Climate Risk Profile: Mangerton, NSW
Mangerton faces moderate risks from flooding and heatwaves, with bushfire risk also present. Climate change is expected to exacerbate these risks, particularly heatwaves, in the coming decades. Coastal risks are minimal.
Is Mangerton Safe from Climate Risk?
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Overall Risk Score
Hazard Breakdown
Flood, bushfire, heat, coastal and storm exposure are all assessed in this area. The score that matters is the property's own: a ClimateNest report scores the address across eight hazards, with insurance and value projections to 2050.
Climate Hazard Breakdown for Mangerton
Flood
Mangerton faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to creeks and drainage systems. Intense rainfall events can lead to localised flooding.
Key drivers:
- ·Increased rainfall intensity
- ·Urban development
Bushfire
The risk of bushfire in Mangerton is moderate, with some areas bordering bushland. Hot, dry conditions and strong winds can increase the likelihood of fire.
Key drivers:
- ·Dry vegetation
- ·High temperatures
Heat
Mangerton is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves. This poses a risk to vulnerable populations, especially during summer.
Key drivers:
- ·Rising global temperatures
- ·Urban heat island effect
Coastal
Mangerton is not directly exposed to coastal hazards. Sea level rise and coastal erosion are not significant concerns for this suburb.
Key drivers:
- ·Distance from the coast
Wind
Data being compiled
Storm
Data being compiled
Social
Data being compiled
Energy
Data being compiled
In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Mangerton
Property buying guide with climate risk assessment
Flood zone mapping, historical events, and projections
BAL assessment, vegetation proximity, and fire history
Multi-hazard safety assessment to 2050
Severe weather, hail, and wind risk analysis
Extreme heat days, urban heat island, and cooling costs
Premium estimates and insurance availability
Climate-adjusted property investment analysis
Detailed Hazard Analysis
heat Risk
Mangerton is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves. This poses a risk to vulnerable populations, especially during summer.
Primary Drivers
- ·Rising global temperatures
- ·Urban heat island effect
flood Risk
Mangerton faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to creeks and drainage systems. Intense rainfall events can lead to localised flooding.
Primary Drivers
- ·Increased rainfall intensity
- ·Urban development
- ·Inadequate drainage infrastructure
coastal Risk
Mangerton is not directly exposed to coastal hazards. Sea level rise and coastal erosion are not significant concerns for this suburb.
Primary Drivers
- ·Distance from the coast
bushfire Risk
The risk of bushfire in Mangerton is moderate, with some areas bordering bushland. Hot, dry conditions and strong winds can increase the likelihood of fire.
Primary Drivers
- ·Dry vegetation
- ·High temperatures
- ·Strong winds
What This Means for Property Owners
Insurance Outlook
Insurance premiums may increase due to flood and bushfire risks.
Price Impact
Properties in flood-prone areas may experience price stagnation or decline.
Buyer Checklist
- 1.Check flood maps and insurance costs.
- 2.Assess bushfire risk and prepare a survival plan.
- 3.Consider energy efficiency measures to mitigate heat impacts.
How the region's climate is projected to change
Regional projections, not a forecast for this street. Figures are from the WA Department of Water and Environmental Regulation's climate projections for the South Western Flatlands region, which draws on CSIRO and Bureau of Meteorology modelling.
Temperature
+0.5 to 1.1°C by 2030
Above the 1986–2005 climate, on all emissions scenarios. By 2090, 1.2 to 2.0°C under intermediate emissions or 2.6 to 4.0°C under high emissions.
Rainfall
Winter rain down up to 15% by 2030
The South West has been drying since 1970, and the decline has been larger than anywhere else in Australia. Heavy rainfall events are projected to become more intense even as totals fall.
Fire weather
Harsher, magnitude uncertain
High confidence that fire weather becomes harsher, low confidence in the size of the change, because it depends heavily on summer rainfall.
Sea level
+0.12 m by 2030
At the Fremantle gauge, range 0.07 to 0.16 m. Very high confidence that sea levels continue to rise through the century.
Source: Department of Water and Environmental Regulation (WA), Western Australian climate projections: summary, September 2021, South Western Flatlands chapter. Read the projections →
Adaptation Recommendations
Improve Drainage Infrastructure
Near-termUpgrade local drainage systems to handle increased rainfall intensity and reduce flood risk.
Est. cost: Medium
Learn moreImplement Heat Action Plan
ImmediateDevelop and implement a heat action plan to protect vulnerable populations during heatwaves.
Est. cost: Low
Learn moreBushfire Preparedness
Near-termPromote bushfire preparedness among residents, including clearing vegetation and developing evacuation plans.
Est. cost: Low
Learn morePromote Water Conservation
Long-termEncourage water conservation measures to reduce strain on water resources during droughts and heatwaves.
Est. cost: Low
Learn moreCommunity Education Programs
Near-termRun community education programs on climate change risks and adaptation strategies.
Est. cost: Low
Learn moreAbout Mangerton's Climate Risk Profile
Mangerton, NSW, is a suburb that will be increasingly affected by climate change. The primary risks are associated with flooding, heatwaves, and bushfires. Changes in rainfall patterns and increased temperatures are expected to intensify these hazards.
Flooding is a concern due to the suburb's proximity to local waterways and drainage systems. Intense rainfall events can overwhelm existing infrastructure, leading to localised flooding. Climate change projections indicate an increase in the frequency and intensity of heavy rainfall events, exacerbating this risk.
Heatwaves are another significant threat. Rising global temperatures will lead to more frequent and prolonged periods of extreme heat. This poses a particular risk to vulnerable populations, such as the elderly and those with pre-existing health conditions. The urban heat island effect may further amplify these impacts.
Bushfire risk is moderate, with some areas of Mangerton bordering bushland. Hot, dry conditions and strong winds can create conditions conducive to fire. While not as immediate a threat as flooding or heatwaves, bushfire risk should still be considered in long-term planning.
Coastal risks are minimal for Mangerton due to its distance from the coast. Sea level rise and coastal erosion are not significant concerns for this suburb.
Suburb pages describe the local picture. The address-level assessment, with its data sources and its dollar projections, is in the ClimateNest report.
Local Government Resources
Wollongong City Council
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the main climate change risks for Mangerton?
The main risks are increased flooding, more frequent and intense heatwaves, and a moderate risk of bushfires. Sea level rise is not a significant concern.
How will climate change affect property values in Mangerton?
Properties in flood-prone areas may experience price stagnation or decline. Increased insurance costs may also affect property values.
What can I do to prepare for heatwaves in Mangerton?
Stay indoors during the hottest part of the day, drink plenty of water, and check on vulnerable neighbours. Consider installing air conditioning or fans.
How can I protect my home from bushfires in Mangerton?
Clear vegetation around your home, maintain firebreaks, and have a bushfire survival plan. Check the NSW RFS website for current bushfire prone area maps.
Where can I find information about flood risks in Mangerton?
Check the Wollongong City Council website for flood maps and information about flood preparedness.
Is Mangerton a good place to invest in property considering climate change?
While Mangerton has many positive attributes, potential investors should carefully consider the identified climate risks, particularly flooding and heatwaves, and factor these into their decision-making process. Properties outside flood zones may be more resilient.
Get your property's risk report
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What A$49 could save you from
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Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections