasing risks from bushfires and heatwaves due to climate change. Flooding is also a concern. Residents should prepare for more frequent and intense extreme weather events.
Is Mares Run Safe from Climate Risk?
Enter your address below for an instant climate risk assessment for Mares Run, New South Wales, covering flood, bushfire, sea level rise and more.
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Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections
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Overall Risk Score
Hazard Breakdown
Flood, bushfire, heat, coastal and storm exposure are all assessed in this area. The score that matters is the property's own: a ClimateNest report scores the address across eight hazards, with insurance and value projections to 2050.
Climate Hazard Breakdown for Mares Run
Flood
Flooding may occur due to heavy rainfall and proximity to waterways. Climate change is expected to increase the intensity of rainfall events.
Key drivers:
- ·Increased rainfall intensity
- ·Urban development
Bushfire
The area is susceptible to bushfires due to the presence of surrounding bushland. Hot, dry conditions exacerbate the risk.
Key drivers:
- ·Increased temperatures
- ·Drier conditions
Heat
The suburb experiences high temperatures during summer, with potential for heatwaves. Climate change is projected to increase the frequency and intensity of heat events.
Key drivers:
- ·Increased greenhouse gas emissions
- ·Urban heat island effect
Coastal
Coastal risks are minimal due to the suburb's inland location.
Key drivers:
- ·Distance from coast
Wind
Data being compiled
Storm
Data being compiled
Social
Data being compiled
Energy
Data being compiled
In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Mares Run
Property buying guide with climate risk assessment
Flood zone mapping, historical events, and projections
BAL assessment, vegetation proximity, and fire history
Multi-hazard safety assessment to 2050
Severe weather, hail, and wind risk analysis
Extreme heat days, urban heat island, and cooling costs
Premium estimates and insurance availability
Climate-adjusted property investment analysis
Detailed Hazard Analysis
heat Risk
The suburb experiences high temperatures during summer, with potential for heatwaves. Climate change is projected to increase the frequency and intensity of heat events.
Primary Drivers
- ·Increased greenhouse gas emissions
- ·Urban heat island effect
flood Risk
Flooding may occur due to heavy rainfall and proximity to waterways. Climate change is expected to increase the intensity of rainfall events.
Primary Drivers
- ·Increased rainfall intensity
- ·Urban development
- ·Inadequate drainage
coastal Risk
Coastal risks are minimal due to the suburb's inland location.
Primary Drivers
- ·Distance from coast
bushfire Risk
The area is susceptible to bushfires due to the presence of surrounding bushland. Hot, dry conditions exacerbate the risk.
Primary Drivers
- ·Increased temperatures
- ·Drier conditions
- ·Fuel load
What This Means for Property Owners
Insurance Outlook
Premiums may increase due to climate-related risks.
Price Impact
Property values may be affected by increased risk perceptions.
Buyer Checklist
- 1.Check flood maps and bushfire prone land maps.
- 2.Assess property's vulnerability to heatwaves.
- 3.Consider potential impacts on insurance premiums.
- 4.Review council's climate adaptation plans.
How the region's climate is projected to change
Regional projections, not a forecast for this street. Figures are from the WA Department of Water and Environmental Regulation's climate projections for the South Western Flatlands region, which draws on CSIRO and Bureau of Meteorology modelling.
Temperature
+0.5 to 1.1°C by 2030
Above the 1986–2005 climate, on all emissions scenarios. By 2090, 1.2 to 2.0°C under intermediate emissions or 2.6 to 4.0°C under high emissions.
Rainfall
Winter rain down up to 15% by 2030
The South West has been drying since 1970, and the decline has been larger than anywhere else in Australia. Heavy rainfall events are projected to become more intense even as totals fall.
Fire weather
Harsher, magnitude uncertain
High confidence that fire weather becomes harsher, low confidence in the size of the change, because it depends heavily on summer rainfall.
Sea level
+0.12 m by 2030
At the Fremantle gauge, range 0.07 to 0.16 m. Very high confidence that sea levels continue to rise through the century.
Source: Department of Water and Environmental Regulation (WA), Western Australian climate projections: summary, September 2021, South Western Flatlands chapter. Read the projections →
Adaptation Recommendations
Develop a Bushfire Survival Plan
ImmediateCreate a detailed plan for your household in the event of a bushfire, including evacuation routes and emergency contacts.
Est. cost: Low
Learn moreImprove Home Cooling
Near-termInstall air conditioning or fans to help stay cool during heatwaves. Insulate your home to reduce heat gain.
Est. cost: Medium
Learn moreImprove Drainage
Near-termEnsure proper drainage around your property to reduce the risk of flooding. Clear gutters and downpipes regularly.
Est. cost: Low
Learn morePlant Native Trees
Long-termPlanting native trees can help to cool your home and reduce the urban heat island effect. Choose drought-tolerant species.
Est. cost: Low
Learn moreAbout Mares Run's Climate Risk Profile
Mares Run, like many areas in New South Wales, is increasingly vulnerable to the impacts of climate change. The primary concerns are rising temperatures, increased bushfire risk, and the potential for more intense rainfall events leading to flooding.
The risk of bushfires is elevated due to hotter, drier conditions and the presence of surrounding bushland. Residents should maintain their properties to reduce fuel loads and stay informed about fire danger ratings.
Heatwaves are becoming more frequent and severe, posing a health risk to vulnerable populations. It is important to stay hydrated, seek air-conditioned environments during extreme heat, and check on elderly neighbors.
While coastal risks are low due to the suburb's location, the broader region may experience indirect impacts from coastal erosion and sea-level rise. Changes to rainfall patterns could also affect water availability and agricultural productivity.
Addressing these challenges requires a combination of individual preparedness, community resilience, and government action to reduce greenhouse gas emissions and adapt to the changing climate.
Suburb pages describe the local picture. The address-level assessment, with its data sources and its dollar projections, is in the ClimateNest report.
Local Government Resources
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the main climate change risks in Mares Run?
The main risks are increased bushfire danger, more frequent and intense heatwaves, and potential for flooding due to heavy rainfall.
How can I prepare my home for bushfires?
Clear vegetation around your home, maintain gutters, and have a bushfire survival plan in place. Check the RFS website for more information.
What should I do during a heatwave?
Stay hydrated, seek air-conditioned environments, and check on elderly or vulnerable neighbors. Avoid strenuous activity during the hottest part of the day.
Where can I find information about local flood risks?
Check the NSW Government flood maps and contact your local council for information about flood-prone areas and emergency preparedness.
How will climate change affect property values in Mares Run?
Increased climate risks may affect property values and insurance premiums. It's important to consider these factors when buying or selling property.
Get your property's risk report
This suburb assessment covers the area. For a precise address-level climate risk report for any specific property in Mares Run, use our analysis tool.
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What A$49 could save you from
*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA
Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections