Climate Risk in Manton, NSW

Manton, New South Wales
Updated May 2026

Manton faces moderate risks from flooding, bushfires, and heatwaves. Climate change is expected to exacerbate these risks in the coming decades. Residents should prepare for more frequent and intense extreme weather events.

Is Manton Safe from Climate Risk?

Enter your address below for an instant climate risk assessment for Manton, New South Wales, covering flood, bushfire, sea level rise and more.

Free instant previewCSIRO-powered data

What A$49 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections

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Overall Risk Score

Address-level

Hazard Breakdown

Flood, bushfire, heat, coastal and storm exposure are all assessed in this area. The score that matters is the property's own: a ClimateNest report scores the address across eight hazards, with insurance and value projections to 2050.

Climate Hazard Breakdown for Manton

Flood

Manton faces a moderate risk of flooding, primarily from heavy rainfall events and potential riverine flooding. Low-lying areas are particularly vulnerable.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Urban development

Bushfire

The bushfire risk in Manton is relatively high due to the proximity of bushland areas. Hot, dry conditions and strong winds can exacerbate the risk.

Key drivers:

  • ·Dry vegetation
  • ·High temperatures

Heat

Manton experiences moderate heat risk, with increasing average temperatures and more frequent heatwave events projected in the future.

Key drivers:

  • ·Climate change
  • ·Urban heat island effect

Coastal

Manton is not exposed to coastal risks.

Wind

Data being compiled

Storm

Data being compiled

Social

Data being compiled

Energy

Data being compiled

In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Manton

Detailed Hazard Analysis

heat Risk

Manton experiences moderate heat risk, with increasing average temperatures and more frequent heatwave events projected in the future.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Climate change
  • ·Urban heat island effect
Data source

flood Risk

Manton faces a moderate risk of flooding, primarily from heavy rainfall events and potential riverine flooding. Low-lying areas are particularly vulnerable.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Urban development
  • ·Climate change
Data source

coastal Risk

Manton is not exposed to coastal risks.

bushfire Risk

The bushfire risk in Manton is relatively high due to the proximity of bushland areas. Hot, dry conditions and strong winds can exacerbate the risk.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Dry vegetation
  • ·High temperatures
  • ·Strong winds
  • ·Climate change
Data source

What This Means for Property Owners

Insurance Outlook

Insurance premiums may increase in the future due to climate risks.

Price Impact

Properties in high-risk areas may experience a decrease in value.

Buyer Checklist

  • 1.Check flood maps and bushfire prone area designations.
  • 2.Assess the property's vulnerability to heatwaves.
  • 3.Obtain insurance quotes and understand policy exclusions.
  • 4.Review council's climate adaptation plans.

How the region's climate is projected to change

Regional projections, not a forecast for this street. Figures are from the WA Department of Water and Environmental Regulation's climate projections for the South Western Flatlands region, which draws on CSIRO and Bureau of Meteorology modelling.

Temperature

+0.5 to 1.1°C by 2030

Above the 1986–2005 climate, on all emissions scenarios. By 2090, 1.2 to 2.0°C under intermediate emissions or 2.6 to 4.0°C under high emissions.

Rainfall

Winter rain down up to 15% by 2030

The South West has been drying since 1970, and the decline has been larger than anywhere else in Australia. Heavy rainfall events are projected to become more intense even as totals fall.

Fire weather

Harsher, magnitude uncertain

High confidence that fire weather becomes harsher, low confidence in the size of the change, because it depends heavily on summer rainfall.

Sea level

+0.12 m by 2030

At the Fremantle gauge, range 0.07 to 0.16 m. Very high confidence that sea levels continue to rise through the century.

Source: Department of Water and Environmental Regulation (WA), Western Australian climate projections: summary, September 2021, South Western Flatlands chapter. Read the projections →

Adaptation Recommendations

Improve Flood Defenses

Near-term

Invest in infrastructure to mitigate flood risks, such as levees and improved drainage systems.

Est. cost: High

Learn more

Bushfire Preparedness

Immediate

Implement community education programs and assist residents in preparing their properties for bushfires.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Heatwave Action Plan

Near-term

Develop a heatwave action plan to protect vulnerable populations during extreme heat events.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

Sustainable Urban Planning

Long-term

Incorporate climate change considerations into urban planning decisions to reduce vulnerability to climate risks.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

About Manton's Climate Risk Profile

Manton is a suburb in New South Wales that is increasingly vulnerable to the impacts of climate change. The primary risks include flooding from heavy rainfall, bushfires due to dry vegetation and high temperatures, and heatwaves that can impact vulnerable populations.

The risk of flooding is expected to increase as rainfall intensity rises. Urban development can also exacerbate flooding by increasing runoff. Residents should be aware of flood risks and take steps to protect their properties.

The bushfire risk is also a significant concern, particularly during the summer months. Hot, dry conditions and strong winds can create ideal conditions for bushfires to spread rapidly. Residents should maintain their properties to reduce the risk of fire and have a bushfire survival plan in place.

Heatwaves are becoming more frequent and intense, posing a risk to the elderly, children, and people with chronic health conditions. Residents should take steps to stay cool during heatwaves, such as drinking plenty of water, staying indoors, and using air conditioning.

Addressing these climate risks requires a combination of individual actions and community-level initiatives. Residents can take steps to reduce their own vulnerability, while local government can implement policies to mitigate the impacts of climate change.

Suburb pages describe the local picture. The address-level assessment, with its data sources and its dollar projections, is in the ClimateNest report.

Local Government Resources

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the main climate risks in Manton?

The main climate risks in Manton are flooding, bushfires, and heatwaves. These risks are expected to increase in the future due to climate change.

How can I prepare my property for flooding?

You can prepare your property for flooding by raising electrical outlets, installing flood barriers, and ensuring proper drainage.

What should I do during a bushfire?

During a bushfire, follow your bushfire survival plan, stay informed, and evacuate if necessary.

How can I stay cool during a heatwave?

During a heatwave, drink plenty of water, stay indoors, use air conditioning, and check on vulnerable neighbors.

What is the local council doing to address climate change?

The local council is developing a climate strategy and implementing measures to reduce greenhouse gas emissions and adapt to climate risks.

Get your property's risk report

This suburb assessment covers the area. For a precise address-level climate risk report for any specific property in Manton, use our analysis tool.

Check Your flood Risk Now

Check Manton's specific flood risk and see how it compares to nearby suburbs. Enter your address for an instant risk assessment.

Free instant previewCSIRO-powered data

What A$49 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections