Climate Risk in Manchester Square, NSW

Manchester Square, New South Wales
Updated May 2026

Manchester Square faces moderate climate risks, primarily from flooding and heatwaves. Climate change is expected to increase the severity and frequency of these events. Residents should prepare for hotter summers and potential flood events.

Is Manchester Square Safe from Climate Risk?

Enter your address below for an instant climate risk assessment for Manchester Square, New South Wales, covering flood, bushfire, sea level rise and more.

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What A$49 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections

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Overall Risk Score

Address-level

Hazard Breakdown

Flood, bushfire, heat, coastal and storm exposure are all assessed in this area. The score that matters is the property's own: a ClimateNest report scores the address across eight hazards, with insurance and value projections to 2050.

Climate Hazard Breakdown for Manchester Square

Flood

The suburb may experience flooding due to heavy rainfall and proximity to waterways.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Urban development

Bushfire

The suburb has a moderate risk of bushfires due to nearby bushland.

Key drivers:

  • ·Dry vegetation
  • ·High temperatures

Heat

The suburb is likely to experience heatwaves and high temperatures during summer.

Key drivers:

  • ·Climate change
  • ·Urban heat island effect

Coastal

Located inland, the suburb has a low risk of coastal hazards, but sea level rise could exacerbate flooding.

Key drivers:

  • ·Sea level rise
  • ·Storm surges

Wind

Data being compiled

Storm

Data being compiled

Social

Data being compiled

Energy

Data being compiled

In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Manchester Square

Detailed Hazard Analysis

heat Risk

The suburb is likely to experience heatwaves and high temperatures during summer.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Climate change
  • ·Urban heat island effect
Data source

flood Risk

The suburb may experience flooding due to heavy rainfall and proximity to waterways.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Urban development
  • ·Climate change
Data source

coastal Risk

Located inland, the suburb has a low risk of coastal hazards, but sea level rise could exacerbate flooding.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Sea level rise
  • ·Storm surges
Data source

bushfire Risk

The suburb has a moderate risk of bushfires due to nearby bushland.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Dry vegetation
  • ·High temperatures
  • ·Wind
Data source

What This Means for Property Owners

Insurance Outlook

Premiums may increase due to climate risks.

Price Impact

Properties in flood-prone areas may experience price reductions.

Buyer Checklist

  • 1.Check flood maps
  • 2.Assess bushfire risk
  • 3.Consider energy efficiency
  • 4.Review insurance options

How the region's climate is projected to change

Regional projections, not a forecast for this street. Figures are from the WA Department of Water and Environmental Regulation's climate projections for the South Western Flatlands region, which draws on CSIRO and Bureau of Meteorology modelling.

Temperature

+0.5 to 1.1°C by 2030

Above the 1986–2005 climate, on all emissions scenarios. By 2090, 1.2 to 2.0°C under intermediate emissions or 2.6 to 4.0°C under high emissions.

Rainfall

Winter rain down up to 15% by 2030

The South West has been drying since 1970, and the decline has been larger than anywhere else in Australia. Heavy rainfall events are projected to become more intense even as totals fall.

Fire weather

Harsher, magnitude uncertain

High confidence that fire weather becomes harsher, low confidence in the size of the change, because it depends heavily on summer rainfall.

Sea level

+0.12 m by 2030

At the Fremantle gauge, range 0.07 to 0.16 m. Very high confidence that sea levels continue to rise through the century.

Source: Department of Water and Environmental Regulation (WA), Western Australian climate projections: summary, September 2021, South Western Flatlands chapter. Read the projections →

Adaptation Recommendations

Improve Drainage Infrastructure

Near-term

Upgrade local drainage systems to handle increased rainfall intensity and reduce flood risk.

Est. cost: High

Learn more

Develop a Heat Action Plan

Immediate

Implement a community heat action plan to protect vulnerable residents during heatwaves.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Bushfire Risk Mitigation

Near-term

Implement vegetation management and property maintenance programs to reduce bushfire risk.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Community Awareness Programs

Long-term

Conduct community workshops and awareness campaigns on climate risks and adaptation measures.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

Promote Water Conservation

Long-term

Encourage water conservation practices to mitigate the impacts of drought and water scarcity.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

About Manchester Square's Climate Risk Profile

Manchester Square, NSW, is exposed to a range of climate-related risks. The primary concerns are flooding due to increased rainfall intensity and heatwaves during the summer months. The suburb's location makes it susceptible to both riverine and flash flooding.

Bushfire risk is moderate, with nearby bushland posing a threat during dry periods. While coastal risks are relatively low due to its inland location, sea level rise could indirectly exacerbate flooding issues.

Climate change projections indicate an increase in the frequency and intensity of extreme weather events. This includes more frequent and severe heatwaves, as well as increased rainfall intensity, leading to a higher risk of flooding.

Residents and property owners should take proactive measures to mitigate these risks. This includes preparing for heatwaves, maintaining properties to reduce bushfire risk, and having a plan for potential flood events. Staying informed about weather forecasts and emergency warnings is also crucial.

Suburb pages describe the local picture. The address-level assessment, with its data sources and its dollar projections, is in the ClimateNest report.

Local Government Resources

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the main climate risks in Manchester Square?

The main climate risks are flooding, heatwaves, and bushfire risk due to nearby bushland.

How is climate change expected to impact Manchester Square?

Climate change is expected to increase the frequency and intensity of heatwaves and flooding events.

What can residents do to prepare for heatwaves?

Residents should stay hydrated, seek air-conditioned environments, and check on vulnerable neighbors.

What should I do during a flood?

Stay informed about weather warnings, move to higher ground, and avoid driving through floodwaters.

How can I reduce my property's bushfire risk?

Maintain vegetation around your property, clear gutters, and have a bushfire survival plan.

Where can I find information about local emergency services?

Information about local emergency services can be found on the NSW SES website.

Get your property's risk report

This suburb assessment covers the area. For a precise address-level climate risk report for any specific property in Manchester Square, use our analysis tool.

Check Your flood Risk Now

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Free instant previewCSIRO-powered data

What A$49 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections