Climate Risk in Longueville, NSW

Longueville, New South Wales· Lane Cove· 2066
Updated May 2026

Longueville faces increasing risks from climate change, particularly related to flooding, heatwaves, and coastal inundation. Residents should prepare for more frequent extreme weather events and consider adaptation measures to protect their properties.

Is Longueville Safe from Climate Risk?

Enter your address below for an instant climate risk assessment for Longueville, New South Wales, covering flood, bushfire, sea level rise and more.

Free instant previewCSIRO-powered data

What A$49 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections

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Overall Risk Score

Address-level

Hazard Breakdown

Flood, bushfire, heat, coastal and storm exposure are all assessed in this area. The score that matters is the property's own: a ClimateNest report scores the address across eight hazards, with insurance and value projections to 2050.

Climate Hazard Breakdown for Longueville

Flood

Longueville is located near the Lane Cove River and Sydney Harbour, making it susceptible to flooding from heavy rainfall and storm surges. Climate change is expected to increase the intensity of rainfall events, potentially worsening flood risks.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Sea level rise

Bushfire

While not immediately adjacent to large bushland areas, Longueville has some bushfire risk due to nearby reserves and potential for ember attack. Drier conditions and higher temperatures could exacerbate this risk.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased temperatures
  • ·Drier conditions

Heat

Longueville is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves due to climate change. This poses a risk to vulnerable populations, such as the elderly and those with pre-existing health conditions.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased temperatures
  • ·More frequent heatwaves

Coastal

As a suburb located on the Lane Cove River and close to Sydney Harbour, Longueville is vulnerable to sea level rise and coastal inundation. This could impact waterfront properties and infrastructure.

Key drivers:

  • ·Sea level rise
  • ·Increased storm surges

Wind

Data being compiled

Storm

Data being compiled

Social

Data being compiled

Energy

Data being compiled

In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Longueville

Detailed Hazard Analysis

heat Risk

Longueville is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves due to climate change. This poses a risk to vulnerable populations, such as the elderly and those with pre-existing health conditions.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased temperatures
  • ·More frequent heatwaves
  • ·Urban heat island effect
Data source

flood Risk

Longueville is located near the Lane Cove River and Sydney Harbour, making it susceptible to flooding from heavy rainfall and storm surges. Climate change is expected to increase the intensity of rainfall events, potentially worsening flood risks.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Sea level rise
  • ·Storm surges
Data source

coastal Risk

As a suburb located on the Lane Cove River and close to Sydney Harbour, Longueville is vulnerable to sea level rise and coastal inundation. This could impact waterfront properties and infrastructure.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Sea level rise
  • ·Increased storm surges
  • ·Coastal erosion
Data source

bushfire Risk

While not immediately adjacent to large bushland areas, Longueville has some bushfire risk due to nearby reserves and potential for ember attack. Drier conditions and higher temperatures could exacerbate this risk.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased temperatures
  • ·Drier conditions
  • ·Ember attack
Data source

What This Means for Property Owners

Insurance Outlook

Insurance premiums may increase in the future due to increased climate risks.

Price Impact

Properties in flood-prone areas may experience a decrease in value.

Buyer Checklist

  • 1.Check flood maps and insurance costs.
  • 2.Assess property's vulnerability to heatwaves.
  • 3.Consider potential impacts of sea level rise.
  • 4.Review council's climate adaptation plans.

How the region's climate is projected to change

Regional projections, not a forecast for this street. Figures are from the WA Department of Water and Environmental Regulation's climate projections for the South Western Flatlands region, which draws on CSIRO and Bureau of Meteorology modelling.

Temperature

+0.5 to 1.1°C by 2030

Above the 1986–2005 climate, on all emissions scenarios. By 2090, 1.2 to 2.0°C under intermediate emissions or 2.6 to 4.0°C under high emissions.

Rainfall

Winter rain down up to 15% by 2030

The South West has been drying since 1970, and the decline has been larger than anywhere else in Australia. Heavy rainfall events are projected to become more intense even as totals fall.

Fire weather

Harsher, magnitude uncertain

High confidence that fire weather becomes harsher, low confidence in the size of the change, because it depends heavily on summer rainfall.

Sea level

+0.12 m by 2030

At the Fremantle gauge, range 0.07 to 0.16 m. Very high confidence that sea levels continue to rise through the century.

Source: Department of Water and Environmental Regulation (WA), Western Australian climate projections: summary, September 2021, South Western Flatlands chapter. Read the projections →

Adaptation Recommendations

Improve Flood Defenses

Near-term

Invest in infrastructure to protect against flooding, such as levees, seawalls, and improved drainage systems.

Est. cost: High

Learn more

Develop Heatwave Management Plan

Immediate

Implement a plan to protect vulnerable populations during heatwaves, including cooling centers and public awareness campaigns.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Strengthen Coastal Protection

Long-term

Implement measures to protect against sea level rise and coastal erosion, such as beach nourishment and dune restoration.

Est. cost: High

Learn more

Promote Water Conservation

Near-term

Encourage residents and businesses to conserve water to reduce strain on water resources during droughts.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

About Longueville's Climate Risk Profile

Longueville, a suburb on the Lower North Shore of Sydney, is increasingly vulnerable to the impacts of climate change. Its proximity to the Lane Cove River and Sydney Harbour exposes it to risks from rising sea levels and increased storm surges. The suburb is also likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves, posing a threat to public health.

Flooding is a significant concern for Longueville, with potential for both riverine and coastal inundation. Climate change is expected to increase the intensity of rainfall events, leading to more frequent and severe floods. Sea level rise will also exacerbate coastal flooding, particularly during high tides and storm surges.

Heatwaves are another growing threat, with projections indicating a significant increase in the number of hot days per year. This will place strain on infrastructure and emergency services, and pose a risk to vulnerable populations. Residents should take steps to prepare for heatwaves, such as ensuring they have access to air conditioning and staying hydrated.

While bushfire risk is relatively lower compared to other areas, Longueville is still susceptible to ember attack from nearby bushland. Drier conditions and higher temperatures could increase the risk of bushfires in the surrounding region. It is important for residents to maintain their properties and be aware of bushfire safety precautions.

Addressing these climate risks will require a coordinated effort from local government, residents, and businesses. This includes investing in flood mitigation infrastructure, implementing heatwave management plans, and promoting sustainable development practices. By taking proactive steps, Longueville can build resilience to climate change and protect its community.

Suburb pages describe the local picture. The address-level assessment, with its data sources and its dollar projections, is in the ClimateNest report.

Local Government Resources

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the main climate change risks for Longueville?

Longueville faces increasing risks from flooding, heatwaves, and coastal inundation due to climate change. These risks could impact property values, public health, and infrastructure.

How is the Lane Cove Council addressing climate change?

The Lane Cove Council has implemented a climate change strategy that includes measures to reduce greenhouse gas emissions, improve energy efficiency, and adapt to the impacts of climate change.

What can I do to prepare for heatwaves in Longueville?

During heatwaves, it is important to stay hydrated, seek air-conditioned environments, and avoid strenuous activity. Check on vulnerable neighbors and family members.

How will sea level rise affect Longueville?

Sea level rise could lead to increased coastal flooding and erosion in Longueville, particularly in low-lying areas near the Lane Cove River and Sydney Harbour. Waterfront properties are most at risk.

Where can I find information about flood risks in Longueville?

You can find information about flood risks in Longueville on the Lane Cove Council website, including flood maps and floodplain management plans.

Get your property's risk report

This suburb assessment covers the area. For a precise address-level climate risk report for any specific property in Longueville, use our analysis tool.

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What A$49 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections

Climate Risk Profile for Longueville, NSW | ClimateNest