Climate Risk Assessment: Manning Point, NSW
Manning Point faces increasing risks from flooding, bushfires, heatwaves, and coastal erosion due to climate change. Sea level rise and more extreme weather events are key drivers of these risks. Residents should prepare for these challenges.
Is Manning Point Safe from Climate Risk?
Enter your address below for an instant climate risk assessment for Manning Point, New South Wales, covering flood, bushfire, sea level rise and more.
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Overall Risk Score
Hazard Breakdown
Flood, bushfire, heat, coastal and storm exposure are all assessed in this area. The score that matters is the property's own: a ClimateNest report scores the address across eight hazards, with insurance and value projections to 2050.
Climate Hazard Breakdown for Manning Point
Flood
Manning Point is susceptible to flooding due to its low-lying coastal location and proximity to the Manning River. Increased rainfall intensity and sea level rise are expected to exacerbate flood risk.
Key drivers:
- ·Sea level rise
- ·Increased rainfall intensity
Bushfire
Bushfire risk is present due to surrounding vegetation. Hotter, drier conditions are projected to increase the frequency and intensity of bushfires.
Key drivers:
- ·Increased temperatures
- ·Drier conditions
Heat
Manning Point will experience more frequent and intense heatwaves. This poses a risk to vulnerable populations.
Key drivers:
- ·Increased greenhouse gas emissions
- ·Urban heat island effect
Coastal
Coastal erosion and inundation are significant threats due to sea level rise. Low-lying areas are particularly vulnerable.
Key drivers:
- ·Sea level rise
- ·Storm surge
Wind
Data being compiled
Storm
Data being compiled
Social
Data being compiled
Energy
Data being compiled
In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Manning Point
Property buying guide with climate risk assessment
Flood zone mapping, historical events, and projections
BAL assessment, vegetation proximity, and fire history
Multi-hazard safety assessment to 2050
Severe weather, hail, and wind risk analysis
Extreme heat days, urban heat island, and cooling costs
Premium estimates and insurance availability
Climate-adjusted property investment analysis
Detailed Hazard Analysis
heat Risk
Manning Point will experience more frequent and intense heatwaves. This poses a risk to vulnerable populations.
Primary Drivers
- ·Increased greenhouse gas emissions
- ·Urban heat island effect
flood Risk
Manning Point is susceptible to flooding due to its low-lying coastal location and proximity to the Manning River. Increased rainfall intensity and sea level rise are expected to exacerbate flood risk.
Primary Drivers
- ·Sea level rise
- ·Increased rainfall intensity
- ·Storm surge
coastal Risk
Coastal erosion and inundation are significant threats due to sea level rise. Low-lying areas are particularly vulnerable.
Primary Drivers
- ·Sea level rise
- ·Storm surge
- ·Erosion
bushfire Risk
Bushfire risk is present due to surrounding vegetation. Hotter, drier conditions are projected to increase the frequency and intensity of bushfires.
Primary Drivers
- ·Increased temperatures
- ·Drier conditions
- ·Vegetation density
What This Means for Property Owners
Insurance Outlook
Premiums are likely to increase due to rising climate risks.
Price Impact
Properties in high-risk areas may experience price depreciation.
Buyer Checklist
- 1.Check flood maps and historical flood data.
- 2.Assess bushfire risk and property protection measures.
- 3.Consider potential impacts of sea level rise and coastal erosion.
- 4.Review insurance coverage and potential premium increases.
How the region's climate is projected to change
Regional projections, not a forecast for this street. Figures are from the WA Department of Water and Environmental Regulation's climate projections for the South Western Flatlands region, which draws on CSIRO and Bureau of Meteorology modelling.
Temperature
+0.5 to 1.1°C by 2030
Above the 1986–2005 climate, on all emissions scenarios. By 2090, 1.2 to 2.0°C under intermediate emissions or 2.6 to 4.0°C under high emissions.
Rainfall
Winter rain down up to 15% by 2030
The South West has been drying since 1970, and the decline has been larger than anywhere else in Australia. Heavy rainfall events are projected to become more intense even as totals fall.
Fire weather
Harsher, magnitude uncertain
High confidence that fire weather becomes harsher, low confidence in the size of the change, because it depends heavily on summer rainfall.
Sea level
+0.12 m by 2030
At the Fremantle gauge, range 0.07 to 0.16 m. Very high confidence that sea levels continue to rise through the century.
Source: Department of Water and Environmental Regulation (WA), Western Australian climate projections: summary, September 2021, South Western Flatlands chapter. Read the projections →
Adaptation Recommendations
Upgrade Drainage Infrastructure
Near-termImprove drainage systems to reduce the risk of flash flooding during heavy rainfall events.
Est. cost: Medium
Learn moreStrengthen Coastal Defenses
Near-termImplement coastal protection measures, such as seawalls and dune restoration, to mitigate coastal erosion.
Est. cost: High
Learn moreDevelop Heatwave Management Plan
ImmediateCreate a plan to protect vulnerable populations during heatwaves, including establishing cooling centers and providing public awareness campaigns.
Est. cost: Low
Learn moreEnhance Bushfire Preparedness
Near-termImplement bushfire mitigation measures, such as vegetation management and community education programs.
Est. cost: Medium
Learn moreRaise Awareness of Climate Risks
Long-termConduct community workshops and distribute educational materials to increase awareness of climate change impacts and adaptation strategies.
Est. cost: Low
Learn moreAbout Manning Point's Climate Risk Profile
Manning Point, located on the coast of New South Wales, is increasingly vulnerable to the impacts of climate change. The suburb's low-lying coastal location makes it particularly susceptible to flooding and coastal erosion.
Rising sea levels are a major concern, threatening to inundate low-lying areas and erode the coastline. Increased rainfall intensity and storm surges will further exacerbate flood risk. The frequency and intensity of heatwaves are also projected to increase, posing a threat to public health, especially for vulnerable populations.
Bushfire risk is also present due to surrounding vegetation. Hotter, drier conditions are expected to increase the likelihood of bushfires. Residents should take steps to prepare for these risks, such as maintaining their properties and having an evacuation plan.
Addressing these challenges requires a combination of mitigation and adaptation strategies. Reducing greenhouse gas emissions is essential to slow the pace of climate change. Local adaptation measures, such as improving drainage infrastructure and protecting coastal areas, can help to reduce the impacts of climate change on Manning Point.
Suburb pages describe the local picture. The address-level assessment, with its data sources and its dollar projections, is in the ClimateNest report.
Local Government Resources
MidCoast Council
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the main climate change risks facing Manning Point?
Manning Point is primarily at risk from flooding, coastal erosion, heatwaves, and bushfires due to climate change. Sea level rise and more extreme weather events are key drivers of these risks.
How will sea level rise affect Manning Point?
Sea level rise will lead to increased coastal erosion and inundation of low-lying areas in Manning Point. This could damage property and infrastructure, and displace residents.
What can I do to prepare for heatwaves in Manning Point?
During heatwaves, stay indoors in air-conditioned environments, drink plenty of water, and check on vulnerable neighbors. The local council may also provide cooling centers.
How can I protect my property from bushfires in Manning Point?
Maintain your property by clearing vegetation around your home, installing fire-resistant building materials, and having a bushfire survival plan.
Where can I find more information about climate change risks in Manning Point?
You can find more information on the MidCoast Council website, the NSW Department of Planning and Environment website, and the Bureau of Meteorology website.
Is it safe to buy property in Manning Point given the climate risks?
While Manning Point faces climate risks, it is still a desirable place to live. However, prospective buyers should carefully consider the potential impacts of climate change on property values and insurance costs.
Get your property's risk report
This suburb assessment covers the area. For a precise address-level climate risk report for any specific property in Manning Point, use our analysis tool.
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What A$49 could save you from
*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA
Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections