Climate Risk in Manilla, New South Wales

Manilla, New South Wales· 2346
Updated May 2026

Manilla faces moderate risks from flooding and heatwaves, with bushfire risk also present. Climate change is expected to exacerbate these risks, particularly heatwaves and flooding events.

Is Manilla Safe from Climate Risk?

Enter your address below for an instant climate risk assessment for Manilla, New South Wales, covering flood, bushfire, sea level rise and more.

Free instant previewCSIRO-powered data

What A$49 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections

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Overall Risk Score

Address-level

Hazard Breakdown

Flood, bushfire, heat, coastal and storm exposure are all assessed in this area. The score that matters is the property's own: a ClimateNest report scores the address across eight hazards, with insurance and value projections to 2050.

Climate Hazard Breakdown for Manilla

Flood

Manilla faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to the Namoi River. Riverine flooding can inundate low-lying areas.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Riverine overflow

Bushfire

Bushfire risk in Manilla is moderate, with surrounding bushland posing a potential threat during dry periods and high winds.

Key drivers:

  • ·Dry vegetation
  • ·High winds

Heat

Manilla experiences high heat risk, with increasing average temperatures and more frequent heatwave events projected.

Key drivers:

  • ·Rising global temperatures
  • ·Urban heat island effect

Coastal

Manilla is located inland and does not face any direct coastal risks.

Wind

Data being compiled

Storm

Data being compiled

Social

Data being compiled

Energy

Data being compiled

In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Manilla

Detailed Hazard Analysis

heat Risk

Manilla experiences high heat risk, with increasing average temperatures and more frequent heatwave events projected.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Rising global temperatures
  • ·Urban heat island effect
Data source

flood Risk

Manilla faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to the Namoi River. Riverine flooding can inundate low-lying areas.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Riverine overflow
  • ·Urban development
Data source

coastal Risk

Manilla is located inland and does not face any direct coastal risks.

Data source

bushfire Risk

Bushfire risk in Manilla is moderate, with surrounding bushland posing a potential threat during dry periods and high winds.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Dry vegetation
  • ·High winds
  • ·Arson
Data source

What This Means for Property Owners

Insurance Outlook

Insurance premiums may increase due to flood and heatwave risks.

Price Impact

Properties in flood-prone areas may experience price reductions.

Buyer Checklist

  • 1.Check flood maps and historical flood data.
  • 2.Assess bushfire risk and implement mitigation measures.
  • 3.Consider energy efficiency and cooling options for homes.
  • 4.Inquire about insurance coverage and premiums.

How the region's climate is projected to change

Regional projections, not a forecast for this street. Figures are from the WA Department of Water and Environmental Regulation's climate projections for the South Western Flatlands region, which draws on CSIRO and Bureau of Meteorology modelling.

Temperature

+0.5 to 1.1°C by 2030

Above the 1986–2005 climate, on all emissions scenarios. By 2090, 1.2 to 2.0°C under intermediate emissions or 2.6 to 4.0°C under high emissions.

Rainfall

Winter rain down up to 15% by 2030

The South West has been drying since 1970, and the decline has been larger than anywhere else in Australia. Heavy rainfall events are projected to become more intense even as totals fall.

Fire weather

Harsher, magnitude uncertain

High confidence that fire weather becomes harsher, low confidence in the size of the change, because it depends heavily on summer rainfall.

Sea level

+0.12 m by 2030

At the Fremantle gauge, range 0.07 to 0.16 m. Very high confidence that sea levels continue to rise through the century.

Source: Department of Water and Environmental Regulation (WA), Western Australian climate projections: summary, September 2021, South Western Flatlands chapter. Read the projections →

Adaptation Recommendations

Improve Flood Defenses

Near-term

Invest in infrastructure to mitigate flood risks, such as levees and improved drainage systems.

Est. cost: High

Learn more

Enhance Bushfire Preparedness

Near-term

Implement community education programs and support residents in preparing their properties for bushfires.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Develop Heat Action Plan

Immediate

Create a heat action plan to protect vulnerable populations during heatwaves, including cooling centers and public awareness campaigns.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

Promote Water Conservation

Long-term

Encourage water conservation measures to address drought risks and ensure sustainable water resources.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

About Manilla's Climate Risk Profile

Manilla, located in the New England region of New South Wales, is susceptible to a range of climate-related risks. The town's proximity to the Namoi River increases its vulnerability to flooding, particularly during periods of heavy rainfall. Climate change projections indicate an increase in the intensity and frequency of extreme rainfall events, which could lead to more severe flooding in the future.

Bushfire risk is also a concern for Manilla, with surrounding bushland posing a threat during dry periods. While not as immediate as the flood risk, the potential for bushfires to impact the community remains a significant consideration. Residents should maintain awareness and preparedness during bushfire season.

Heatwaves are becoming more frequent and intense in Manilla, posing a significant health risk to vulnerable populations. Rising average temperatures and prolonged periods of extreme heat can strain infrastructure and impact agricultural productivity. Adaptation measures, such as improved building design and increased green spaces, are essential to mitigate the impacts of heatwaves.

While Manilla is not directly exposed to coastal risks, the broader impacts of climate change, such as disruptions to supply chains and increased migration, could indirectly affect the town. A proactive approach to climate adaptation is crucial to ensure the long-term resilience and sustainability of Manilla.

Suburb pages describe the local picture. The address-level assessment, with its data sources and its dollar projections, is in the ClimateNest report.

Local Government Resources

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the main climate change risks for Manilla?

Manilla faces increasing risks from flooding, heatwaves, and bushfires due to climate change. These risks are projected to worsen in the future.

How will climate change affect property values in Manilla?

Properties in flood-prone areas may experience price reductions, while increased heatwave frequency could impact the desirability of homes without adequate cooling.

What can I do to prepare my home for climate change impacts?

Consider flood mitigation measures, improve bushfire preparedness, and enhance energy efficiency and cooling options for your home.

Where can I find information about local flood risks?

Contact the local council or refer to the NSW State Emergency Service for flood maps and historical flood data.

What resources are available to help me prepare for bushfires?

The NSW Rural Fire Service provides information and resources on bushfire preparedness, including firebreaks and evacuation plans.

Get your property's risk report

This suburb assessment covers the area. For a precise address-level climate risk report for any specific property in Manilla, use our analysis tool.

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Free instant previewCSIRO-powered data

What A$49 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections