Climate Risk Profile: Long Plain, NSW
Long Plain faces increasing risks from flooding and heatwaves due to climate change. Bushfire risk is also a concern. Residents should prepare for more frequent extreme weather events.
Is Long Plain Safe from Climate Risk?
Enter your address below for an instant climate risk assessment for Long Plain, New South Wales, covering flood, bushfire, sea level rise and more.
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Overall Risk Score
Hazard Breakdown
Flood, bushfire, heat, coastal and storm exposure are all assessed in this area. The score that matters is the property's own: a ClimateNest report scores the address across eight hazards, with insurance and value projections to 2050.
Climate Hazard Breakdown for Long Plain
Flood
Long Plain faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to waterways and low-lying areas. Intense rainfall events can lead to riverine and flash flooding.
Key drivers:
- ·Increased rainfall intensity
- ·Changes in land use
Bushfire
The risk of bushfire in Long Plain is moderate, given the surrounding vegetation and dry conditions during summer months. Changes in temperature and rainfall patterns can exacerbate this risk.
Key drivers:
- ·Increased temperatures
- ·Drier conditions
Heat
Long Plain is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves. This poses a significant risk to vulnerable populations, including the elderly and those with chronic health conditions.
Key drivers:
- ·Rising global temperatures
- ·Urban heat island effect
Coastal
As an inland suburb, Long Plain has a very low risk associated with coastal hazards such as sea level rise and coastal erosion.
Key drivers:
- ·Distance from the coast
Wind
Data being compiled
Storm
Data being compiled
Social
Data being compiled
Energy
Data being compiled
In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Long Plain
Property buying guide with climate risk assessment
Flood zone mapping, historical events, and projections
BAL assessment, vegetation proximity, and fire history
Multi-hazard safety assessment to 2050
Severe weather, hail, and wind risk analysis
Extreme heat days, urban heat island, and cooling costs
Premium estimates and insurance availability
Climate-adjusted property investment analysis
Detailed Hazard Analysis
heat Risk
Long Plain is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves. This poses a significant risk to vulnerable populations, including the elderly and those with chronic health conditions.
Primary Drivers
- ·Rising global temperatures
- ·Urban heat island effect
flood Risk
Long Plain faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to waterways and low-lying areas. Intense rainfall events can lead to riverine and flash flooding.
Primary Drivers
- ·Increased rainfall intensity
- ·Changes in land use
- ·Aging infrastructure
coastal Risk
As an inland suburb, Long Plain has a very low risk associated with coastal hazards such as sea level rise and coastal erosion.
Primary Drivers
- ·Distance from the coast
bushfire Risk
The risk of bushfire in Long Plain is moderate, given the surrounding vegetation and dry conditions during summer months. Changes in temperature and rainfall patterns can exacerbate this risk.
Primary Drivers
- ·Increased temperatures
- ·Drier conditions
- ·Fuel load
What This Means for Property Owners
Insurance Outlook
Insurance premiums may increase due to flood and bushfire risks.
Price Impact
Property values may be affected by increasing climate risks.
Buyer Checklist
- 1.Check flood maps and bushfire prone area designations.
- 2.Assess property's vulnerability to heatwaves.
- 3.Review insurance options and potential premium increases.
- 4.Consider long-term climate projections for the area.
How the region's climate is projected to change
Regional projections, not a forecast for this street. Figures are from the WA Department of Water and Environmental Regulation's climate projections for the South Western Flatlands region, which draws on CSIRO and Bureau of Meteorology modelling.
Temperature
+0.5 to 1.1°C by 2030
Above the 1986–2005 climate, on all emissions scenarios. By 2090, 1.2 to 2.0°C under intermediate emissions or 2.6 to 4.0°C under high emissions.
Rainfall
Winter rain down up to 15% by 2030
The South West has been drying since 1970, and the decline has been larger than anywhere else in Australia. Heavy rainfall events are projected to become more intense even as totals fall.
Fire weather
Harsher, magnitude uncertain
High confidence that fire weather becomes harsher, low confidence in the size of the change, because it depends heavily on summer rainfall.
Sea level
+0.12 m by 2030
At the Fremantle gauge, range 0.07 to 0.16 m. Very high confidence that sea levels continue to rise through the century.
Source: Department of Water and Environmental Regulation (WA), Western Australian climate projections: summary, September 2021, South Western Flatlands chapter. Read the projections →
Adaptation Recommendations
Improve Flood Defenses
Near-termUpgrade drainage infrastructure and implement flood control measures to reduce the impact of flooding.
Est. cost: Medium
Learn moreBushfire Preparedness
Near-termImplement bushfire management strategies, including controlled burns and community education programs.
Est. cost: Medium
Learn moreHeatwave Action Plan
ImmediateDevelop and implement a heatwave action plan to protect vulnerable populations during extreme heat events.
Est. cost: Low
Learn moreWater Conservation
Long-termPromote water conservation measures to ensure a sustainable water supply during periods of drought.
Est. cost: Low
Learn moreAbout Long Plain's Climate Risk Profile
Long Plain, NSW, is a rural locality that is increasingly vulnerable to the impacts of climate change. The primary concerns for this area are flooding, bushfires, and heatwaves. Changes in rainfall patterns and rising temperatures are expected to exacerbate these risks in the coming decades.
Flooding is a significant threat due to the presence of waterways and low-lying areas. Intense rainfall events can lead to both riverine and flash flooding, potentially damaging property and infrastructure. Climate projections indicate that rainfall intensity will increase, leading to more frequent and severe flooding events.
Bushfire risk is also a concern, particularly during the dry summer months. The surrounding vegetation provides ample fuel for fires, and rising temperatures and drier conditions can increase the likelihood of ignition and spread. Residents should be aware of bushfire safety measures and have a plan in place.
Heatwaves are becoming more frequent and intense, posing a significant risk to vulnerable populations. The elderly, children, and those with chronic health conditions are particularly susceptible to heat stress. It is important to stay hydrated, seek shelter in cool environments, and check on neighbors during heatwaves.
While Long Plain is not directly exposed to coastal hazards, the broader impacts of climate change, such as disruptions to supply chains and increased demand for resources, can still affect the community. Taking proactive steps to adapt to climate change is essential to protect the well-being and prosperity of Long Plain.
Suburb pages describe the local picture. The address-level assessment, with its data sources and its dollar projections, is in the ClimateNest report.
Local Government Resources
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the main climate change risks for Long Plain?
The main climate change risks for Long Plain are increased flooding, more frequent and intense heatwaves, and a higher risk of bushfires.
How will climate change affect property values in Long Plain?
Climate change may negatively impact property values in Long Plain due to increased risks of flooding, bushfires, and heatwaves. Properties in high-risk areas may experience a greater decline in value.
What can I do to prepare for heatwaves in Long Plain?
To prepare for heatwaves, stay hydrated, seek shelter in cool environments, check on vulnerable neighbors, and follow the advice of health authorities.
Where can I find information about flood risks in Long Plain?
Information about flood risks in Long Plain can be found on the local council's website and the NSW State Emergency Service website.
What is the council doing to address climate change in Long Plain?
The council is developing and implementing a climate strategy to reduce greenhouse gas emissions and adapt to the impacts of climate change. Specific initiatives may include improving drainage infrastructure, promoting water conservation, and implementing bushfire management strategies.
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What A$49 could save you from
*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA
Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections